NakedPuts posts
FeedPosted Sep 18th 2009 5:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rants and raves, Market matters, Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG), Newcastle Investment (NCT), Williams Companies (WMB), Olin Corp. (OLN)
Yesterday my 2009 portfolio closed up 201% for the year. It has been an interesting journey, and while it is rather self congratulatory to discuss it, there are lessons to be learned.
Before I review some of the reasons I was able to do this I want to make it clear that I do not think this can be easily repeated; I look at the portfolio every day thinking this is too good to be true, and we all know what that usually means.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Journey to 201%: APC, ISRG, WFC and more
Posted Feb 23rd 2009 1:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rants and raves, General Electric (GE), Market matters, Options, Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, Recession

There are people in the investing world right now that are so down on the market that they are hedging against an absolute market collapse.
As an example of this view I just sold naked puts in
General Electric (NYSE:
GE), the only original Dow Jones Industrial Average stock for January 2011 at a strike price of $2.50, and collected $0.52, per share. My break even therefore is $1.98, not counting the interest over what is almost a two-year term. Or looking at it another way, I got paid 20% on my money.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Will we be eating out of trash cans?
Posted Feb 17th 2009 12:25PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), United Parcel'B' (UPS), Options, Bargain stocks, Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI), Best Stocks for 2009

In reading recent stories that
Warren Buffett continues to increase his stake in
Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE:
BNI) -- now standing at 22.4% -- I started to wonder if some day the name might be changed to
"Berkshire" Northern Santa Fe RR?'My pal Warren' is no doubt looking long term, and for most of the past two years has been up on
Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE:
BRK.A) BNI investment. However that is not the case today as his most recent purchase at $75.00 per share (not bought in the open market) is under water; the shares closed at $66.04, down 12%. He is losing even more on his average purchase price.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Has BNI become 'Berkshire' Northern Santa Fe
Posted Feb 17th 2009 11:30AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Other issues, Competitive strategy, Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), United Parcel'B' (UPS), Options, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2009

Right or wrong, I have been buying stocks on dips for the last five months, and the past two weeks I started adding naked puts to the mix on down days.
In short (no pun intended), I am opening
an option to sell a stock I do not own. These "naked puts" pay me cash on the first day to accept an obligation to buy a stock in the future at a predetermined price. If the stock is one cent or greater below the strike price, it gets "put to me" and I have to cover the position by buying the shares pledged.
Continue reading Investor fear puts me 'naked' on Wall Street
Posted Aug 9th 2006 8:41AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Internet, Blogs, Rants and raves
Since posting Keep your eye on Black & Decker last week I have had some discussion among other investors and business associates on-line and off about Black & Decker (BDK). There seems to be a general consensus that it is a solid company with strong fundamentals that has cyclical tendencies. This will be weighing on future earnings and no doubt is reflected in the decline of the stock price and the recent earnings report.
I do not own the stock but have been watching it for several months. It came to my attention through reading various business publications and I thought there was some merit to the positive commentary so I put it on my watch-list $25 dollars ago.
On rare occasion I trade options, (puts or calls), and usually have at least one option outstanding. In my original post I had concluded that BDK may be very close to fair value from all the data I had examined. I was thinking out loud that I may want it $10 cheaper seeking a deep value perhaps around $60 per share so I reviewed CBOE cboe.com/delayedquote/QuoteTable.aspx to get a look at options opportunities.
Since I might be willing to buy shares at $60, could I get paid to do so by selling naked puts (TRADING NAKED PUTS CAN BE VERY HIGH RISK!!) at that strike price. Well two things I learned. First, even with the large 25% decline in stock price of the past few months there was not much money in these options. The second is that there is very little "open interest" at all in doing this trade. There was opportunity at $65, $70 and up, but almost none at $55 & $60. To me this indicates that consensus has developed in the options picture supporting my thesis that we may be at fair value for BDK in the $65 to $70 range in the current market... and that I should keep tracking it for that possible deep value.
BTW, Black & Decker is not a must own stock, nothing is. So I can wait forever, buy something of better value, or do nothing. Patience absolutely pays off.
"You do things when the opportunities come along. I've had periods in my life when I've had a bundle of ideas come along, and I've had long dry spells. If I get an idea next week, I'll do something. If not, I won't do a damn thing." -Warren Buffett
Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the vice president for Design and Research of an Architecture & Planning firm.