Reuters reports today that Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) has signed up Warner Music Group Corp. (NYSE: WMG) to its "Comes with Music" phone service and music store. Nokia is the world's top phone manufacturer and will be making a direct challenge to Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iTunes Store, according to numerous reports. The "Comes with Music" service is the first from a phone manufacturer to "push heavily into content" and "differs from other packages on the market as users can keep all the music they have downloaded" while in yearly contracts with Nokia.
WMG executives allowed the music company to join up with Nokia since the service "is the first global initiative to fundamentally align the interests of music companies with telecommunications companies." Nokia already secured the support of fellow music companies Universal Music Group and Sony BMG Music Entertainment in April, and "Comes with Music" launches later this year. Reuters speculates that the agreements with three of the top four music companies (EMI Group has not signed up yet) will "help Nokia attract smaller music companies and challenge the dominant pay-per-track sales model for digital music." Last year, download sales totaled $2.9 billion; if the 146 million Nokia phones had featured "Comes with Music", those sales would have surpassed the digital market.
Record labels have consistently looked for new methods to challenge Apple's grip on the music industry, and subscription models like "Comes with Music" may finally provide that challenge. Subscription models give the music industry more shares per download since users typically are not allowed to keep tracks downloaded during the subscription. "Comes with Music" is betting against that model since users will be allowed to keep music downloaded, and Nokia and the record companies are no doubt hoping that dynamic will keep those consumers renewing contracts with the service. Reportedly, the subscription for "Comes with Music" will only cost $20 per phone, which on a yearly basis would not be too expensive for unlimited downloads.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lehman Brothers, Nokia and Intuitive Surgical were today's noteworthy initiations:
Morgan Stanley initiated Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH) with an Overweight rating and $31 target. The firm believes Lehman's discount to book value prices in significant write-downs.
Bernstein believes Nokia (NYSE:NOK) will see a slowdown in demand for devices and could loss market share. Shares were initiated with an Underperform rating.
Merriman assumed Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) with a Neutral rating and believes the tightened credit markets could impact capital equipment spending for small and mid-sized hospitals. They find shares appropriately valued at current levels.
Everyone in the music distribution business wants to be like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iTunes. No wonder. It has over 80% of the market. Rhapsody, a competing download service, said yesterday that its subscribers could play their music on the iPod. It feels that should improve their customer base. Maybe. But, probably maybe not.
Now, Nokia (NYSE:NOK) has signed up Warner Music (NYSE:WMG) to its mobile phone music service. The big handset company has done deals with three of the four largest record labels.
According to the FT, "Consumers who buy Nokia phones featuring Comes with Music will be allowed to download as many songs as they like from Universal Music, Sony-BMG and Warner for a year." Now Warner is on board.
Getting a piece of the iTunes business will be hard, but Nokia probably has a better chance than anyone else. It sells 40% of the world's handsets, over 400 million a year.
But, consumers are used to getting their music from iTunes. Nokia may have a service, and it may have distribution, but it does not have a music brand or product loyalty in the download subscription business.
The loyalty part is important.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Driving on the LA freeways yesterday, there was a message on the periodic amber signs. That is, drivers will need to use hands-free mobile devices if they want to talk on their cell phones.
And, yes, it's caused a stir (LA folks love their cars and cell phones -- hey, it's a lifestyle here). At the same time, I've almost got into a few accidents because of another driver's cell phone use (and, in some cases, texting).
But, will the new California law make any difference?
Well, according to a piece in the Daily Breeze, the answer may be: it depends.
For example, Larry Rosen, who is a psychology professor at the California State University, Dominguez Hills, believes that the law doesn't address the core problem. Basically, cell phone use -- whether hands-free or not -- is a distraction (known as "inattention blindness").
Of course, there are a variety of studies on the topic. Unfortunately, the conclusions are mixed. In other words, it's pretty tough to isolate cause-and-effect on a large scale.
There is one thing that's certain: the new law should result in a boost in hands-free device sales by such makers as Motorola (NYSE: MOT) and Nokia (NYSE: NOK).
So, to learn more about the new law, you can check out CA Hands-Free.
Handset maker Sony-Ericsson said it is having a tough time. According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "the mobile-phone maker continues to be hit hard by a weakening economy in Western Europe, hurting demand for the mid- to high-end handsets it specializes in."
Of course, another big market for more expensive phones is America, Motorola's (NYSE: MOT) last stronghold. The U.S. company faces a double threat now. It does not have any "hot" model to compete with new products from Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Samsung, or Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL). Now it appears that the recession is cutting demand for phones altogether.
Motorola may already be at a place where its handset operation cannot recover. Revenue in the division is dropping rapidly, and the unit is losing money. Its share of the global market has dropped from 22% two years ago to about 12%. And, the company's stock is down to a 52-week low of $7.20, about 65% down from its 52-week high.
No matter how hard it may be for other companies in the industry, the only firms that may do well over the next year are Nokia and specialized handset makers like Apple. Nokia has about 40% of the global market and sells modestly priced phones in rapidly growing markets including China and India. Apple gets the high end of the market.
In the middle is Motorola, with barely a hope of things getting better.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
This post is part of my series featuring established companies and the smaller, more aggressive or innovative rivals that may eventually succeed them.
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is one of the great stories of corporate America and the stock market. Under the leadership and genius of Steven Jobs, Apple is emerging as the premier technology growth company of this decade and the next. In the past five years the stock has rocketed from $9 to the current $175, and yet the story is actually stronger than ever before.
Apple has three major legs of growth in its arsenal and a distribution system that is second to none. The products of Apple are both cool and revolutionary. The 2002 introduction of the iPod defined the MP3 player space. Apple has sold over 150 million units as of March 2008 and commands over 70% of the market share. Many iPod owners are on their 3rd and 4th units, so the actual penetration of addressable customers has been barely scratched. The newer versions include touch screen and of course can store up to 20,000 songs and numerous movies and pictures.
The Mac computer has been re-engineered these past couple of years and is now the rage of the personal computer market. The new Mac is beginning to enter the traditional enterprise sector while maintaining its dominance in the consumer sector. The Leopard operating system became available in mid-2007 to rave reviews. Apple is taking market share in the competitive personal computer sector while maintaining its pricing structure. The company doesn't compete on price but offers such superior functionality that buyers do not mind paying full retail price. The attendant software programs are also seeing a resurgence and also carry high margins.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: American Eagle, Nokia and Nestle were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Oppenheimer downgraded shares of American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) to Perform from Outperform after news Chief Merchandise Officer Susan P. McGalla will leave the company, as they now have less confidence in the company's second half rebound.
Credit Suisse cut Nokia (NYSE: NOK) to Neutral from Outperform as they believe the company's global smartphone market share is unsustainable in near term due to competition from Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL).
Societe Generale downgraded shares of Nestle (OTC: NSRGY) to Sell from Buy as they believe higher raw-materials costs and a slowdown in the U.S. will weigh on 2008 results.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Zimmer Holdings (NYSE: ZMH) was lowered to Market Weight from Overweight at Thomas Weisel.
Goldman cut Taiwan Semi (NYSE: TSM) to Neutral from Buy and Tim Hortons (THI) to Sell from Neutral.
Credit Suisse downgraded Nokia (NYSE:NOK) from "outperform" to "neutra", according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that Bernstein upgraded Bristol-Myers (NYSE:BMY).
McAfee (NYSE:MFE) was started as "outperform" at R.W.Baird, according to Briefing.com. The financial website also reports that Motorola (NYSE:MOT) was started as "underperform" at Credit Suisse.
Of course, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) demonstrated the huge value of owning a pervasive operating system.
But what about the OS for mobile? Microsoft has been building its own alternative. Moreover, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) has Android.
However, the winner may actually be the handset maker, Nokia (NYSE: NOK). This week, the company announced it is purchasing Symbian, which has about 60% of the global market for the mobile OS. The offer comes to about $409.8 million (to grab the 52% that Nokia doesn't already own).
But, unlike Microsoft, Nokia isn't taking a proprietary approach. Instead, Symbian is going to be open source.
True, this is likely to take some time (say several years), but in the meantime, Nokia can leverage its massive global platform by using Symbian's 1,200 programmers. The upshot should be improved innovation and faster product launches (oh, and there will be no need to pay licensing fees to Symbian).
OK, so what about rival handset makers that rely on Symbian, such as Motorola (NYSE: MOT), Sony Ericsson Mobile and Samsung? Might they be worried?
The stock is up 150% over the last year but with its move into the consumer marker BlackBerry maker Research in Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) is entering the fickle world of consumer trendiness, reported the Wall Street Journal's "Heard on the Street". Analysts are concerned about how big the consumer market can be for them, and then there's Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Nokia Corporation (NYSE: NOK) beating down the consumer path. Smart products will help, but price is an issue, and the shares could face a hard fall.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) acknowledged it has hired The Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) to study its troubled portfolios of mortgages, a move which many believe indicates the bank is gauging the market value of the loans in order to eventually sell them.
OTHER PAPERS:
Lazard Ltd (NYSE: LAZ) was hired by UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) to undertake a strategic review of the Swiss bank's businesses, the New York Post learned.
The New York Post also reported some reported turmoil at Live Nation Inc (NYSE: LYV), following the abrupt departure of the concert promoter's chairman, Michael Cohl. Employees in the unit that was led by Cohl fear that the company will lay some of them off, and CEO Michael Rapino is accused of not being strongly committed to the company's mega-deal strategy.
The Boston Herald reported that its unions were told the newspaper will lay off 130 to 160 workers, under its new plan to outsource printing operations elsewhere in the state.
NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX) will pay $250 million in Qatar's Doha stock exchange, the Doha Securities Market (DSM), in return for a 25% stake. It makes sense for NYX to expand into the Middle East as that region is becoming more financially influential.
Nokia (NYSE: NOK) is paying $410 million to buy out the rest of Symbian, a maker of operating systems for mobile phones. This move, announced just as Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) said its Android system will be delayed, could help Nokia as it becomes more entrenched in the marketplace. While Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) Windows Mobile operating system is Symbian's closest rivals, its still new kid Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iPhone that captures the interest of many.
United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) said Monday it will cut about 950 pilot jobs out of its 6,600 pilots beginning this summer. The airline has already announced cutting 1,600 salaried positions and reduce its fleet. UAUA shares, already sliding nearly 15% Monday, continue to decline in premarket trading as airlines will likely stay in focus.
Nokia (NYSE: NOK) has decided it would like to get beat up and spit out by the entertainment industry. It also thinks it can compete with Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) in the content distribution business.
Nokia is the world's largest seller of handsets, with about 40% of the market. Since the margins on that business are being pushed down by lower price for phones sold in places like China and India, the firm needs somewhere else to turn for revenue. Hollywood, where budgets mean nothing, seems like a good choice.
According toThe New York Times, Apple's lock on digital music could help Nokia. The paper writes, "Another possible advantage for Nokia is that music companies welcome a challenger to Apple. They are wary of Apple's growing power in digital music distribution."
But Apple is not the only problem. Dozens of companies from Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) to Sony (NYSE: SNE) are trying to get a piece of the portable entertainment pie. Most content is likely to be available to all distributors under some kind of contract. The large media companies have little reason to restrict themselves in exclusive deals.
The reason Nokia will probably never be a big "media" company is that a hundred other companies want the same thing. Everyone can't win.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
BCE Inc. (NYSE: BCE) shares are jumping over 10% in premarket trading after Canada's Supreme Court overturned a Quebec Court decision, clearing the way for the $52 billion leveraged buyout by Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan and U.S. private equity firms. The buyers might still negotiate the price down though.
Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) withdrew a $3.6 billion offer for Britain's Expro International after the U.K. oil services firm stuck by a smaller bid from a private-equity consortium.
Some analyst calls this morning:
J.C. Penney Co. (NYSE: JCP) was upgraded by Deutsche Bank to Buy from Hold and the price target upped to $46 from $45.
Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) was downgraded by Piper Jaffray to Sell from Neutral on continued weakness in North American market. The target price was cut to $7 from $9.75. Shares are down over 2% in premarket trading.
First Solar (NYSE: FSLR) price target was upped at Lehman Brothers from $280 to $335. Shares are up over 2.5% in premarket trading.
The week was full of news about handsets. Sprint (NYSE: S) said it would launch an "iPhone killer," a $129 phone from Samsung. Many brokerage firms upped estimates for Apple (NYSE: AAPL) iPhone sales as it appears that the demand for the new 3G version will be tremendous. Nokia (NYSE: NOK) launched its E71 and E66 high-end handsets. Lehman upped its targets for earnings estimates at RIM (NASDAQ: RIMM), the maker of the BlackBerry.
And Motorola (NYSE: MOT) shares hit a five-year low at $7.61. The company did not launch any new products. No one on Wall Street upped forecasts on the company. All that was clear is that the firm is taking a worse beating as each month passes.
Motorola plans to spin-off its handset business and keep its home networking and enterprise operations. The entire company has a market cap of under $18 billion now.
Based on Motorola's last 10-Q, the two units the company is keeping have an annual revenue run-rate of over $16 billion. They should make about $1.7 billion in operating profit in 2008. By many measures, together they would be worth $18 billion on their own.
It is a spectacular sign of how bad things are at Motorola's handset business, that, as an enterprise, it may have no financial value at all. Its market share is dropping too fast and its is losing too much money.
MOT may not even be able to give the operation away for nothing.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
"In 1999, Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) went from less than $4 to over $92; but the party came to a screeching halt over the next three years," recalls Chuck Carlson, an expert on stocks that offer dividend reinvestment plans.
In The DRIP Investor, he explains, "The stock has been stuck in a trading range for the last four years. But that looks like it is about to end, as it recently moved to a new 52-week high and is setting its sites on its 2006 high of $53."
"Strong earnings and greater visibility on some litigation matters should pave the way for solid gains in the second half of 2008. Technology stocks should remain among the market's leading sectors, and Qualcomm offers an excellent play in the group.
"Qualcomm generates 90% of its revenue from cell-phone chipsets and license royalties paid by users of its intellectual property. Qualcomm's chips are used in mobile phones and wireless infrastructures around the globe.
"Growth here should remain strong as networks convert to third-generation technology and emerging markets expand and upgrade their infrastructure.
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The week was full of news about handsets. 
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