U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning at the start of the election day. Overseas, markets also edged higher ahead of the U.S. presidential election, while oil prices declined further to below $64 a barrel. While it is uncertain yet if any of the candidates would help boost sentiments and the markets as the economy is distressed either way, some analysts say much of the bad news around the economy and corporate profits are already priced into stocks. September factory orders will be released today.
General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE)'s arm GE Capital may be able to get some help from the Treasury. The Wall Street Journal reported its sources say the Treasury has been considering using more of its $700 billion rescue fund to buy stakes in a broad range of financial companies, not just banks and insurers. Apparently, initial signs show the program has been a success, and therefore might be expanded. CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) was cited as another candidate for help. GE shares are up 2.6% in premarket trading,
MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA) shares soared over 8% in after-hours trade Monday after the credit card processor has posted better-than-expected profit (after charges) boosted by revenue growth. It has also adjusted profit better than forecast. MasterCard, however, took a charge of $515 million for settling a lawsuit with Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS), making its net loss $194 million.
Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) earnings, however, dropped 37% year over year, but adjusted earnings were inline with expectations.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), according to one analyst, may be cutting iPhone production for the fourth-quarter. Yes, you read right. Despite the looming shopping season, the analyst believes the economy would have more of an impact on shopper as we slide further into a recession, affecting iPhone sales.
Friedman Billings Ramsey analyst Craig Berger also covers Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL) and the likes -- companies that supply Apple with iPhone components. He regularly checks into Apple's supply chain and he consequently now thinks production of the 3G iPhone could fall by as much as 40% in the calendar fourth quarter sequentially. Last time he ran his checks, he suggested a 10% drop. The analyst further said that this is an indication on how the global slowdown is affecting even high-end consumers.
This comes not long after Apple has reported financial results, boasting a 26% rise in quarterly profit thanks to growth in iPhone sales -- Apple sold 6.89 million iPhones during the quarter, outpacing Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) and capturing 2.3% of the phone market. Apple also said iPhone builds remained healthy.
Still, there is no denying Apple is not immune to macroeconomic conditions. If the analyst is right, it looks like the slowdown has finally touched the tech darling and is going to hurt demand for its products evern more going further. While another analyst suggested the production "cut may not be as bad as it sounds if Apple had already ramped up delivery of the iPhone to countries outside the United States," it certainly doesn't paint a pretty picture either.
Investors have not reacted much to the news today as Apple shares closed down 0.59% at $106.96, but perhaps the 46% punishment year-to-date has been enough so far.
Morgan Keegan upgraded Marvell Tech (NASDAQ: MRVL) to Outperform from Market Perform based on valuation and sustainable growth.
Merrill upgraded Lehman (NYSE: LEH) to Neutral from Underperform and said the government bailout of the GSE's removes "considerable uncertainty" in the residential mortgage markets and that the housing market is now closer to a bottom. The analyst believes the environment has improved for Lehman to attract equity capital needed and that loss expectations are reflected in valuation.
Lehman downgraded shares of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to Equal Weight from Overweight after the U.S. government said it will place Fannie and Freddie into a conservatorship. Citigroup also downgraded shares to Sell from Buy following the federal government's plan to place the GSEs into conservatorship as they believe both Fannie and Freddie will no longer be managed to maximize common shareholder returns.
Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank. The firm downgraded shares following the company's guidance reduction and believes the forecast could still be optimistic.
Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Shanda Interactive (NASDAQ: SNDA) to Outperform from Perform following the company's better-than-expected quarter to reflect its growth acceleration in the casual games platform and margin improvements.
SAIC (NYSE: SAI) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform following the solid Q2 report and guidance.
Susquehanna upgraded Zumiez (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) to Positive from Neutral citing positive August comps, revised merchandising, easier comps, and solid financial position.
Novellus (NASDAQ: NVLS) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
Analyst downgrades:
Morgan Stanley downgraded the Semiconductor Capital Equipment sector to In-Line from Attractive citing optimistic expectations for Q4 orders following the recent bounce in stocks. The firm downgraded Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) to Underweight from Overweight and KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) KLAC to Equal Weight from Overweight.
Stock futures were lower this morning as oil rose back above $110 a barrel and investors awaited a barrage of economic data due today including weekly oil inventories. Other economic indicators include data on employment, manufacturing and productivity. Also, retailers will be announcing August same-store sales. Overall, sales are expected to rise 2%. Meanwhile, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank are deciding their interest rate policy today, where the ECB could tighten.
The first of the retailers has already reported August sales. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) said sales increased 3% in August, beating its forecast. Seems discounts drew shoppers. WMT shares are up over 1% in pre-market.
Unfortunately for Boeing (NYSE: BA), The International Machinists and Aerospace Workers union, which represents nearly 27,000 machinists, voted to strike as they rejected Boeing's contract offer. The union, however, postponed the strike by 48 hours as the two parties go to mediation. Boeing will likely suffer from a strike at a time it's struggling to stand by its Dreamliner obligations. BA stock is down over 1% in pre-market.
BP PLC (NYSE: BP) shares stand to rise after it finally reached an agreement with its billionaire Russian partners have over TNK-BP. While BP remains with a 50% holding in the venture, it has made many concessions, including agreeing to have the CEO Dudley leave. Shares are up over 2% in pre-market.
Stock futures were lower Friday morning after Dell reported disappointing results after the close Thursday. Rising oil prices due to Gustav also weighed in on investors. This morning, some economic data on personal income and spending among others will be released. Perhaps it could give the market some positive news ahead of the three-day weekend.
Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) shares are dropping about 10% in pre-market trading after the computer maker reported a 17% drop in profit to $616 million, or 31 cents per share as margins were hurt by slashing PC prices as Dell tried to fend off competition in overseas markets. Sales rose 11% to $16.4 billion, ahead of Wall Street's view for $15.9 billion in sales.
Staying with earnings, Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL) shares are also down -- over 3% in after-hours -- after it reported its results after the close Thursday. The chipmaker that supplies Apple's iPhone and Research In Motion's BlackBerry beat expectations but gave a conservative outlook, forecasting current quarter sales below analyst expectations.
Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) which stocks have been shooting upward the past few days. The climb in share prices follows a period of downward spiral. BusinessWeek is trying to estimate how much investors have lost in its damage report.
Citigroup upgraded shares of Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent weakness and expects positive seasonality in the second half of 2008.
Gilat Satellite (NASDAQ: GILT) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair on valuation.
Cott Corp (NYSE: COT) was raised at UBS to Neutral from Sell.
EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Bernstein.
Jefferies downgraded shares of Marvell Tech (NASDAQ: MRVL) to Hold from Buy on HDD inventory concerns and share loss at Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) after checks indicated MRVL likely lost the design for the RIM Javelin to Freescale. The firm lowered their target to $15 from $22.
Oppenheimer downgraded Integrated Device (NASDAQ: IDTI) to Perform from Outperform as they believe the upcoming Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) server memory transition will pressure shares for several quarters.
Broadpoint downgraded shares of Healthaways (NASDAQ: HWAY) to Neutral from Buy as they see few near-term catalysts.
U.S. stock futures were mixed on Tuesday. Following Monday's broad sell-off and volatile session, which was also marked by low volume, today might not be different -- volatile and low volume. Several reports are in focus today, specifically some housing data that could shine more light on the sector, and consumer confidence, which could also move stocks. Meantime, oil prices declined and the dollar strengthened against major currencies.
Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) shares are down over 3% in premarket trading after the mining giant reported fiscal first-half profit more than doubled. RTP's acquisition of Alcan and soaring commodity prices helped Rio achieve the results. RTP shares have been declining due to worldwide slower growth.
Meanwhile, Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC) shares were 2.4% higher in after-hours after it announced a plan to buy back up to $5 billion of stock.
Staying with share buybacks, Coach (NYSE: COH) are also 1.7% higher in premarket trading after announcing a buyback program of up to $1 billion, which follows the completion of a similar repurchase.
And of course, Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH). Shares of the embattled banker are rising this morning following speculation that Kohlberg Kravis Roberts may be interested in buying Neuberger Berman, according to CNBC, while Blackstone Group backed away.
Results for the tech stocks in last week's preview were a mixed bag, some beats, some misses, some in line. By and large, expectations for tech companies reporting results this week remain high, though. Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are anticipating in the way of earnings, as compared to the same period of the previous year.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: iRobot, Felcor Lodging and Office Max were today's noteworthy initiations:
Stanford initiated iRobot (NASDAQ: IRBT) with a Buy rating and $18 target and believes better-than-expected military robot sales will allow the company to beat 2008 consensus estimates.
Felcor Lodging (NYSE: FCH) was initiated at Keefe Bruyette with a Market Perform rating and $12.50 target. The firm believes material upside is unlikely given the company's above average suburban and airport exposure.
Soleil assumed Office Max (NYSE: OMX) with a Hold rating and $17 target, as they believe macroeconomic challenges and heightened competition will limit near-term upside in the stock.
A mixed day in many stocks, though this actually worked out to be an acceptable day despite the end of day selling that took away many of the gains. To show how the markets were mixed continually, the S&P 500 Index closed up marginally for May while the DJIA closed slightly down for the month. We also saw income and spending fall, although the numbers weren't quite as bad as expectations. This was also when the University of Michigan gave the crummiest reading in 28 years. Here are the unofficial closing bell levels:
Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc. (NYSE: BUD) saw highly unusual options activity and strong equity trading as more speculators believe a deal with Belgium's InBev may be imminent. Shares rose almost 2% and were up at $57.58 in the final minutes of the day.
Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL) shares are trading higher after the company posted a first-quarter profit of $69.9 million, or 11 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, MRVL earned 24 cents per share, well above analysts' estimates of 13 cents per share. After earnings were announced, an analyst at Oppenheimer upgraded the stock to "Outperform" from "Perform." If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MRVL.
After hitting a one-year high of $20.04 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $9.77 in January. MRVL opened this morning at $16.95. So far today the stock has hit a low of $16.82 and a high of $17.47. As of 12:50, MRVL is trading at $17.35, up 3.27 (23.2%). The chart for MRVL looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bull-put credit spread below the $12.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in eight months as long as MRVL is above $12.50 at January expiration. Marvell would have to fall by more than 27% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
MRVL has been below $12.50 as recently as April but has shown support around $14 over the past month. This trade could be risky if the slowing US economy puts a damper on the next two earnings reports from MRVL but even if that happens, that position could be protected by support the stock might find from its 50 day moving average, which is currently around $12.50 and rising. Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in MRVL.
Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL) reported late Thursday a first-quarter profit, beating analyst estimates. Revenue rose 27%. MRVL shares are up nearly 17% in premarket trading. J.P. Morgan upgraded Marvell from Neutral to Overweight and Oppenheimer from Perform to Outperform with a target price of $21.
J. Crew (NYSE: JCG) shares, on the other hand, are dropping over 18% after it said late Thursday it cut its full-year earnings outlook. Seems the high-flying retailer is not immune to weak U.S. consumer spending. Citigroup downgraded JCG from Hold to Sell and cut the target price from $42 to $34. Wachovia downgraded JCG from Outperform to Market Perform.
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) shares are up over 1.3% this morning after Tracinda Corp., the investment arm of billionaire activist investor Kirk Kerkorian, said Friday it will waive a condition on its $170 million cash tender offer that the market price of Ford shares does not fall by 10% or more from its May 8 close of $8.20. Since the time of the offer to buy up to 20 million shares at $8.50 per share -- at the time a slight premium -- shares have fallen 18%. The offer expires June 9.
U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning at the start of the election day. Overseas, markets also edged higher ahead of the U.S. presidential election, while oil prices declined further to below $64 a barrel. While it is uncertain yet if any of the candidates would help boost sentiments and the markets as the economy is distressed either way, some analysts say much of the bad news around the economy and corporate profits are already priced into stocks. September factory orders will be released today.
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Stock futures were lower this morning as oil rose back above $110 a barrel and investors awaited a barrage of economic data due today including weekly oil inventories. Other economic indicators include data on employment, manufacturing and productivity. Also, retailers will be announcing August same-store sales. Overall, .gif){kind=logo}
U.S. stock futures were mixed on Tuesday. Following Monday's broad sell-off and volatile session, which was also marked by low volume, today might not be different -- volatile and low volume. Several reports are in focus today, specifically some housing data that could shine more light on the sector, and consumer confidence, which could also move stocks. Meantime, oil prices declined and the dollar strengthened against major currencies.
Results for the tech stocks in .gif){kind=logo}
Cramer on BloggingStocks: A troika of opportunity and trouble 
Before the bell: Wall Street headed higher; automakers, retailers in focus
Waiting for the other shoe to drop: The looming credit crisis
