Tell-tale stat: States' unemployment compensation funds running low

Joseph Lazzaro — Wed, 11 Feb 2009 15:00:00 EST

Filed under: Bad News, Employees, Recession

It's a sign of the times: an increasing number of states are running out of money to pay unemployment compensation benefits.

Seven states have already depleted their employment insurance trust funds, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSC). Another 11 states are in danger of running out of money by the end of 2009.

What's more, states have borrowed $2.3 billion in emergency money from the U.S. government - - money that must be paid back - - to pay for unemployment compensation.

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Tell-tale stat: States' unemployment compensation funds running low originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Feb 2009 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Many states appear to be in recession, fiscal survey shows

Joseph Lazzaro — Fri, 25 Apr 2008 13:28:00 EST

Filed under: Forecasts, Bad News, Economic Data, Housing, Recession

The United States is an enormous, diverse nation, and there's perhaps no better evidence of that than the U.S.'s current economic cycle.

The finances of many states have deteriorated to such a degree that they appear to be in recession, even though the nation as a whole may not be, a survey of 50 state fiscal directors concluded.

The states: budget deficits abound

The National Conference of State Legislatures' survey says that "arguing whether the national economy is in recession is almost beside the point" because the fiscal condition of some states has declined so much that they appear to be in a recession.

In all, 23 states, including hard-hit housing slump states Florida, California, and Nevada, expect to report budget deficits in the next fiscal year, fiscal 2009, with the aggregate revenue shortfall reaching $26 billion. Further, more than two-thirds of the states said they are concerned or pessimistic regarding their F2009 revenue outlook.

Historically, most states experience a decline in revenue as the U.S. economy contracts, as the economic slowdown results in lower retail sales, which lowers sales tax revenue -- a major source of revenue for many states. Job layoffs also decrease state income tax revenue. Further, state social service costs typically increase, as unemployment claims increase and applications for income/food/energy assistance rise.

Florida, California hard hit

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Friday the NCSL data is in-line with the profile of this cycle's economic slowdown. "From the research we can see that the states under most stress are those that rank very high regarding mortgage default and housing foreclosure lists, with Florida and California being the most obvious examples," Dawson said. "These states are going to be under fiscal stress for a considerable period of time due to the size of their housing correction."

Moreover, Dawson said because of California's and Florida's size, "it will be very hard for the nation to grow at capacity until these states have started to grow." Hence, a return to robust economic conditions nationally, "could be a year to 18 months off, assuming growth resumes nationally by late 2008," he said.

Continue reading Many states appear to be in recession, fiscal survey shows

Many states appear to be in recession, fiscal survey shows originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 25 Apr 2008 13:28:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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