What an interesting weekend at the box office. There was a lot to watch for those who invest in the media sector. Let's have a look at what went on.

First, Time Warner Inc. (TWX) scored with Clash of the Titans. I think most observers were expecting this one to reign supreme. According to estimates available at the time of this writing over at Box Office Mojo, Titans made over $60 million in the domestic marketplace. Shareholders are hoping that this will be the start of another good run for the studio. As you'll probably recall, Time Warner was very successful in the celluloid game during 2009.

Continue reading Time Warner and Lions Gate Clash at Box Office

Time Warner and Lions Gate Clash at Box Office originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 05 Apr 2010 17:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Wal-Mart, Miley Cyrus join forces for clothing line

Wal-Mart, Miley Cyrus join forces for clothing line originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Jun 2009 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I'm always looking for a catalyst that is going to take Disney (NYSE: DIS) to the next level. The stock hasn't been a great performer over time. Just today, the Mouse issued a press release detailing its latest merchandising plans.

Merchandising falls under the consumer products division. Now, one would expect that this segment would always be rocking considering the brand equity inherent in all of Disney's intellectual properties. Well, let's remind ourselves of how the segment did during the last earnings report. In the second quarter, operating income for consumer products dipped 24%. For the six-month period, operating income was down by 13%. Double-digit declines: nobody likes them. Management commentary about the division specifically stated that lower royalty revenue from merchandise helped to drive the performance. As can be seen, Disney needs some good ideas and strategies to return this segment to growth.

Continue reading Can Disney license its way to a stock rebound?

Can Disney license its way to a stock rebound? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 02 Jun 2009 16:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Well, I didn't necessarily think it was possible, but it was. Disney's (NYSE: DIS) Hannah Montana: The Movie rose to the top of the domestic box office charts over the Easter holiday weekend.

As of early estimates at Boxofficemojo, the Miley Cyrus flick took in $34 million. Yes, I was bearish on her prospects, as you'll see in this preview article. I agreed with industry experts when they said Fast and Furious, distributed by General Electric's (NYSE: GE) Universal, would retain its number-one status.

I was wrong. Furious came in second with over $28 million. DreamWorks Animation's (NYSE: DWA) Monsters vs. Aliens was third with over $22 million, and its total tally has now gone beyond $140 million. It's doing decent business, and it looks like it has a chance to beat the $180 million that Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa captured. Not bad.

Continue reading Hannah Montana is still hot, but is the fad close to an end?

Hannah Montana is still hot, but is the fad close to an end? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 13 Apr 2009 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

So, Disney (NYSE: DIS) shareholders are bracing themselves for another big weekend at the box office. Remember when we were bracing ourselves for the release of the Jonas Brothers concert film? Yeah, that failure. I certainly hope Miley Cyrus does a lot better with her project.

But I have my doubts. Hannah Montana: The Movie opened Friday at over 3,100 domestic theaters. I just don't feel the kind of buzz I had hoped to be feeling at this point surrounding the movie. I don't have the sensation that I've been inundated by the feature's brand equity.

Then again, I'm not the target demographic. Perhaps Disney is reaching all tweens as we speak via the platforms that they frequent and I'm just not aware of it. Tough to tell. Nevertheless, I've seen some of the commercials, and they don't seem overwhelmingly exciting.

Continue reading Is Disney's Hannah Montana movie going to fail this weekend?

Is Disney's Hannah Montana movie going to fail this weekend? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 10 Apr 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I was reading an article from Fortune yesterday about Disney (NYSE: DIS) and Bob Iger. When I got to the end of it, I had the biggest feeling of deja vu that I had ever experienced. Yes, I had heard it all before.

You've heard it all before, too, I'm willing to bet. Here's the basic gist of the piece: Bob Iger knows what he's doing. He's a genius. He's a creative powerhouse, a business wunderkind, a man who has studied the Disney brand, knows it inside and out, and is capable of leveraging that brand over multiple platforms to create immense economic value for shareholders. You know the examples,: you've got your Jonas Brothers, your Miley Cyrus, your Zac Efron and the whole High School Musical gang migrating from Disney Channel to concert stages to DVD releases to the silver Iger was the prescient exec who realized that Pixar should be acquired (take that, Michael Eisner!).

Only problem is, none of this seems to be working. I base this statement on the fact that Disney really hasn't broken out of a really long-term range. I honestly have to wonder if shareholders will ever see Disney at better than $50 per share in their lifetime. I can't be the only one wondering this. That's why I get a little annoyed when I read puff pieces like this one on Iger. Is he really that much of a visionary? And is he doing anything that original? Did he invent the concept of synergy? As far as I know, he did not. One of the main points of the article centered on the major franchises that Disney has going for it. Just once, I'd love to hear about Disney's plans to take one of its existing Disney Channel properties that has not hit franchise status and turn it into the next Hannah Montana phenomenon. To be fair, there may have been a few articles here and there on the subject, but none have studied it to my satisfaction, certainly.

Continue reading Can Bob Iger really turn Disney's stock around?

Can Bob Iger really turn Disney's stock around? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 06 Jan 2009 10:28:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of our feature on Money Winners of 2008. See all 20.

As far as pop star phenomenons go, Miley Cyrus, aka Destiny Hope Cyrus, certainly is one. At just 16 years of age, the bright personality of this moderately talented female offspring of Billy Ray Cyrus has been effectively parlayed into a several-million-dollar property by none other than media giant Disney (NYSE: DIS). She is being exploited in classic Hollywood style, right down to her "morning after" bed sheet clad, Vanity Fair photo shoot. Smile pretty baby, and say cha ching!

The question is, how much is Miley Cyrus really worth? With earnings of $25 million from June 2007 to June 2008, Cyrus is listed as #35 on the Forbes Celebrity 100. Somehow though, that figure seems just a bit misleading. With concert appearances that have tickets selling out in minutes, a hit television show, multiple albums, movie deals, guest appearances, and a host of other deals pending, it's virtually impossible to place a true monetary value on the girl. It is speculated that the Hannah Montana franchise, which features Miley Cyrus, will net Disney in excess of $1 billion. The Baltimore Sun recently reported that Miley Cyrus is currently out-earning names as big as Sandra Bullock and Jennifer Aniston. Her concerts are reported to be out-drawing Bruce Springsteen. Who's the boss now, baby.

Continue reading Money winners of 2008: Miley Cyrus, pop star phenomenon

Money winners of 2008: Miley Cyrus, pop star phenomenon originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 16 Dec 2008 12:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Get ready, Mouse fans. Disney (NYSE: DIS) will be letting Wall Street know this Thursday if its fourth quarter was a good one or not. A lot of eyes will be on the company. Shareholders will want to know the outlook for the theme parks and how the advertising marketplace is treating the company's media holdings. So far, things haven't been too bad at Disney, but many on Wall Street are expecting the recession is to catch up to the company. I expect this myself. So I'll be perusing the conference-call transcript for such items as guest spending at the parks and the quality of the scatter advertising market at ABC. I'll also be keeping my eye out for comments about the consumer-products segment and the company's investments in the video-game division. Disney is spending a lot on the latter, and I think shareholders need to have an idea of how the portfolio of games to be released during the holiday season is expected to perform. In terms of the former, I want to know if the Disney brand is working its magic in the retail channels.

In terms of the bottom line, Earnings.com says that income should be about $0.49 per share. That would represent growth of roughly 17%. I'd be happy with that double-digit number. And I'm pretty sure that estimates will be beat by a penny or two, knowing the company's reputation. But as a shareholder, I tend to be more interested in the cash-flow statement. I like to see how much free cash has been generated, and how the company is using it. In fact, we'll get the cash-flow number for the last twelve months this Thursday. I'll want to see how many shares have been repurchased, and I'll be interested in attempting to gauge what the next dividend increase is likely to be. Disney likes to take shares back as a way of rewarding shareholders, but management really needs to do a better job with the dividend, as I think it could be higher. I would expect that Disney will deliver a decent cash-flow statement.

And how are the Disney Channel franchises faring? Is Hannah Montana wearing out her welcome? Somehow, I don't think that will be the case; someday soon, sure, but not just now. And will the next High School Musical movie be released on the big screen with a new cast? I would appreciate one of the analysts out there inquiring about that. The whole Disney-Channel-incubator thing has been a powerful force for both the company and the brand, and I'm sure CEO Bob Iger will be crowing about it. But I'd love to know what his spreadsheets are saying about the longevity at this point for the current franchises. Will Disney know when it's time to sell out of one fad and invest in another? For that matter, how are the Jonas Brothers doing? We do hear about them, but they don't have the same iconic value of a Miley Cyrus, do they? They don't to me, at least, but maybe I'm just out of the loop. Iger should explain what plans the company has to turn them into the next truly big thing.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Disney resist the recession?

Earnings preview: Will Disney resist the recession? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 05 Nov 2008 10:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Disney (NYSE: DIS) needs more and more very young stars to appeal to the teenage demographic. Its ability to deliver this group to advertisers is critical to the company's success.

Disney recently signed 15-year old Demi Lovato to a new record deal. According to The Wall Street Journal, "For Disney, there are few more crucial tasks than finding and developing talent that appeals to 8- to 12-year-olds." The company already has big teen sensation Miley Cyrus, aka Hannah Montana.

With all of the money being made from the TV shows, records and movies using these youngsters as talent, perhaps no one is pausing to ask whether it is good for a 15-year-old to be taken out of a fairly normal family and childhood to be paraded around the world so that Disney can make money. Although no one keeps statistics on this, it seems that these kid are more likely to have drinking, drug and personality problems within a few years of when they become extraordinarily famous.

But they are used up then, and are not of any use to Disney. So, who cares?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Disney (DIS) and the child labor laws originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 17 Jun 2008 14:09:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Merchandise sales based on characters and intellectual properties owned by companies such as Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), which licenses heroes such as Batman, and Viacom's (NYSE: VIA) Nickelodeon, which has had great success with SpongeBob SquarePants, don't compare.

The article rightfully reminds readers that the total amount generated in retail sales is only an indication of how seemingly popular a company's brands are in the marketplace. It does not point to the amount of revenues or profit a company books on the sales (Disney will only receive a small percentage of those sales, perhaps between 5% and 15%).

The important thing I take away from this as a shareholder is that Disney is doing a reasonably good job of milking its franchises. As one might expect, the usual suspects were cited as drivers: Hannah Montana, High School Musical, the Jonas Brothers music project, and Disney Princesses are doing the heavy lifting for Disney's consumer-products division, along with a property that continues to surprise me: Cars. Amazing that the latter remains a popular seller in the boys category.

Continue reading Disney is a licensing king

Disney is a licensing king originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Jun 2008 14:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Wall Street Journal today corrected a story reporting that Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) would host a Miley Cyrus performance at today's shareholders' meeting. Could the change have anything to do with those Vanity Fair photos?

Of course not. The 15-year old billion dollar phenomenon won't appear "because of a scheduling conflict, the company said." The Wall Street Journal owes its readers an explanation for its faulty reporting. And the way to do that would be to investigate the scheduling conflict. Here are some questions for the Wall Street Journal's reporters to ask Wal-Mart and Miley:

• What was the exact scheduling conflict that came up so suddenly between Thursday and this morning?
• Did Miley decide to book another concert appearance on Thursday just so she could have an excuse to cancel her appearance with Wal-Mart?
• Or did Wal-Mart suddenly decide that Miley's Vanity Fair photos made her "inappropriate"?

Can't Rupert Murdoch hire any competent journalists? We need to know what Miley's scheduling conflict was. A one line correction won't do.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in Wal-Mart securities.

Is Wal-Mart punishing Miley Cyrus for photos? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 06 Jun 2008 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Daily News reports that ratings for Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) Hannah Montana program are down 24% since Mileygate broke last week. Last Sunday's new episode's ratings fell 24% from the previous fresh episode, which aired just under two months earlier. And ratings are down 33% since the first episode in January.

Disney thinks everything's fine with Miley. The Daily News quotes CEO Bob Iger as saying: "With a new season of shows coming up, a new record in July and a theatrical film next year, the 'Hannah Montana'/Miley Cyrus franchise is incredibly robust." But kid franchises such as "Hannah" that peak at very high levels are good for roughly 18 months, then start to fade.

Will this have any effect on the $1 billion business that is Miley Cyrus? It depends on whether she can find a new -- older -- audience and deliver what it wants as effectively as she did for the 10 to 14 set. If Mileygate helps her do that then her business will be fine.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in Disney securities.

Is Miley Cyrus's billion dollar money train screeching to a halt? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 07 May 2008 15:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Great timing! Crocs hitches its wagon to Miley Cyrus originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 28 Apr 2008 13:25:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Look out, DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) -- your arch enemy, Disney (NYSE: DIS), wants to be king of animation at the cinema over the next few years. Actually, I suppose other companies who produce animation, such as Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Viacom (NYSE: VIA), should watch out as well.

According to a Disney press release, ten cartoons will be released through 2012. The lineup sounds pretty impressive. We'll be seeing the third Toy Story movie in the summer of 2010, and two years later, audiences will be revving up for a Cars sequel. During the holiday season of 2011, a Pixar fairy tale called "The Bear and the Bow" will be weaving its magic (hopefully) in the multiplexes, which is interesting, because during the summer of that same year, Pixar will be releasing something called "newt", so fans will get two Pixar properties three years from now. Other animated projects include Bolt, which will use the voice talents of John Travolta and Miley Cyrus, and The Princess and the Frog.

Whew, there was a lot of cool intellectual properties in that press release, and as a Disney shareholder, I am excited at the prospects. But this isn't just about a bunch of cartoons, my friends -- not at all. This is a huge test for Bob Iger. Was he correct in spending billions to acquire Pixar and its talent trust, specifically John Lasseter? Mr. Lasseter, the chief creative officer for both Walt Disney Animation and Pixar Animation Studios, has a lot of pressure weighing down upon his shoulders. Not sure if he would actually admit that, but he does. He's the man who's supposed to see Disney's animation assets into the future, to bring Disney's animation brand back to prominence. Many people thought that Disney was losing its way in terms of traditional animation; to add insult to injury, some were questioning whether Pixar, when it wasn't part of Disney proper, was what Disney used to be -- innovative in its creativity, obsessed with quality, and driven to provide a moving experience for animation fans whenever they sat before the silver screen.

So, we'll see whether those billions invested in the Pixar acquisition truly will reap stellar returns on invested capital. It will be the performance of the non-Pixar films that will tell the tale.

Disclosure: I own shares of Disney; positions can change at any time.

Disney's future animated projects -- will they succeed under Lasseter? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Apr 2008 10:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

'Fool's Gold' takes number-one spot at the box office originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 11 Feb 2008 21:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) had a great weekend -- a lot better than Tom Brady et al.'s weekend, to be sure. I don't care about football, but I do care about Disney, since I am long the stock. Its Hannah Montana & Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds concert film grossed about $29 million for the three-day frame. Not too shabby.

I liked the original concept for the release of this film: get in and out, quick and dirty, with a one-week release schedule. Of course, I knew in my gut that, if successful, the run would be extended (I think everyone's gut probably told them the same thing). According to reports, the film will be allowed an extra week of play.

As a Disney shareholder, I obviously want profits maximized to the fullest extent conceivable. But, I wish Disney acted a bit edgier with this one. The company should have released it just for one weekend, taken in the dough (I presume this was a pretty low-budget affair), and then dumped the film on DVD and pay-per-view immediately on Monday. It is time to find out once and for all if near day-and-date release patterns truly can work for major projects. Remember, there's been a lot of buzz in recent years about cutting costs by simultaneously releasing movies to multiple platforms; I think this would have been a great test case for the media industry.

Should the Hannah film be extended? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 04 Feb 2008 18:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of our Hottest Products of 2007 feature. Also check out our other Hottest Products of 2007 posts and let us know which product you think is the greatest thing since sliced bread.

Maybe I am getting old, but when I hear the name Hannah Montana, I think stripper, not wildly popular Disney (NYSE: DIS) Channel show.

But as countless parents of countless girls will tell you, Hannah Montana isn't just a TV show, it's a lifestyle dedicated to the character played by the spunky 15-year-old Miley Cyrus. There are Hannah Montana DVDs, books, cake decorations, and toys. Oh, let's not forget a concert tour where tickets sell for several hundred bucks a pop. A woman who joined the official Miley Cyrus fan club in the hopes of getting tickets before they went on sale filed a lawsuit after she wasn't able to get them.

Before I watched my first Hannah Montana episode, I decided to check in with two experts: my nieces. "It's the best show on the Disney Channel," said Danielle, 11. "Miley Cyrus is a great actress," said Allison, 9. With those endorsements, I took my first steps into a world I knew little about.

Continue reading Hottest Products of 2007: How did Hannah Montana become 'hot'?

Hottest Products of 2007: How did Hannah Montana become 'hot'? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 24 Nov 2007 17:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It doesn't seem that long ago that Hilary Duff was The The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) Channel's shining -- well more like blinding -- star. Hilary had it all: talent, looks, and an innocence that emanates only from Disney Channel stars. But once Duff's 65-episode Disney series Lizzie McGuire peaked in 2001, she went on to other things, including a 2003 album that reached No. 1 on the Billboard 200 (the project sold 3.7 million copies), an Elizabeth Arden fragrance, a clothing line, and another album that debuted earlier this year. What that meant for Disney was that Hilary was out. It didn't take long for someone else to move in -- Miley Cyrus.

You're probably wondering why that name sounds so familiar. Well, it's because Miley Cyrus is the daughter of country singer Billy Ray Cyrus, best known for his top 40 hit "Achy Breaky Heart." Not only are both father and daughter singers, but they are also actors and show off both of their talents, together, on Disney Channel's new hit show Hannah Montana. The show premiered with 5.5 million viewers and 2.3 million tweens (kids 9-14) and became basic cable's top series in the tween demo in its first seven weeks. On the show, Miley plays a teenager trying to lead a normal life while hiding her secret, alter-ego rock star persona Hannah Montana from her classmates. Billy Ray plays her father (you can't get anymore true-to-life than that).

How are Miley and Hannah doing? According to Fortune, "The Disney Channel Hannah Montana series hasn't just been a huge hit with kids and 'tweens; it's become a ubiquitous franchise." The 2006 Hannah Montana soundtrack entered the Billboard 200 at No. 1 and has gone double platinum, with 2.2 million copies sold since October. Hannah clothes are already the No. 1 tween brand at Macy's, and her new double-CD set that serves as a soundtrack and showcase for the actress, Hannah Montana 2: Meet Miley Cyrus, has outsold American Idol winner Kelly Clarkson's new album, both released June 26, by 34,000 copies.

As if that isn't enough for a 14-year-old, Miley's The Best of Both Worlds tour kicks off October 18 and features songs that showcase Miley Cyrus as an artist as well as Hannah Montana. This best of both worlds concept seems to be a smart move for a budding star, since she is establishing her career as a solo artist (Miley Cyrus) as well as a Disney star (Hannah Montana). In a few years, she may be able to drop the whole Hannah persona and continue a singer/actress career as Miley. But for the time being, It makes you wonder if there will be any room in toy and department stores for anything without the Hannah brand-stamp come holidays. Looks like Disney Channel has become nothing more than Miley's kingdom.

Will Miley Cyrus last as Disney's (DIS) new teen queen? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 10 Aug 2007 16:33:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.