With the shift of power in the United States one of the hot topics is obviously America's dependence on oil and fuel consumption. During the coming administration we're likely to see a change in the energy field as new options are sought. It's likely that there will be some newcomers to the industry, but most likely the old standards will continue to pave the way for the future of energy.

I doubt that there will be any disruptive technologies to change the utilities in my lifetime. By investing in an exchange traded fund (ETF) consisting of a basket of utilities you will have a safe bet on energy. Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) includes electric utilities, multi-utilities, independent power producers, energy traders and gas utilities.

You'll own companies such as Exelon Corp. (NYSE: EXC) a utility services holding company, Southern Company (NYSE: SO) who uses subsidiaries in the generation, transmission, distribution and sale of electricity, Dominion Resources, Inc (NYSE: D) a provider of electricity and natural gas to the eastern United States, and Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE: DUK) an energy company in the Americas. XLU also gives you a diversified basket of dividend paying stocks. Over the past year, XLU has paid about $1.20 which is currently a 4.3% yield on a $28 stock which down 33% this year (which means your dividend yield is higher). That's a lot better than 10 year T-Bills and the stocks in this index could appreciate as well.

Bloomberg is reporting that two oil "experts" are expecting $100 oil. One expert said $95 crude is "likely this year" and the other said we are "only a headline of significance" away from $100 oil. Interestingly, the article notes that a record number of contracts are outstanding with a bet on $100+ crude oil.

The situation in crude oil predictions makes is rather interesting but I wouldn't take these estimates as being very precise considering the fact that crude oil fundamentals merely fuel speculative buys or sells and the product doesn't really have a true value, because it doesn't generate cash flows.

That being said, I certainly wouldn't bet against crude oil or oil companies. The American people remain reliant on the precious commodity and I don't expect that to change anytime soon, even if alternative energy sources become popular.

Investors who believe that oil prices are going to rally have several options. In this situation I'd much rather purchase individual companies than the commodity simply because oil companies remain very cheap, even on oil prices as low at $50 per barrel. But investors do also have ETF choices such as iPath Crude Oil Total Return Index (NYSE: OIL) or United States Oil Fund (AMEX: USO) for the commodity itself, iShares Oil&Gas Exploration and Production (NYSE: IEO) for Oil&Gas companies, HOLDRS Oil Services Trust (AMEX: OIH) for services companies, or PowerShares Wilder Clean Energy Portfolio (AMEX: PBW) for investors who believe the United States is going to being making significant policy changes to strongly encourage alternative energy choices.

(Note: For ETF information I highly recommend ETF Connect)

While I can't tell you where oil is going or how it's going to move in the next few months, I think it's a pretty safe bet that the demand for crude oil is going to remain and American policymakers are going to be forced to start combating this somehow.