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How fragile are stock returns?

Earnings season seems to be off to a promising start. So far Alcoa (NYSE: AA) cut enough costs to get back into profitable territory and same-store retail sales are up collectively for the first time since last year.

This sounds good and the major market indexes are up on the news reaching mid-September's resistance levels. A break here could turn into another extension of the rally. However, should investors be moving more heavily into stocks?

Continue reading How fragile are stock returns?

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) CEO resigns

TMO logoThermo Fisher Scientific (NYSE: TMO - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company's CEO Marijn Dekkers resigned to take over the CEO position at Bayer. The company will replace him with current COO Marc Casper, effective on October 15. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on TMO.

This morning, TLB opened at $46.95. So far today the opening price was the stock's high and it has traded as low as $45.55. As of 12:00, TMO is trading at $45.81, down $1.78 (-3.7%). The chart for TMO looks neutral and S&P gives TMO a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) CEO resigns

Is an idiot running your company?

If you are not reading the commentary we receive then you are missing some gems. One of our regulars reminded me of something "my pal Warren" said: "... find companies which can be run by idiots because sooner or later an idiot will be running it."

In Buffett's case he can actually call them up and talk to them. In many cases, he could probably get them to resign. For most of us, all we know is basic things like how's the stock price or has the idiot been indicted?

Continue reading Is an idiot running your company?

Caterpillar (CAT) CEO very bullish on his company's prospects

CAT logoCaterpillar (NYSE: CAT - option chain) shares are rising today after company CEO Jim Owens told a group of financial analysts and institutional stockholders that he expects company earnings to reach $8 to $10 per share annually in the next five years as long as the global economy recovers. He also reaffirmed CAT's 2009 EPS forecast of $1.15 to $2.25. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on CAT.

CAT opened this morning at $45.45. So far today the stock has hit a low of $45.35 and is currently trading at its intra-day high $47.41 up $2.29 (5.1%). The chart for CAT looks bullish and S&P gives CAT a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

Continue reading Caterpillar (CAT) CEO very bullish on his company's prospects

Private equity firms actually do try to improve portfolio companies

During the private equity boom years, one of the most common criticisms of the private equity kingpins went like this: "All they do is buy companies at a discount, leverage up the balance sheet, and use the cash flow to pay off the debt -- extracting millions in fees in the process."

Well now that access to cheap, covenant-lite debt has dried up, buyout shops are turning to the other option for making money: operational improvements. A new white paper released by Grant Thornton and the Association for Corporate Growth -- admittedly a private equity trade group -- found that 42% of private equity firms are devoting between 51% and 75% of their time on the management of companies they already control.

Continue reading Private equity firms actually do try to improve portfolio companies

Plenty of GM news: Sale of Saturn, management shakeup, Delphi buyout

This morning, The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) reported that General Motors (OTC: GMGMQ) has reached a preliminary deal to sell its Saturn distribution network to Penske Automotive Group. Penske is the second-ranked U.S. dealership group.

The Journal says that Penske will take over the brands, trademarks, service and parts operations, as well as the distribution operations related to the Saturn brand. The report also notes that Penske will make deals with other auto makers (one possibility is Renault SA) to purchase vehicles that will fill out the Saturn portfolio.

Continue reading Plenty of GM news: Sale of Saturn, management shakeup, Delphi buyout

Companies tighten up on 'forward-looking statements'

The Associated Press reports that many publicly traded U.S. companies are cutting back on the amount of forecasting they're willing to do, leaving investors in the dark with little in the way of "forward-looking statements" to rely on.

It's easy to understand why: The tough economy has given many companies trouble in meeting their forecasts, and hell hath no fury like a stockholder or Wall Street analyst whose investment hasn't performed as well as management had predicted.

According
to the AP, "A third of the 600 companies responding to a recent survey by the National Investor Relations Institute said their policies about financial guidance had changed. Most eliminated or limited the amount of guidance they provide about earnings and revenue."

Continue reading Companies tighten up on 'forward-looking statements'

Acquisitions are great for sellers and bad for buyers

The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) on a trend in mergers and acquisitions that I've been harping on for awhile: With very few exceptions, deal-making is bad news for every shareholder except for the ones getting bought out.

According to the Journal, "The winner's curse is why you're better off selling on eBay than buying; in auctions, winning bidders tend to overpay. The same goes for companies sought by more than one suitor, and the number of auction participants is inversely correlated with the subsequent returns. That is, frothy deals blow more of the buyer's money. "Empire building" is something of a dig at managers. Researchers theorize that managers buy other companies mostly because they want to run bigger operations. They build empires, but at a cost to their stock prices."

Continue reading Acquisitions are great for sellers and bad for buyers

Are public companies sitting on too much cash?

The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) that "The nonfinancial firms in the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index have a total of $811 billion in cash and marketable securities on their books," according to calculations by Goldman Sachs. This amount not only is "just shy of a record high in nominal terms," it is also "up $43 billion from the depths of the financial crisis last fall."

Cash piles are increasing as companies slash capital expenditures and pull back on share buybacks, which seems stupid given how much lower stock prices are than when companies were buying back their own shares with reckless abandon.

Continue reading Are public companies sitting on too much cash?

'Golden coffins' getting a second look

With outrageous and undeserved pay packages gaining unprecedented attention at shareholder meetings this year, some activist investors are taking on one of the most egregious perks of the executive suite: "golden coffin" payments made to the estates of executives who die.

My favorite example is Nabors Industries (NYSE: NBR) which will have to pay the estate of 78-year old chairman an astounding $263 million if he kicks the bucket.

But today's Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) that some activist investors and pension funds are taking on these death benefits this proxy season, with a pretty good argument: Paying executives large bonuses for dying is the polar opposite of pay-for-performance -- although a crass person might argue that General Motors (NYSE: GM) would be in much better shape had it paid CEO Richard Wagoner a couple hundred million to take a dirt nap a few years ago.

Continue reading 'Golden coffins' getting a second look

Front office shake-up at UBS

Bright and early this morning, Swiss bank UBS (NYSE: UBS) announced some front-office changes. Marcel Rohner made his resignation official, although he told the company of his intentions in January. Rohner had been with the firm since July 2007.

Rohner will be replaced by Oswald Gruebel, a former Credit Suisse executive. According to UBS Chairman Peter Kurer, Gruebel will "be adept in balancing our focus on prudent risk taking and client confidence, and our goal to position UBS for further success." Gruebel then promised to help UBS get on a "profitable, successful track."

In the last 12 months, UBS shares have lost a massive 65% -- with the stock currently battling overhead resistance at the round-number $10 level. This region formerly acted as support, but the roles are now reversed -- which could lead to some rather intense resistance.

Continue reading Front office shake-up at UBS

Washington Post (WPO) misses the mark

Washington Post Q4 2008 EarningsShares of the Washington Post Company (NYSE: WPO) are trading in the red this morning after the company reported that its fourth quarter profit dropped by a massive 77%. Net income came in at $2.01 per share, verse $8.71 per share in the same period last year.

As I noted in the earnings preview yesterday, the company's flagship newspaper and its magazine division (Newsweek Magazine) have been hit hard with losses in advertising revenue, and both had a dismal 2008 year. The company's newspaper division lost $14.4 million in the fourth quarter and had a $192.4 million operating loss for the entire 2008 year. Its newspaper division had a slight profit of $10.9 million in the fourth quarter, but on a full year basis it posted a loss of $16.1 million.

Continue reading Washington Post (WPO) misses the mark

Chesapeake Energy's management is 'losing all credibility,' warns analyst

Analyst Phil Weiss of Argus Research is none too impressed with the recent debt offering by Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE: CHK). The natural gas concern on Wednesday sold $1 billion in six-year notes, with proceeds going toward outstanding indebtedness under CHK's credit facility. The offer was hiked from its initial planned value of $500 million.

Additionally, Chesapeake said it "anticipates reborrowing [under its revolving bank credit facility] from time to time to fund drilling and leasehold acquisition initiatives and for general corporate purposes." It seems the commodity firm is growing steadily more cavalier with its balance sheet -- CHK ended the fiscal year with just $1.75 billion in cash, compared to its December forecast of $2.5 billion.

Continue reading Chesapeake Energy's management is 'losing all credibility,' warns analyst

Roland Burris and the mausoleum résumé: A good start?

Here's one that I'll bet executive recruiters don't see every day: a résumé on a mausoleum. In Chicago's Oak Woods Cemetery, would-be Illinois senator Roland Burris has had his many accomplishments engraved in stone, in the mausoleum he will (I assume) one day be buried. He has listed everything from his "trailblazing" stint as the first African-American exchange student from Southern Illinois University to Hamburg University in Germany in 1959, to his rather more impressively record-setting position as the first African-American Illinois attorney general.

Interestingly, he has left room for more African-American firsts, and though it's certain he will never be the first minority to serve as Illinois senator, it appears he is fighting hard to be the third one.

Politicians, attorneys and executives aren't known for their creativity in the hunt for a new job, so Burris could be trailblazing in more ways than even he imagined here. Perhaps, in a market in which many big companies are dissolving, leaving executives flailing and jobless, it's time to re-think the staid past of executive job searches. Just off the top of my head, I could see a heavy hitter like Lehman's Dick Fuld (also known for his hubris) having his résumé painted on the back of one of the many paintings in his art collection, and delivered to the office of his potential boss. That may flirt with the "bribe" line, but it's a jungle out there, right? And if any of the auto executives go jobless in the coming months, perhaps they might persuade the pilot of their private jets to fly around Detroit, writing their résumés in the sky with their jet trails.

It's a thought.

Exxon Mobil's Tillerson fends off Rockefeller attack

Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) chairman and CEO Rex Tillerson was under attack today as some members of the Rockefeller family tried to convince shareholders to split the chairman and CEO jobs. Tillerson won the battle, and at least for now, will continue to hold both positions for the oil giant.

As Zac Bissonnette noted Tuesday, Neva Rockefeller Goodwin and Peter O'Neill, descendants of John D. Rockefeller were the powering force behind today's proposed action, which wound up failing as only 39.5% of the company's shareholders voted to support the new changes. There were 4.4 billion votes cast in this years vote.

Last year, a similar proposal was put before a shareholder vote, with nearly an identical result of only a 40% approval for such a change.

Continue reading Exxon Mobil's Tillerson fends off Rockefeller attack

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 05:57 AM

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