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Occidental: Well-positioned for oil's next vault to the stratosphere

I'm reiterating my buy rating for Occidental Petroleum (OXY), first recommended on April 27, 2009, at a price of $54.81. If you bought OXY in April, you're up an impressive 52%.

Occidental, which focuses on oil and gas exploration and production and has no refineries, is well-positioned to capitalize on oil's likely upcoming surge to triple digits. OXY's oil and gas production should increase about 6 to 7% in 2009, with another solid increase seen in 2010.

Continue reading Occidental: Well-positioned for oil's next vault to the stratosphere

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, DPS, LMT, NOK, OXY, SHW ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Citigroup upgraded Polaris Industries (NYSE: PII) to Buy from Hold after channel checks indicated the company's sales trends improved through September. The firm raised its target on shares to $49 from $33.
  • Jefferies upgraded Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) to Hold from Underperform after channel checks indicated IT spending will be strong in the second half of 2009, but the firm finds the stock fully valued at current levels. Jefferies raised its target on shares to $40 from $32.
  • Pali Captital upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Buy from Neutral on valuation and expectations that lower pricing and international growth will be catalysts going forward. The firm set a $45 price target on shares.
  • Plum Creek Timber (NYSE: PCL) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan.
  • Advanced Micro (NYSE: AMD) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • PPD Inc. (NASDAQ: PPDI) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, DPS, LMT, NOK, OXY, SHW ...

Occidental, like oil's price, is headed higher

Did you a get chance to establish a position in oil giant Occidental Petroleum back in April? If you did, you're up about 35%, and the future looks bright.

I'm reiterating my Buy rating for Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY), first recommended on April 27, 2009 at a price of $54.81.

Continue reading Occidental, like oil's price, is headed higher

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The post-mark-up could sting industrials

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says stock prices may roll back, but techs and financials should be fine.

The pain of the aftermath of mark-ups never goes away. We knew what was in store for us, as the mark-up folks don't like to play on the last day, especially with the newly vigilant Securities and Exchange Commission. I have to believe that this SEC will now become more interested in "the tapes," which would show clients asking brokers to take stocks up as much as they can, something that we know is against the law.

What comes up from mark-up must come down, and the most important "come-downs" should be in the industrials, because we have the least visibility in them. I do not believe the techs have as much to worry about, nor the banks, because both have excellent earnings prospects for the coming quarter. Why sell Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) (Cramer's Take) here? Why sell Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) (Cramer's Take)? And why dump Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take) or Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) (Cramer's Take) or JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) when those have the best possibilities of good news ahead? I can see locking in some Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) (Cramer's Take) gains, but that's going to be the best quarter of all.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The post-mark-up could sting industrials

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Irrational energy moves

Why does the market just go straight down whenever the oil futures go lower? TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says.

A market driven by the price of oil -- good when it goes up and bad when it goes down -- is way too binary to profit from. Yet that's where we find ourselves and it is so counterintuitive as to be unnerving.

I think the fact that oil is struggling and failing to take out $60 is a good sign. The purchasing power of Americans is dependent upon jobs, expenses, psyche, interest rates and the stock market. We know that the stock market isn't our friend or our enemy, interest rates are still our friend, jobs are awful, and psyche seems like a push because the love for President Obama is still in the air.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Irrational energy moves

Choose Occidental Petroleum, because the reign of oil continues

It goes without saying, that the oil/oil services sectors are preferred here. Look for oil to remain a major fuel for propulsion for at least three more decades, even with alternative energy source development. And with the aforementioned in mind, Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) is worth a review.

Occidental Petroleum engages in oil/gas exploration and also makes basic chemicals, plastics, and petrochemicals. The company has proved reserves of 3 billion barrels of oil equivalent in three regions: U.S./North America, Middle East, and Latin America.

Continue reading Choose Occidental Petroleum, because the reign of oil continues

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: WFMI, HPQ, XOM, HAS ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company is taking the right steps to turn its operations around. The firm raised its target price to $13 from $11.
  • Pali upgraded Whole Foods to Buy from Sell following the Q1 report based on better than expected cost containment, labor costs, capex cuts, and plans to rationalize the store base.
  • Thomas Weisel upgraded Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) to Overweight from Market Weight. The firm believes HPQ's risk/reward has improved given overdue reduced FY09 guidance and attractive valuation.
  • Bernstein upgraded Talisman (NYSE: TLM) to Outperform from Market Perform based on relative valuation.
  • Navistar (NYSE: NAV) was added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List.
  • Sovran Self Storage (NYSE: SSS) was upgraded to Perform from Underperform at Oppenheimer.
  • Suncor (NYSE: SU) was upgraded at Barclays to Overweight from Equal Weight.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: WFMI, HPQ, XOM, HAS ...

Serious Money: Barron's pumping oil again!

Oil prices have come down over $100 a barrel in the last six months, and so have oil stocks. How many people out there would have lost their house, not due to the reasons we've become accustomed, but due to betting the wrong way on oil? How many out there thought oil would stay near $147 a barrel rather than drop to the mid $30s in six months? I admit I might have been one of those people. Oil is currently trading in the mid $40s.

I have been paying about $2 a gallon for premium gasoline in Southern California -- sometimes a little higher, sometimes a little lower -- but a far cry from the $4.85 I paid in the summer. I can't even believe my eyes or my wallet relief. Five dollar gas is but a memory. We should all keep that in mind because we all know it is coming back to a gas station near you. We just don't know when.

This week's cover story in Barron's, "Big Oil's a Buy" (subscription required), highlights seven companies with varying degrees of support. The author, Dimitra Defotis, discusses companies with depressed stock prices, which may go lower; and with: relatively solid dividends; the possibility that mergers and acquisitions might be on the horizon; and stock buy-backs options. The four key stocks Defotis likes are XOM, TOT, BP and PBR. For example, XOM was chosen because of superior management and stacks of cash; PBR because of its reserves. Defotis questions the debt levels and access to new reserves of COP and RDS.

Continue reading Serious Money: Barron's pumping oil again!

Cramer on BloggingStocks: This market is driving the little guy away

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it's too crazy for a lot of people, and they're cashing out of this casino.

Last night, during a talk at the 92nd Street Y in New York, I fielded questions from an overwhelming group of eager and confused investors, almost all of whom are bewildered, unhappy and fed up. They don't trust stocks and they think that the day-to-day nonsense that passes as a stock market is pure manipulation, that all of the wrong people are getting money from the government and that they wish somehow they could just get back to even so they can get out of this game.

I think they are right.

To me, when I see Occidental (NYSE: OXY) (Cramer's Take) up 5 on a nothing day, when I see Chevron (NYSE: CVX) (Cramer's Take) and Exxon (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take) once again up huge amounts, when I see the market double in the last 40 minutes off obvious manipulation by products that serve only to manipulate, I totally agree with them. When I see the raids on the financials, or the insurers, when I see the shorts pressing JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) (Cramer's Take) down through aggressive shorting without upticks and ETFs, what am I supposed to think? When I see the consumer product stocks get slaughtered on news that isn't new -- Procter (NYSE: PG) (Cramer's Take) says business is tough? Well, hello, they have been saying it all along -- or steel stocks rally big on orders that aren't even here, as in Nucor (NYSE: NUE) (Cramer's Take), I say, "Forget it, the mechanism's not working."

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: This market is driving the little guy away

Analyst calls: PRU, RATE, ACL, LTD, STM, SNP, NFLX, RTP, BHP, OXY ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Premiere Global (NYSE: PGI) to Outperform from Perform on valuation and believes the company's strategic initiatives will drive "healthy" top-line results in a difficult economy.
  • Citigroup upgraded Prudential (NYSE: PRU) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they believe the stock is oversold at current levels. Though upgraded, the firm lowered their target price to $30 from $80.
  • Citigroup also upgraded Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) to Buy from Hold as they believe the company will benefit from the financial market volatility and that the risk/reward is attractive at current levels. The firm maintains a $40 target on the stock.
  • Hospitality Properties (NYSE: HPT) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
  • Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO) was upgraded at Merrill Lynch to Buy from Neutral.
  • Alcon (NYSE: ACL) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia.
Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: PRU, RATE, ACL, LTD, STM, SNP, NFLX, RTP, BHP, OXY ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: 'Cheap' is meaningless

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says tons of stocks look like good buys, and they go down all the time.

All weekend I heard it. Stocks have gotten too cheap. Put 'em away cheap. Don't worry about 'em cheap. To which I say, stocks are only cheap if the companies make it. Stocks are only cheap if the bondholders don't claim them.

Every day I see cheap stocks. Ford (NYSE: F) (Cramer's Take) reported this morning. Ridiculously cheap. How cheap is Sprint (NYSE: S) (Cramer's Take), for heaven's sake? Did you see the Sunrise Senior Living (NYSE: SRZ) (Cramer's Take) numbers? That stock should show up when you enter "cheap stock" in Google. Except Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) (Cramer's Take) comes up.

When Warren Buffett says stocks are cheap, or Jeremy Grantham or Steve Leuthold or Jeremy Siegel, it's very heartening. You just want to go out there and buy cheap stocks like CBS (NYSE: CBS) (Cramer's Take) and Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) (Cramer's Take) and Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) (Cramer's Take) and Talbots (NYSE: TLB) (Cramer's Take).

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: 'Cheap' is meaningless

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Feeling regret over doing the homework

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says maybe the secret is to do no homework. If only that were the case.

If you want to participate in the rally that went on Tuesday I have a very specific suggestion: Don't do any homework. And don't listen to any conference calls. And don't pay any attention to the Q&As about credit and where it is going to come from and how quickly stretched balance sheets became because of all of the huge buybacks that were going on for so long.

Make sure you only follow Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) (Cramer's Take), Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) (Cramer's Take) and Verizon (NYSE: VZ) (Cramer's Take) as they had great quarters. Don't listen to Occidental (NYSE: OXY) (Cramer's Take), where the always honest CFO Steve Chazen lays it all out, lays out how so many oil and gas operators will be broken by this decline and the lack of financing available. Don't listen to Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) (Cramer's Take) where you would learn that the worst recession in appliances in three decades is now morphing into the worst ever, and GE (NYSE: GE) (Cramer's Take) is still trying to sell its appliance division.

Don't listen to the cliff-like falloff in orders from an industrial outfit like Crane (NYSE: CR) (Cramer's Take). Certainly don't contemplate what Caterpillar's (NYSE: CAT) (Cramer's Take) order book looks like or Masco's (NYSE: MAS) (Cramer's Take) for that matter.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Feeling regret over doing the homework

The week in preview: Focus on oil and energy

While other earnings may have disappointed last week, the news was good for oil giant ConocoPhilips (NYSE: COP). In what some took as a good sign for big oil, the Houston-based company reported that third quarter net income surged 41% year over year to $3.39 per share, and that revenue also surged 52% to $70 billion. We'll see whether the good news extends to other petroleum giants scheduled to report quarterly results this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are looking for BP (NYSE: BP) profits to have grown 43.2% in the most recent quarter to $2.34 per share on revenue of $109.7 billion, and Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) to post earnings up 39.4% to $3.25 per share on revenue of $86.8 billion. Marathon Oil Corp. (NYSE: MRO), ExxonMobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), and Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) likewise are expected to report higher net income of $2.33 per share (sales of $23.4 billion), $2.40 per share (sales of $131.4 billion), and $2.65 per share, respectively. Even Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) is expected to post earnings slightly higher to $1.46 per share (sales of $36.4 billion), despite the effects of Hurricane Ike. Among these companies, only BP and Valero beat earnings expectations in the previous quarter. Not surprisingly, analysts on average recommend buying all except Valero, and shares of all of these companies have recently hit 52-week lows.

Continue reading The week in preview: Focus on oil and energy

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Sentiment can't measure this broken market

All my career, the sentiment indicators have worked. When you get anything near minus 10 on the oscillator, you have to be silly not to buy. When you get anything approximating 35% bulls on the Investors Intelligence survey, you have to buy.

We have almost double that negative on the oscillator and half as many bulls as that pathetic number.

Sentiment has become meaningless. It is incredible.

If we are going into a severe recession, some of the selling makes sense, but not all of it. As we pull back to 8500 on the Dow, we will be looking at stocks that are yielding 6% to 7% that are solid and can't be shaken. We will be finding stocks at prices that we will look back and think it was impossible to believe.

And then there will be another cohort where we will buy and then watch them go down again, because business is so soft.

I want to reiterate that the stock market for now is just plain broken. You can't have Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) down 15% like it is nothing. The company should be losing money with that kind of decline. Remember when I said on Monday that you can't have ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) ) go up 10 because it can go down 10 just as easily?

Well, here we go.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Sentiment can't measure this broken market

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Oil stocks + dividends = good times

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the companies could deliver money to shareholders without sacrificing growth.

What happens if the oil companies start actually recognizing their good fortune -- their sustainable good fortune -- and start boosting dividends the way that Tidewater (NYSE: TDW) (Cramer's Take) did last week with its 67% hike.

Throughout this great run with oil and gas, it seems that the companies themselves haven't caught up with the good fortune. They haven't spent that much on drilling relative to profits, and they have chosen to buy a lot of stock back, never bad. But what if they start returning the profits to shareholders in the form of dividends?

I think that what could happen is that you wouldn't think that Chevron (NYSE: CVX) (Cramer's Take) and Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) (Cramer's Take) and Exxon (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take) are such nose-bleeders.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Oil stocks + dividends = good times

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-17.2410,433.71
NASDAQ-6.832,169.18
S&P 500-0.591,105.65

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 05:54 AM

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