The stance of currency traders as the U.S. Treasury's $700 billion bailout enters a House/Senate conference committee before floors votes and a transmittal to President Bush's desk? Stand aside, for now.
True, the dollar was holding its own Thursday at mid-day against the world's other major currencies, and
the Dow was up about 250 points to 11,077 in what some called a 'euphoria rally,' but caution remains the order of the day, regarding the dollar, so says currency trader Andrew Resnick.
"There are still too many unknowns regarding the bailout bill to make an informed conclusion regarding the dollar's prospects at this juncture, so the best stance is standing aside," Resnick said. He added that he was presently flat, or had no open currency trading positions.
For the record, the
dollar was slightly higher, up about one-half cent to $1.8401 versus the
British pound, but down a quarter-cent to $1.4645 versus the euro. The greenback was also up about one-half yen to 106.56 versus
Japan's yen.
The above moves are "statistically insignificant," given the basket of fiscal, monetary, financial sector, and economic unknowns relating to the United States economy, Resnick said.
"We won't know the dollar's fate until we know how much money the U.S. Treasury will spend, in what increments, its primary method of funding, what assets it will buy and at what prices, and how much money the [U.S.] government will have left to deal with other issues," Resnick said. "These are enormous issues, so the situation will remain clouded until we know more."
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