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Options Update: J.M. Smucker December volatility flat into Q2 results

J.M. Smucker (SJM) closed at $53.48. SJM report Q2 EPS of $1.22 and revenue of $1.2 billion. December option implied volatility of 27 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional movement after EPS.

ISE Sentiment Index-ISEE closed at 130 on 11/19/09. ISEE 10-day moving average is 136.

Two stocks with IV rise on November 19; E-Trade (ETFC) +31%, Monster Worldwide (MWW) +11%, according to IVolatility.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Hecla Mining trending higher with rising precious metal prices

Hecla Mining (HL) closed at $6.28. Gold is recently down 0.66% to 1133.70 according to Bloomberg. Hecla Mining December and January option implied volatility of 80 is near its 26-week average of 82 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Monster Worldwide (MWW) closed at $16.29. MWW December option implied volatility is at 60, January is at 57; versus its 26-week average of 57. Options were active on November 18 on volume of 56,606 contracts according to Track Data. Average daily volume is 12,750 contracts according to IVolatility.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option Update: Monster Worldwide volatility at 59 into higher Q1 expenses

Monster Worldwide (NASDAQ: MNST) is recently down $2.34 to $23.36 in pre-open trading.

MNST warned of higher marketing-operating expenses and weak revenue trends will result in lower Q1 EPS.

Bank of America lowered its price target to $39 from $45.

MNST overall option implied volatility of 59 is above its 26-week average of 49 according to Track Data, suggesting larger movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Barron's: Monster (MNST) may roar again

Lately, Monster Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: MNST) has scared away investors. This is despite a bull run for mega internet franchises like Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN). Yet Barron's thinks that Monster can roar again.

No doubt, the company has some serious issues. For one thing, the economy appears to be slowing down. Also, competition in the sector is fierce, with players like Indeed.com and Dice (NYSE: DHX) fighting for every dollar.

But it looks like the bad news is baked into the stock already. Keep in mind that Monster trades about 20 times the projected profits for 2008. Additionally, Monster has been building out its global footprint, such as in Europe and Asia. And there are no shortage of buyout suitors, like Google, News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT).

What's more, Monster owns 44.4% of ChinaHR.com, which is the #2 jobs site in China. In light of the crazy valuations of Chinese IPOs, this could be a highly valued asset.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Monster Worldwide (MNST) options strategy after downgrade

MNST logoMonster Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: MNST) shares have been slipping today after a Wachovia Capital Markets analyst downgraded the stock to Market Perform from Outperform. The broker cited a sluggish domestic economy and fewer recruitment advertising. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months as a result of this downgrade, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on MNST.

This stock has been sharply falling since the beginning of the year and hit its 52-week low of 32.37 in mid-September. This morning, MNST opened at $35.15. So far today the stock has hit a low of $35.00 and a high of $38.85. As of 11:20, MNST is trading at $35.53, down $0.28 (-0.8%). The chart for MNST looks neutral but improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a December bear-call credit spread above the $45 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make a 5.3% return in 11 weeks as long as MNST is below $45 at December expiration. Monster would have to rise by more than 26% before we would start to lose money.

MNST has not been above $45 since June, and has shown some resistance around $37 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in late October) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the resistance the stock formed between $40 and $45 in July.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in MNST.

Option update: Monster Worldwide (MNST) buyout chatter

Monster Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: MNST) -- September options active on renewed buyout chatter. MNST is recently up 68 cents to $33.87 on renewed and unconfirmed takeover chatter. MNST September 35 calls have traded 96 times on transaction volume of 4,374 contracts above its open interest of 3,450 contracts. MNST September 35 straddle is trading at $2.30. MNST October option implied volatility of 45 is above its 26-week average of 41 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) -- will hold its INTC Developer Forum in San Francisco on September 18-19. American Technology says, "we expect the company to focus on 45 nanometer process development, mobility as a driver of unit growth, and new areas of growth such as WiMax." INTC over all option implied volatility of 33 is above its 26-week average 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Monster.com (MNST) users getting more than just job offers

For hundreds of thousands of eager job hunters out there, one of the quickest way to get their resumes out to perspective employers is using the online job site from Monster Worldwide (NASDAQ: MNST), Monster.com.

It all seems easy enough; just post your resume and wait for the job offers to roll in. Well, it has been discovered that hackers have cracked into the site's database in order to garner personal information that could help them tailor targeted "phishing emails" to the site's users.

"Phishing" is a long running problem for unsuspecting internet users, where users get e-mails -- seemingly from respected companies -- that convince them to log into various sites and turn over personal information. The most lucrative phishing programs come to users from sites pretending to be bank institutions, or large internet sites such as eBay.com. These try to get the users to log onto the sites and update passwords, or something similar.

Continue reading Monster.com (MNST) users getting more than just job offers

The Monster that wouldn't be taken over. Yet.

For months now, there has been endless speculation in the market that Monster Worldwide Inc (NASDAQ: MNST) would be taken over. In the past days, including today, and weeks, rumors are coming fast and furious. Thanks to the recent appointments of CEO Sal Ianuzzi and CFO Timothy Yates, who worked together at Symbol Technologies Inc (NYSE: SBL), the stock has been trading up. These appointments were "designed to simplify and streamline [Monster's] operations on a global basis," the company said in a press release, and are intended to fuel future growth.

Possible suitors for Monster have included Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) and Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG), as well as newspaper publishers and, more recently, private-equity firms. Does this mean a sale will come any time soon for the global online employment solution provider? It depends on who you ask:

On the "not for sale" side of the fence is Wachovia, who says that after speaking with management, they're confident the company has no intention to sell in the near-term. Analysts at Goldman Sachs appear to agree, as they believe the restructuring in the upper ranks provides a second data point, indicating the company will not be sold. Goldman specifically says that the company's June and July volatility is near a 26-week average, which suggests non-directional risk.

Okay, but other firms beg to differ, including Stifel Nicolaus, which says the appointment of Yates is evidence that management would consider strategic alternatives - alternatives which may include selling the company. The firm points to the sale of Symbol Technologies to Motorola Inc (NYSE: MOT) on Ianuzzi's and Yates's watch.

LBO or no, many firms agree that now is the time to buy shares of Monster.

Monster Worldwide gets new CFO, slides on uncertainties

Monster Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: MNST) opened at $45.20. So far today the stock has hit a low of $45.29 and a high of $44.40. As of 11:00, MNST is trading at $44.62, down $1.26 (-2.7%).

After hitting a one year high of $54.79 in February, the stock has suffered a couple of sharp declines, but appears to have leveled out somewhat over the past month. The company appointed a new CFO today, shortly after naming a new CEO in April. ThinkEquity Partners analyst Terrence Babe says that the management shakeup increases near-term uncertainty and that this company will really have to prove itself before investors get behind the stock. Recent technical indicators for MNST have been bullish and deteriorating slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $55 range. MNST has not been above $55 since last summer and has shown resistance around $50 recently. This trade could be risky if US economic prospects turn very positive, but even if that happens, MNST would have to overcome multiple levels of resistance before this position would be in trouble.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls a position in MNST.

Analyst initiations 12-19-06: Sirius initiated with Market Perform

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Monster Worldwide (MNST) and Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI) were today's most notable initiations:
  • The Bank of America initiated Monster Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ:MNST) with a Buy rating and $57 target; they believe the market has underestimated Monster's long-term growth potential and is overly focused on near-term margins.
  • Janco started Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) with a Market Perform rating and $3.80 target, expecting competitor XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:XMSR) to appreciate more than Sirius once investors regain confidence in XM's management and OEM support.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE:TXN) was initiated with a Market Perform rating and $36 target at Piper Jaffray; they believe shares should trade at a slight discount to peers and are particularly cautious regarding near-term share losses and slower-than-expected ramping of WCDMA.
  • Pacific Growth initiated Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) with a Buy rating and $50 target, as they expect upcoming catalysts that should include Chinese 3G licenses and share gains in WDCMA chipset market.
  • Credit Suisse initiated Garmin Ltd. (NASDAQ:GRMN) with a Neutral rating.
  • UBS started United Natural Foods Inc. (NASDAQ:UNFI) with a Buy rating and $44 target.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations 12-8-06: Monster initiated with Above Average

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Monster Worldwide (MNST) and Electronic Arts (ERTS) were the notable companies initiated today:

  • Caris initiated Monster Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ:MNST) with an Above Average rating and $52 target and believes the stock provides exposure to strong secular growth in online advertising and is a pure play with online help-wanted classified advertising; additionally,
  • Needham started Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:ERTS) with a Hold, based on valuation.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

  • Best Buy Company Inc. (NYSE:BBY) and Circuit City Stores Inc. (NYSE:CC) were initiated with Outperform ratings at Cowen; they believe Best Buy is well-positioned for market share gains and operating margin opportunities and that Circuit City is in the early stages of a turnaround.
  • Business Objects (NASDAQ:BOBJ) was initiated with a Buy rating and $45 target at Jefferies, citing the likelihood of Business Objects outperforming the consensus estimates through 2007, but they also see limited downside if the company does not get acquired.
  • Palm Inc. (NASDAQ:PALM) was started at UBS with a Neutral rating and $15.50 target.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 07:54 PM

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