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Closing Bell: Forgetting About Earnings (CIEN, KO, GS, IBM, MGM, MTG)

Today was an up-day that started out in positive territory and stayed that way nearly the entire day. Earnings news took little out of the indexes even if there was profit taking after many individual reports. There was also no real economic data to digest, so stocks acted on their own.

Here were the official closing bell levels:

S&P 500 1,207.18 +9.66 (0.81%)
Dow 11,130.59 +38.54 (0.35%)
Nasdaq 2,500.64 +20.53 (0.83%)

Continue reading Closing Bell: Forgetting About Earnings (CIEN, KO, GS, IBM, MGM, MTG)

Bears Brace for a Pullback from MGM Mirage

Last Friday, MGM Mirage (MGM) was heavily targeted by put players, with bearishly oriented option volume rising to more than twice the usual level. About 30,000 puts crossed the tape during the course of the session, compared to MGM's typical put volume of just 13,000 contracts.

The International Securities Exchange (ISE) reports that traders on Friday bought to open 5,064 puts on MGM, compared to just 1,009 calls. In other words, traders purchased roughly five times more puts than calls.

In fact, MGM now sports a 10-day ISE put/call volume ratio of 1.25, which ranks higher than 97.5% of other such readings taken during the past year. This lofty ratio reveals that speculative investors have rarely scooped up puts over calls at a faster pace.

Continue reading Bears Brace for a Pullback from MGM Mirage

Options Update: MGM Mirage Feb Volatility Low as Shares Trend Higher

MGM Mirage (MGM) closed at $11.95. February option implied volatility is at 67; March is at 72; below its 26-week average of 81, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Kinross Gold (KGC) closed at $20.03. Gold is recently mixed at $1134 according to Bloomberg. February option implied volatility is at 41, May is at 47; versus its 26-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options update: MGM Mirage volatility low at 70

MGM Mirage (MGM) closed at $10.56. MGM says Dubai World's financial troubles wouldn't affect its CityCenter project. MGM December and January option implied volatility of 70 is below 26-week average of 89, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Hologic (HOLX), a digital mammography company, closed at $14.42. HOLX will be displaying its diagnostic imaging products at the Radiological Society of North America (RSNA) 2009 Annual Meeting today. December option implied volatility is at 43, January is at 42; below its 26-week average of 50, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Valero Energy volatility low into EPS, production rates and $68 oil

Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO) closed at $18.31. VLO is expected to report Q2 EPS on July 28. Crude oil futures are recently up 0.82% to $68.61. VLO August call option implied volatility is at 38, puts are at 43; below its 26-week average of 61, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) closed at $7.73. MGM is expected to report Q2 EPS on August 3. August option implied volatility is at 83; September is at 87; below its 26-week average of 110, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: LEN, RDC, FFIN, SII, AN, ACHN, UA, LULU, JST

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Lennar (NYSE: LEN) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company's near-term liquidity profile is improved following the $400M debt issuance. The firm raised its target price to $12 from $11.
  • Jefferies upgraded Rowan Companies (NYSE: RDC) to Buy from Hold as it believes jack-up drillers will continue to outperform deepwater names. The firm raised its target price to $27 from $20.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded First Financial (NASDAQ: FFIN) to Market Perform from Underperform to reflect more positive loan data for the Texas banks. The firm raised its target price on shares to $44 from $38.
  • MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities.
  • Brinker (NYSE: EAT) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: LEN, RDC, FFIN, SII, AN, ACHN, UA, LULU, JST

MGM Mirage banks earnings thanks to Treasure Island sale

MGM Mirage hotel in Las VegasMGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) showed its hand in the earnings confessional Monday night after the close. The gaming firm banked 38 cents per share, or $105.2 million, compared with year-ago results of 40 cents ($118.3 million). Net revenue was down 20% to $1.5 billion.

Excluding gains related to the sale of Treasure Island resort, the company lost six cents per share, falling short of analysts' estimates. MGM CEO and Chairman Jim Murren told investors in a conference call that while room rates are "firming" and overall demand seems improved, "[MGM] is not out of the woods yet by any stretch in this market ... at least [visitors] have got their wallets in their pockets [now] and they're spending a little more."

Continue reading MGM Mirage banks earnings thanks to Treasure Island sale

MGM resolves a potential bankruptcy filing

Late last Friday, casino giant MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) announced that it would provide $200 million to keep its $8.7 billion CityCenter project running.

This move should help resolve a "likely bankruptcy filing." Of the $200 million, $100 million should be provided by Dubai World, which is MGM's partner in the CityCenter joint venture. MGM stated that the funding is "with the authorization of its senior lenders" and satisfies the necessary sponsor equity contributions.

Continue reading MGM resolves a potential bankruptcy filing

Closing bell: End of bank rally brings the show down (AIG, EXPE, GM, MGM, XRX)

After days of rallying, the market decided that bank stocks had gone much too far. With no first quarter earnings out, the fact is that the current quarter could still be tough. Financial shares could still reset lower. The market reacted accordingly.

The unofficial numbers for the day broke out like this:

Dow 7,278.38 -122.42 (-1.65%)
S&P 500 768.54 -15.50 (-1.98%)
Nasdaq 1,457.27 -26.21 (-1.77%)

TOP ANALYST CALLS

Continue reading Closing bell: End of bank rally brings the show down (AIG, EXPE, GM, MGM, XRX)

MGM Mirage is rolling the dice

Will some lights go out in Vegas? Donald Trump rolled the dice and lost. His Trump Entertainment Resorts has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Not to be outdone MGM Miraage (NYSE: MGM) now has the dice and must make its points to stay in the game.

Continue reading MGM Mirage is rolling the dice

Five winning Super Bowl trades: II. Short MGM Mirage (MGM)

In an economy like this, is anyone going to the game?

Yes -- but Pittsburgh people will stay in their cars (hotels are too expensive), and the Arizona people will stay in foreclosed houses (so they should feel right at home).

Speaking of hotels -- short 'em.

I received an e-mail from the Mirage in Las Vegas to come out to watch the Super Bowl for $69 a night.

Last time I was there for the Super Bowl, maybe 15 years ago, it was about $400 a night.

The Mirage is owned by MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM), which is hovering at a technical support price. Once it breaks through, look out.

I'm not traveling to Tampa or Las Vegas -- I'm staying at home for the big game. And I'm shorting MGM.

Michael Shulman is a contributor to OptionsZone.com.

Five winning Super Bowl trades

It's Super Bowl time.

This day of the year has almost reached holiday status where families and friends gather in front of big-screen TV to spend six hours watching a typically boring football game and stuffing themselves with nachos, wings and beer.

With all of the hoopla surrounding the event, this is a good time for investors to go for some Super Bowl profits.

Why? Looks like it's not just a pseudo-holiday -- it's a tradition:

Continue reading Five winning Super Bowl trades

MGM Mirage unloads Treasure Island for $500 million

MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) has reached a deal to sell its Treasure Island Hotel & Casino to Phil Ruffin for $500 million in cash. The deal has a total value of $775 million including $275 million in secured notes. In a press release announcing the deal, Ruffin said that "We are very excited to be in a position to acquire such a stellar property in Treasure Island. The property is in pristine condition, ideally located in the heart of the Strip and benefits from a wonderful team of outstanding employees. We are financially positioned to close on this transaction once all of the necessary approvals have been received."

MGM said it anticipates recording a "substantial gain" on the sale of the property, which was purchased as part of MGM Grand's acquisition of Mirage Resorts in May of 2000.

Shares of MGM Mirage are up about 11% on the news, although they were up more than 23% in earlier trading. Given the state of the economy and MGM's leveraged balance sheet, the proceeds of the deal are likely to be used to pay down the company's substantial debt load.

Option Update: Casino hospitality stocks volatility elevated; LVS, WYNN, MGM

Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) closed at $36.84. LVS September option implied volatility is at 114, October is at 95; above its 26-week average of 61 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN) is recently down $3.52 t $81.90. WYNN September implied volatility is at 74; October is at 70; above its 26-week average of 59 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) closed at $32.45. MGM September option implied volatility is at 93, October is at 91; above its 26-week average of 70, suggesting larger movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

MGM Mirage (MGM) shoots higher on so-so earnings

MGM logoMGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM / option chains) shares are soaring higher today even though the company announced its second-quarter profit fell 68.6% to $113.1 million as resorts lowered room rates and visitors spent less money. MGM posted earnings of 40 cents per share on sales of $1.9 billion, while analysts expected earnings of 42 cents per share on revenue of $1.89 billion.

Even though the EPS missed estimates, investors seem to be focusing on revenues that beat estimates. The gaming sector has been beaten down so much over the first half of this year that it is possible anything other than a complete meltdown is a catalyst for the stock to rise. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MGM.

MGM opened this morning at $31.31. So far today the stock has hit a low of $31.04 and a high of $34.29. As of 2:35, MGM is trading at $33.85, up $2.85 (9.2%). The chart for MGM looks neutral and S&P gives MGM a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $22.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just seven weeks as long as MGM is above $22.50 at September expiration. MGM would have to fall by more than 33% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continue reading MGM Mirage (MGM) shoots higher on so-so earnings

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 07:30 AM

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