MOST NOTEWORTHY: BP Plc, Swiss Reinsurance and A. Schulman were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Morgan Stanley upgraded shares of BP Plc (NYSE: BP) to Overweight from Equal Weight as they believe the company is at an inflection and net income should grow 22% in 2009.
UBS upgraded Swiss Reinsurance (OTC: SWCEY) to Neutral from Sell on the company's balance sheet, which they believe is solid, but still sees material risk to consensus estimates.
KeyBanc upgraded shares of A. Schulman (NASDAQ: SHLM) to Buy from Hold as they believe the new CEO has had a significant positive impact and that downside is limited from current levels.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: BMC Software, Smart Modular and Entropic Comm were today's noteworthy initiations:
Stanford initiated BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) with a Buy rating and $45 target. The firm highlights the company's broad product portfolio and configuration management database leadership and thinks margin expansion should continue.
ThinkPanmure assumed Smart Modular (NASDAQ: SMOD) with an Accumulate rating and $5.50 target. The firm expects better DRAM pricing but expects SMOD to experience some headwinds with Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) losing share in the server market.
Broadpoint expects Entropic Comm (NASDAQ: ENTR) to benefit from the adoption of applications that allow video through numerous devices, especially high definition and data content. Shares were started with a Buy rating and $6 target.
The Government Accountability Office has decided that the Air Force has done Boeing (NYSE: BA) dirty. It says that in the bidding process for a new air tanker, the Air Force should not have favored Northrop-Grumman (NYSE:NOC) for the project. NOC won the tanker deal several months ago.
The Wall Street Journal reports that the decision "effectively gives Boeing the chance to recapture its decades-long lock on the business of supplying planes that can refuel other planes in midair." The GAO said the Air Force analysts had made mistakes in some of their evaluation analysis.
The whole matter stinks. Boeing has been able to push its agenda in Washington by lobbying hard to keep jobs for the tanker in the US. The Northrop proposal would have had EADS, the European airplane maker, do some of the work. Several senators got behind the idea that Boeing should get another chance.
Was the GAO influenced by Congress? Who will ever know, but if Boeing, which is the incumbent for supplying the military tankers, can get into the position to bid again, something seems a bit off.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Boeing may abandon plans to sell its aerial refueling tanker internationally if it loses its protest of a U.S. Air Force decision to buy $40 billion worth of tankers from a competitor, The Wall Street Journalreported Wednesday [subscription].
Boeing's Mark McGraw, the executive in charge of the program, told The Journal that Boeing had counted on the Pentagon to provide enough volume to make an international tanker business viable.
In February, Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and partner European Aeronautic, Defence & Space (EADS), parent of Airbus, beat out Boeing, the Air Force's only supplier of the aircraft for half a century; the Air Force recently announced that it continues to support that decision. Boeing protested the award to the Government Accountability Office, which must make its recommendation to the Pentagon by Thursday.
Boeing's (NYSE: BA) shares were virtually unchanged on the news in Wednesday mid-day trading, gaining eight cents to $74.43. Northrop Grumman rose $1.03 to $72.09 and EADS fell 46 euro cents to 13.57 euros on the Paris Exchange.
TD AMERITRADE Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: AMTD) said Tuesday its metrics -- including client trades per day and total client assets -- for May have improved, and that third quarter earnings are expected to be at or near the high end of the prior guidance range. Shares were up nearly 2% in after-hours trading.
Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) said Wednesday it has acquired Navic Networks, specializing in emerging forms of television advertising technology, to optimize the delivery and placement of TV advertising. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. Meanwhile, China has begun an anti-monopoly investigation into Microsoft with possibility that lawsuits from local companies could follow.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, Reliance ADA of India might provide high level executives at DreamWorks, including Steven Spielberg, with financing, enabling the media company to part ways with Viacom (NYSE: VIA)'s Paramount Pictures.
For the first time Monday I heard John McCain comparing Barack Obama to Jimmy Carter. I had heard this before in other arenas, but not from McCain. I guess that despite these two presidential candidates pledging to the American people to bring change and resist politics as usual, they are both, as usual as one could get.
Obama is being shaped by the pressures of running for office and to believe otherwise is delusional. I suppose one has to have hope but the effects of the campaign are becoming clear. Obama has been painting McCain as an extension of Bush, which is nonsense, and now in a typical tit-for-tat response, McCain is filling the air with Carter references.
Both McCain and Obama are wrong in their assessments of their opponents and they are becoming commoners to resort to the bottom of the barrel campaign techniques used in every campaign for most of our nation's proud history. Obama gave up the high ground too easily and McCain has decided he can sling mud with the best of them.
Bloomberg News reports that Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) has a whole lot of losing going on. Yesterday, Boeing suffered its fourth straight defeat in three months on a U.S. defense contract. This loss represents $41 billion in lost revenue.
Here are the four contracts:
Yesterday.Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) the world's largest defense company, beat Boeing for a $1.46 billion U.S. Air Force award to build a new network of navigation satellites for military and civilian use. The Air Force said it reviewed five years of past performance for both contractors. Boeing has yet to launch a single satellite under its most recent GPS contract from April 1996, and in 2006 the company forfeited $21.4 million and replaced the program's managers after delays and cost overruns.
February 2008. EADS, parent of Airbus and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) won a $35 billion tanker contest for the Air Force. I've spilled much electronic ink on this one -- it looks like the Air Force changed the specifications for the project but only told EADS about the change.
Harris Corp. (NYSE: HRS) has had a nice run. Over the past five years, the stock price has gone from $14 to $59.
The company is a key player in communications and IT – with about 7,000 engineers and scientists. With the spread of terrorism and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the company's skill sets are certainly "must haves."
But, trends do come to an end (especially in the defense industry). That may be the thinking with the folks at Harris. That is, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal (subscription only), it looks like the company is shopping itself for a potential sale.
I doubt they will have much trouble finding suitors. After all, the sector is full of major operators looking to bulk things up, such as Raytheon (NYSE: RTN), BAE Systems PLC (NASDAQ: BAESY) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC).
Moreover, the fundamentals still are intact at Harris. According to its Q1 report, revenues increased from $1.07 billion to $1.33 billion. Net income came to $108 million, or $0.78 per share.
So far in today's trading, the shares of Harris are up about 9%.
The Wall Street Journal reported that, in an attempt to toughen its regulation standards, SEC chairman Christopher Cox said earlier this week the agency would push Wall Street investment houses will have to reduce borrowing and rely less on short-term financing.
As part of plans to reduce costs and restore profit growth, people close to the situation said that Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) is likely to today identify up to $400B in non-core assets that could be sold. Additionally, the Financial Times reported that Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit will confirm his pledge to cut the bank's cost base by about 20% at a meeting with analysts today. Sources familiar with the matter believe Pandit will dismiss calls for a break-up of the company.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Northrop Grumman, Phase Forward and Celestica were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Cowen upgraded Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) to Outperform from Neutral following the Q1 report based on accelerating growth. Shares were also upgraded at JP Morgan to Overweight from Neutral.
Friedman Billings upgraded Phase Forward (NASDAQ: PFWD) to Outperform from Market Perform following the solid Q1 report and views guidance as beatable.
CIBC raised Celestica (NYSE: CLS) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer following Q1 results, citing end markets that look stable.
OTHER UPGRADES:
JP Morgan upgraded the Consumer Discretionary Sector to Overweight from Underweight.
Wendy's (NYSE: WEN) was raised to Neutral from Sell at Goldman.
Credit Suisse upgraded Aetna (NYSE: AET) from "underperform" to "neutral," according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that JP Morgan upgraded Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) to "overweight" from "neutral."
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Despite excellent earnings from Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) yesterday, a bit of a shadow still hangs over the company. That's because in February the Air Force awarded a $100 billion contract for in-flight refueling craft -- known as tankers -- to EADS's Airbus and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC). Boeing is currently challenging this award. But an interview I did for my book on Boeing suggests that Boeing will not win this contract because George W. Bush and John McCain want to award the contract to Bush's new friends: France's Nicolas Sarkozy and Germany's Angela Merkel.
I got this theory from a veteran Wall Street analyst who covers the aircraft industry. He suggested that Boeing lost the Tanker bid because John McCain -- who is ranking member on the Senate Armed Services Committee -- had the Air Force change the specifications for the tanker bid so Airbus and Northrop would be able to field a competitive bid. My source noted that the one problem with the change was that the Air Force did not inform Boeing about it.
After the bid was awarded to Airbus, it became clear that the original specifications had changed from a small, 767-sized craft to a medium-sized 777 one. During the review process, my source contends that Boeing asked the Air Force if the 767-sized craft was what it wanted. Boeing also told the Air Force that it would be happy to bid with a different model if the Air Force wanted. But the Air Force told Boeing that it still wanted the 767-sized craft.
Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) gets a mixed report card this morning. Its earnings were up 38% in the first quarter but it lost a $3.74 billion deal to Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC). The Wall Street Journal [subscription required] reports that Boeing earned $1.62 in the first quarter, beating analysts' estimates by 27 cents a share. But Bloomberg News reports that Boeing lost another contest with Northrop -- this time for a spy plane, specifically a drone.
First, the good news for Boeing. The Journal reports that its net income of $1.21 billion, or $1.62 a share, increased 43% from $877 million, or $1.13 a share, a year earlier, while its revenue climbed 4.1% to $15.99 billion. Also important, Boeing reiterated its boosted guidance for earnings of $5.70 to $5.85 a share on $67 billion to $68 billion in revenue. Analysts' latest mean estimates were $5.93 and $68.95 billion, respectively. Even better, it raised its earnings projections for 2009 to between $6.80 and $7 a share on strong production-program performance and declining research-and-development and pension expenses. Analysts were expecting $6.87.
Now, the bad news. Northrop's Global Hawk drone beat Boeing's aircraft for the 68 plane order, after in February, Boeing already lost an Air Force competition for refueling tankers. Northrop, which had never built a refueling aircraft, faced a Boeing team that supplied the Air Force for more than half a century. Northrop won that $35 billion program by offering a larger jet with more fuel capacity than Boeing. Is Boeing's lack of competitive vigor on the defense side a sign of deeper management problems?
Investors don't seem concerned. Boeing stock is up over 2% in early trading.
The Associated Press reports that John "Freedom Fries" McCain employs former lobbyists for EADS, the parent of Toulouse, France-based Airbus, on his staff. EADS and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) recently won a $100 billion contract to build refueling tankers for the Air Force, edging out Boeing Inc. (NYSE: BA) which has filed a protest.
McCain now employs the people who lobbied for EADS on his own staff. According to the AP report, EADS retained The Loeffler Group to lobby for the tanker deal in 2007. Loeffler Group lobbyists on the project included Tom Loeffler, who lobbies for EADS and serves as McCain's national finance chairman; Susan Nelson, who left Loeffler and is now the campaign's finance director; and former Secretary of the Navy William Ball III, who has campaigned for McCain.
EADS also had a long-term relationship with Ogilvy Government Relations, formerly known as the Federalist Group. Ogilvy lobbyist John Green, who records show worked on the EADS account, recently took a leave of absence to volunteer for McCain as the campaign's congressional liaison.
What Countrywide Financial Corporation (NYSE: CFC) knew about its mortgage borrowers, and how it handled that information, is under review by Federal investigators, according to the Wall Street Journal. Some of their findings reveal that Countrywide had questionable information, which it then put together many of those mortgages into securities, and sold them to investors.
The Financial Times reported that News Corporation (NYSE: NWS) CEO Rupert Murdoch dashed the hopes of Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) executives seeking an alternative to Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ: MSFT) $40B offer after Murdoch endorsed the view of analysts and investors that it could not match the value offered by Microsoft.
OTHER PAPERS:
According to General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) president and COO Frederick A. Henderson, the New York Times reported that the auto maker will not intervene in the dispute between parts supplier American Axle and Manufacturing Holdings Inc (NYSE: AXL) and the United Auto Workers union. Given that the strike has not yet hurt the company's ability to sell vehicles, Henderson said company officials "just have to keep to our own knitting."