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Disney misses in Q4! Is the magic over?

Well, thanks a lot, Disney (NYSE: DIS), for making a liar out of me. I thought the media company would beat earnings expectations for the fiscal fourth quarter. It didn't. Net income on an adjusted basis was $0.43 per share. Wall Street thought the Mouse was good for $0.49. And there wasn't much growth quality to the bottom line, either. Disney only managed to increase it by a single solitary penny. Alas.

Shareholders can console themselves with the 18% growth seen in the adjusted per-share earnings for the full year. However, they won't be too pleased by the 38% drop seen in Q4 free cash flow. And the 1% gain in free cash flow for the year isn't going to make any investor jump for joy. Disney's operating segments struggled during the quarter, save for consumer products, which saw its top and bottom lines expand. Looks like merchandise based on Hannah Montana and High School Musical are still performing (for now).

Make no mistake about it, I'm disappointed. I'm a shareholder, so I've got money behind CEO Bob Iger's vision. And it looks like not even he can make the recession go away. It clearly is affecting Disney. And it clearly will continue to affect Disney. All he can do now is manage the pain for shareholders. Every single dollar should be looked at before it is spent. Do I have confidence that Iger is up to the task? I think he'll do a reasonably good job, but quite frankly, that isn't good enough. The best thing Iger could do at this grave economic juncture is reward shareholders with a much higher annual dividend and, perhaps more importantly, a special dividend. If you're a long-term shareholder in this market environment, you definitely want to be paid to wait.

Continue reading Disney misses in Q4! Is the magic over?

Will Christie Hefner ever get Playboy's house in order?

I get depressed whenever I read a Playboy Enterprises (NYSE: PLA) earnings report these days (see more of today's earnings news). I mean, sex sells, right? And one has to assume that Playboy has the best brand equity when it comes to selling sex, correct? Apparently not. Playboy's situation seems to be getting worse. The magazine is no longer the cool taboo it once was, the internet is killing it, and subscriptions and newsstand sales are fading. The magazine is arguably the driving heart of the brand. Without it, things will be rough. The numbers tell the tale.

For the second quarter, revenues declined over 14% to $73.4 million. The net loss was 6 cents per share. In the year-ago period, Playboy booked a 6 cents per-share profit. According to Briefing.com, revenue estimates were missed, as were expectations for earnings. In fact, Playboy missed by 11 cents! Not sexy at all.

All of the major operating segments saw declines in their top lines. Licensing increased its operating income by 9%. Publishing, believe it or not, actually narrowed its operating loss. Neither of these two positives is worth much in the grand scheme of things.

Continue reading Will Christie Hefner ever get Playboy's house in order?

News Corp. (NWS) may not be a buy right now

News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), a competitor of media entities such as Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), Viacom (NYSE: VIA) CBS (NYSE: CBS), and General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, reported its Q4 and full-year numbers on Tuesday. Unfortunately, the stock received an after-hours yawn from investors. The share price didn't move much at all, about a nickel (the stock was up almost 5% on the day, however). The stats seemed pretty good in an overall sense, but they weren't overly compelling either, and I'm not sure I'd want to enter a position in News Corp. at the moment due to questions about the softening advertising market for television stations. But let's look at the data.

For the quarter, revenues increased over 16% and earnings per diluted share jumped over 50% to $0.43. There were, however, some asset gains thrown into that number. News Corp. likes to focus on operating income, and that metric grew 21% in Q4. Every operating segment, except for television, saw an increase in its profits. For the full year, revenues increased 15% and earnings per diluted share soared almost 68% to $1.81. Again, operating income gives a better account of performance due to the asset transactions affecting the bottom line, and here we see the growth is closer to 21%. For the full year, every operating segment saw growth.

News Corp.'s studio and cable divisions are doing well, and like I said, in a general sense, this was a good report. Plus, Fox Interactive Media saw its top line expand by well over 50%, driven by MySpace. But Rupert Murdoch has expressed some caution in terms of growth going forward. According to this article, he sees growth ahead, but it won't be of the stellar variety. And I'll add that operational cash flow for the year was down over 4%. I'd rather see that metric rise on a twelve-month basis. News Corp.'s shares seem cheap to me, but I don't feel compelled at this point to start a position. Given the current economic climate, I'd rather sit on the sidelines and wait for some more data.

Disclosure: I own Disney and GE; positions can change at any time.

Tribune gets subprime financing for buyout

It looks like the complex $8.2 billion buyout deal for Tribune Co. (NYSE: TRB) is progressing.

This week, the company's shareholders tendered 222 million shares. Keep in mind that Tribune was looking for about 126 million shares. Although, if I was a shareholder, I would want to get out, too.

But there's a problem. The company had to agree to some draconian financing arrangements to get the deal done. This is according to a report in The Wall Street Journal [a paid service].

Tribune has issued about $7 billion in debt (yes, this deal's almost all debt). However, the debt markets were not so easy.

Tribune not only had to up its interest rates but also sell notes at a discount. In fact, Wall Street advisers had to forgo some fees.

It's too early to know if this is a sign that credit markets are generally getting tougher. But as for Tribune, the company still will need to raise $4 billion more in financing at the end of 2007. So, if credit markets get tougher, the financing may get even more onerous.

Today, Tribune's stock price fell 2.77% to $32.28.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 12:01 PM

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