Paul McWilliams was one of the few to not be surprised by the upside surprises in recent quarterly earnings reports from Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), as he has been consistently more bullish than others on Wall Street.

In his Next Inning, the tech stock specialist -- who personally owns a position in the stock -- offers a detailed and in-depth review of the firm's latest results and outlook.

"For the first time in what now seems like at least a year, not a single analyst on the Intel conference call asked about whether netbook sales were 'cannibalizing' notebook sales.

Continue reading Tech guru looks inside Intel (INTC)

Tech guru looks inside Intel (INTC) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 16 Oct 2009 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Strong results for Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) came as a surprise to Wall Street; not to tech sector specialist Paul McWilliams, who has been adamant in his forecast that the company would exceed expectations.

In his Next Inning newsletter, designed for the tech-savvy investor. the advisor suggests that the story behind Intel's success is very simple and can be summed up in the expression "x86 everywhere." Here's his assessment.

"To a great extent, Intel's Q2 report proves that Wall Street wasn't only wrong about INTC, but wrong in a big way as to how the tech industry has managed the sharp downturn that unfolded during the last nine or so months.

"While The Street expected tech companies to react as they have in the past by adapting too slowly and stuffing supply channels with tons of inventory, tech companies demonstrated they learned lessons in 2001- 2002 and immediately clamped the supply lines and held back production while channel inventory was digested.

Continue reading Intel (INTC): 'x86 everywhere'

Intel (INTC): 'x86 everywhere' originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 16 Jul 2009 10:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"My top stock for 2009 is EZChip Semiconductor Ltd. (NASDAQ: EZCH)," says Paul McWilliams in Next Inning technology newsletter. Indeed, the advisor believes the chip stock could double in 2009.

McWillaims explains, "I came as close as I've ever come to 'pounding the table' when first recommending EZCH when the stock was trading in the $6's and I continue to believe the stock provides a very attractive balance between risk and potentially high rewards from its current price in the mid-$11's.

"EZCH has captured designs at tier one and tier two networking companies with its innovative and highly pipelined network processor (NPU) and I believe is set to do the same with its soon-to-be-released NPU aimed at the access markets.

"These design wins have been several years in the making and the products, which include the wildly successful Juniper (JNPR) MX series of routers and are just now building momentum.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: EZChip (EZCH)

Top Stock Picks '09: EZChip (EZCH) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 12 Jan 2009 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a report entitled "Six-pack of technology favorites." You can read about the other top tech stock picks here.

"I think Wall Street has made a poor assessment of Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI)," says Paul McWilliams. Here's a look at the chip maker from his technology-focused newsletter, Next Inning.

"Analog Device's top line guidance came in a bit below Wall Street expectations. However, I think the problems are between the Hudson and East Rivers and not in Norwood, Massachusetts, the hometown of Analog.

"What Wall Street appears to be missing is that since ADI has sold off some of its lower profit business units, its seasonal sales patterns have changed. ADI is now again driven by industrial market sectors much more than it was even just last year.

"Therefore, its conservative guidance of flat to up 3% sequentially shouldn't have been a big surprise nor a cause for concern. As a matter of fact, with its minimal exposure to PC and consumer markets, I think flat to up 3% is pretty good.

"What Wall Street would be better to focus on are the operational improvements ADI has made. In its July quarter, ADI improved its pro forma operating margin to 26.5% from 26.2% last quarter and again reduced its inventory, which sits now at the lowest level we've seen since 2004.

Continue reading In the chips with Analog Devices (ADI)

In the chips with Analog Devices (ADI) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 29 Aug 2008 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In Next Inning newsletter, technology stock guru Paul McWilliams sees weakness in Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ) as an opportunity to buy "one of the best-managed large cap tech companies in the world."

"Following Mark Hurd's appointment as CEO back in 2005, we turned cautiously bullish on the shares. It didn't take long to realize that he was not only making the right decisions, but also executing them swiftly and effectively.

"Hurd hit the ground running, trimming fat and restructuring both internal and sales channel operations. The net results were rapidly growing sales, improved profitability and a much higher stock price.

"Now, in line with our earnings preview, Hewlett Packard announced results that were better than the consensus expectation of the covering analysts; HPQ also raised its full year guidance.

"However, the real news is the company's intention to purchase EDS for $13.9 billion. The news of the acquisition has knocked the stock down to a level that represents a clear value opportunity.

"In my view, this is a brilliant move by HPQ and that the negotiated price represents a solid value for HPQ. I believe this represents an opportunity for investors to buy one of the best-managed large cap tech companies in the world at a clear value price."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ): Tech expert sees sees 'clear value' originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 16 May 2008 10:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.