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Microsoft to unload Razorfish, Publicis looking?

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has engaged investment bank Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) to help it unload digital agency Razorfish. Publicis (OTC: PGPEF) is looking for targets in the online ad space and could be a possible bidder.

Razorfish has been valued at $600 million to $700 million, based on a top line of approximately $400 million for its last fiscal year and peer margins of 12% to 13%. The company boasts 2,000 employees and clients that include Audi, Nike (NYSE: NKE) and Kraft (NYSE: KFT). Microsoft bought the company as part of a $6 billion deal to acquire aQuantive. At the time, Razorfish was known as Avenue A Razorfish, as the result of a merger sealed in the wasteland known as the "dotcom bust."

Continue reading Microsoft to unload Razorfish, Publicis looking?

Morgan Stanley and some of its former traders are fined for exchange violations

This story shows where integrity and greed, the good and the bad are present at all times in the market. Let's take trader A who follows the cardinal rules of trading. He holds an order to buy say $10 million of US treasuries. He knows that such an order will most likely drive the price up. He places his client's order first, then decides to piggy back him and places a trade for his own account after his client's trade is completed.


Trader B holds a similar order from a client to buy $10 million of US treasuries. But unlike trader A, he places an order for his own account first. So he already is in the market. After his trade is completed, he places his client's order which he believes will drive up the price. This practice is called "front running.

Continue reading Morgan Stanley and some of its former traders are fined for exchange violations

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: LEN, RDC, FFIN, SII, AN, ACHN, UA, LULU, JST

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Lennar (NYSE: LEN) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company's near-term liquidity profile is improved following the $400M debt issuance. The firm raised its target price to $12 from $11.
  • Jefferies upgraded Rowan Companies (NYSE: RDC) to Buy from Hold as it believes jack-up drillers will continue to outperform deepwater names. The firm raised its target price to $27 from $20.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded First Financial (NASDAQ: FFIN) to Market Perform from Underperform to reflect more positive loan data for the Texas banks. The firm raised its target price on shares to $44 from $38.
  • MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities.
  • Brinker (NYSE: EAT) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: LEN, RDC, FFIN, SII, AN, ACHN, UA, LULU, JST

Options Update: Morgan Stanley options active into EPS, guidance and capital outlook

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) closed at $22.13. MS is expected to report Q1 EPS soon. April option implied volatility is at 120; July is at 107; near its 26-week average of 113, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) closed at $100.46. GS is expected to report Q1 EPS soon. GS April option implied volatility is at 87, July is at 81; above its 26-week average of 80, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: JCP, NVLS, CAG, RJF, PCG, STP, AMZN, MS, MSFT

Analyst upgrades:
  • JP Morgan upgraded J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) to Neutral from Underweight based on lower input costs, stabilization in home, lower markdown dollars, and valuation.
  • Oppenheimer upgraded Novellus (NASDAQ: NVLS) to Perform from Underperform as it believes Novellus' market share has stabilized and that the company is a potential acquisition target. The firm raised its price target to $20 from $9.
  • Bernstein upgraded ConAgra (NYSE: CAG) to Market Perform from Underperform citing strength in grains and moderating input costs.
  • ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • China Housing (NASDAQ: CHLN) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Roth Capital.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: JCP, NVLS, CAG, RJF, PCG, STP, AMZN, MS, MSFT

Morgan Stanley cancels golf tournament events

Taking note of the backlash against Northern Trust's (NASDAQ: NTRS) golf tournament revelry on the taxpayer dime, Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) has canceled all the festivities planned for its 2009 Memorial Tournament presented by Morgan Stanley.

Morgan Stanley will still be the title sponsor for the June event but won't be booking lavish shows and providing expensive meals to VIPs.

Morgan Stanley hasn't provided much in the way of comment on the decision but then again, none is necessary. There's just no reason to waste taxpayer money and generate so much ill will to provide entertainment for people who worked at a company that lost billions of dollars.

Continue reading Morgan Stanley cancels golf tournament events

Memo to Barney Frank: Four steps to fix finance

Tonight I am appearing on a Boston TV program to discuss whether there are other Madoff disasters lurking as well as eight lessons from 2008. The first half of the program will feature Congressman Barney Frank (D-MA) who chairs the House Financial Services Committee.

The TV producer suggested that I should give Congressman Frank some thoughts about how to fix the financial services industry if I get a chance to talk with him in the green room before the show starts. I am not sure whether I will get to do this or not; however, here are four ideas I will share if I get the chance:

  • Limit leverage. Starting with an SEC ruling in 2004, banks could borrow as much as they wanted -- in some cases over $30 for every $1 of equity. This borrowing has endangered the global financial system. Washington should limit leverage to 8:1 or less.
  • Put banker pay in escrow. As I posted, banks should not pay bankers to close big deals and then let them keep the bonuses after the deals fall apart. Instead, they should do what Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is starting to do, which is to put the bonuses in an escrow account -- if the deals lose money in the years following the contract signing, the money goes to pay off the investors. Otherwise, they get to keep the money.

Continue reading Memo to Barney Frank: Four steps to fix finance

Six banks with $540 billion in bailout money still flying 27 corporate jets

Wonder what happened to the hard earned money you paid in taxes? I can't account for all of it but $540 billion that went to six financial institutions is being used, in part, to operate 27 corporate jets. I may be the only one who feels this way, but I don't think the survival of the global economy depends on using taxpayer money to pay for financial executives to fly on their own corporate jets.

Here are the six financial institutions with the amount of taxpayer money they received and the number of corporate jets they're still flying:

Continue reading Six banks with $540 billion in bailout money still flying 27 corporate jets

Top timer sees bullish technicals after rate cuts

"The Fed lowered interest rates more than expected and in a way that has Wall Street talking; in fact, the stock market is setting up a potentially bullish technical formation," technician Mark Leibovit, editor of Volume Reversal Survey -- often ranked among the top performing market timing services.

He reports, "The market expected a 50 basis point cut to 0.5% with a chance of a 75 bp cut to 0.25%. Some even called for a rate of 0%. The Fed made a lot of people happy, though a bit confused, by lowered the Fed Funds rate target to a range of 0% to 0.25%.

"This is the first time the Fed has lowered rates to a range instead of a an actual number. It also bring the Fed Funds rate to its lowest target rate ever. The Fed also pledged to use "all available tools" to combat a severe financial crisis and prolonged recession. The stock market likes the lower interest rate and the Dow is up 360 points, the S&P is up 44 and the NASDAQ is up 81.

"As I write, all nine market sectors are trading higher, led by Financials which are up 9.8%. Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is up 17.2% after reporting its first quarterly loss as a public company.

Continue reading Top timer sees bullish technicals after rate cuts

Holiday parties scrapped at Citigroup and others -- Wall Street ready for rehab?

According to a Dow Jones report this morning, Citigroup (NYSE: C) has decided to cancel the Christmas party planned for its fixed-income staff in London. The soirée was supposed to be held this Thursday, December 11, but the financial firm apparently decided it was inappropriate to celebrate, considering the 52,000 job cuts it recently announced. The party's cancellation comes shortly after Citi scrapped a holiday celebration for its London equities division, which would have been held December 3.

Today's news from Citigroup is simply the most prominent report among a growing trend this year for U.S. corporations. In my own neighborhood, I can name more than a few companies who've axed their own Christmas plans in deference to the sorry state of the U.S. economy, as well as the continually growing unemployment rolls. It may be the holiday season, but it's harder than ever to find members of the working class who feel like celebrating.

If there's a silver lining to the anti-holiday mood, it's probably the growing trend toward prudent sacrifice among major corporations. Yesterday, we learned that executives at Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) and Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) will forgo bonuses -- and regular pay, in some instances -- along with many of their peers at other investment banks. Is it the least these guys could do? Maybe. But, as any addict can tell you, the first step toward recovery is admitting you have a problem. Now that top executives are starting to shoulder some of the blame, Wall Street could finally be ready for rehab.

Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.

Good News Watch: Morgan Stanley gets the message on pay

I have been posting so much bad news over the last couple of years that I thought it would be interesting to try something different for a change: look for something that's truly good. If I can find it, I'll tell you what the good news is, why it's important, and what it means for the rest of the world. Today's installment: Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) new approach to paying bankers -- which has the potential to keep what broke Wall Street from happening in the future.

Morgan Stanley has decided to create a program to claw back bonuses if the firm loses money in the future. Instead of paying out tens of millions to bankers all in the year they make it, Morgan Stanley will hold the cash in an account and dole it out over three years. The clawback would be triggered by the need for a restatement of results, a significant financial loss or other reputational harm to Morgan Stanley.

Why does this matter? What the current financial crisis tells us is that it doesn't make sense to do big deals if they end up losing money in the future. That leaves someone else -- in this case government to clean up the mess while the people who made those deals keep their millions.

How so? In 2007, bankers made a total of $38 billion in bonuses alone -- even though their shareholders lost $74 billion in stock market value. That's because their reported profits were fake. In the last few years the top nine banks have reported $305 billion in profits -- but since then they've taken $323 billion in write-offs.

Continue reading Good News Watch: Morgan Stanley gets the message on pay

Skeptical analyst predicts fourth-quarter loss for Goldman Sachs

Merrill Lynch analyst Guy Moszkowski had some harsh words this morning for Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS). Rather than a fourth-quarter profit of $2.98 per share, the analyst now expects Goldman to lose 49 cents per share during the quarter. If his prediction comes to pass, it will mark the bank holding company's first-ever quarterly loss as a public company.

While Moszkowski razored his price target on GS from $159 to $100, he maintained his Neutral opinion on the stock. The new target represents a premium of 8.1% to the stock's closing price last Friday. The analyst cites the "stressed" equities market as the primary driver behind his dramatically reduced outlook on Goldman.

In a note to clients, Moszkowski explained that Morgan Stanley's (NYSE: MS) business mix should allow it to weather the choppy market conditions better than Goldman. He trimmed his fourth-quarter earnings forecast on Morgan as well -- dropping his estimate from 72 to 36 cents per share -- but considers the stock a Buy.

The analyst stated, "We still think GS remains in many ways at the forefront of the capital markets industry, but if it can't consistently produce a premium return on equity, it's not going to be able to continue to have the premium valuation multiple that it has enjoyed." As of last Friday's close, Goldman's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 7.63 dwarfed Morgan's ratio of 4.03.

In today's session, MS is up about 5%, compared to Goldman's gain of about 1.2%.

Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.

Visa, MasterCard settle with Discover, but what about Morgan Stanley?

Credit-card concerns Visa, Inc. (NYSE: V) and MasterCard, Inc. (NYSE: MA) will be shelling out up to $2.75 billion to settle an antitrust suit with Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS). Specifically, MasterCard will pay Discover $862.5 million in the fourth quarter, while Visa will fork over $1.89 billion over the course of 2009. Following the release of the settlement's details, an analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods is weighing in favorably on all three firms.

Sanjay Sakhrani called the news "a big win for Discover, as it provides an additional cushion to contend with the implications of a weaker U.S. economy." He expects the payments will add about $1.75 to Discover's earnings per share. However, he also cited the report as an upside catalyst for MasterCard and Visa, as it eliminates an overhang on shares of both companies -- an assertion supported by analyst Julio C. Quinteros, Jr., of Goldman Sachs.

Unfortunately, though, it's not all sunshine and rainbows in the credit-card group today. Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) has filed its own suit against Discover in New York State Supreme Court, alleging that it's entitled to a chunk of the $2.75-billion settlement. DFS was spun off from Morgan Stanley last year, and the latter company claims that it should receive a portion of the award under the terms of a special dividend agreement.

Not so fast, says Discover, which alleges that its parent company is in violation of their spinoff agreement, and "the amount of Morgan Stanley's special dividend is a matter of dispute." Morgan fired back that "there is absolutely no basis for Discover's claim that the agreement was breached." Stay tuned to see how this credit-card drama plays out -- in early trading, shares of all three credit card companies were higher.

Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.

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Last updated: November 08, 2009: 04:56 PM

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