Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd., believes that the global stock market will fall by up to 30%. The strong rebound following last year's calamity is likely to be impeded by profit-taking on the upswing. Basically, an increase of 70%, he says, will lead to a decrease of 20 to 30%.

The greatest risk in a recovering stock market comes from the increase in new stock and bond issuances, Mobius says. To participate in these new deals, investors would have to liquidate existing positions, which can put downward pressure on the market as a whole. Money doesn't come from nowhere, and new capital will come on the backs of the previous investments.

Paul Tracy believes Templeton Emerging Markets (NYSE: EMF) is a buy due to the emerging market expertise of its manager, Mark Mobius. Here's the latest from his from The ETF Authority.

"Emerging markets can dangerous waters for U.S. investors. These markets often have little to no analyst coverage and can be highly inefficient.

"As such, this is an area where expert active management can be well worth the higher price tag. And despite charging 1.55% in annual expenses, the Templeton Emerging Markets Fund certainly falls into that category.

"Given the potential pitfalls, it's reassuring to know that this fund is overseen by Dr. Mark Mobius -- a battle-tested veteran with decades of experience dealing with these uncertain stocks.

"While most funds have no discretion when it comes to making tactical decisions, Mobius and his team have the flexibility to steer clear of troubled regions or sectors -- and overweight those that look particularly promising.