
Shares of
Research in Motion (NASDAQ:
RIMM) have been on fire, leaving the stock up about 150% on the year, outperforming stocks like
Apple (NASDAQ:
AAPL) and
Google (NASDAQ:
GOOG)! But during the last few months, the stock has stagnated. Given the current market conditions, the fundamental perspective and the price action, I believe that buying Research in Motion around these levels makes very good sense.
The company reports earnings after the bell on Thursday and, in my opinion, is going to deliver results that are above Wall Street's estimates as well as guidance that is slightly above the forecasts. If this isn't going to be a 'blowout quarter,' then why would buying the stock into earnings make sense? The answer is simple: I'm convinced that many fund managers are simply not willing to risk owning a big momentum stock like RIM into an earnings report this late in the year. Their yearly performance figures are simply too important for fund marketing to take such a speculative risk. But this creates opportunity for small investors if they are willing to take the risk. If the company does deliver solid numbers, confirming many analyst forecasts and nullifying any doubts surrounding the stock, I think the stock will make a quick move to $115 following the release.
Considering that most BloggingStocks readers shouldn't be taking this position, I'd like to explain why this stock is a buy even after a strong move following the release of earnings. First, I think the stock is going to 'catch-up' to other momentum names and, more importantly, I think fund managers are going to increase their exposure to this name after they receive confirmation that RIM is
the smartphone play for 2008 -- a theme that certainly worked in 2007.