Online retail posts
FeedPosted Jan 14th 2011 4:30PM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
Filed under: China
One could argue that the U.S. equity market is getting a little frothy at current levels and that bullish sentiment is getting ahead of the fundamentals. The preponderance of the evidence, however, seems to suggest that this may continue for some time. If it does, it may be time to take some shots with high risk/high reward speculative stocks.
One of these names is recent Chinese IPO E-Commerce China Dangdang (DANG), which has been promoted as the "Amazon.com of China."
Continue reading Follow Fidelity into China's Online Retailer Dangdang
Posted Oct 22nd 2010 9:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Amazon.com (AMZN)
Amazon's (AMZN) 52-week low is $91.70 and its 52-week high is $166.13. It closed yesterday's regular session at $164.97. It ran into some trouble during the after-hours period that followed, falling 4% at one point to $158.30. Is it time to panic and send in the sell order?
I don't think so. Quite frankly, I've learned that this online retailer has the kind of brand equity that will allow it to generate growth for years to come. Consumers love and trust the experience they get from using the site. Not only is this company useful for the long-term, it's also been a pretty good bet for traders as well.
Continue reading Amazon Still Looks Good After Q3 Earnings
Posted Jul 23rd 2010 4:30PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Internet, Amazon.com (AMZN)
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) was down earlier this afternoon by over 4% to a price of $115.15, which is well below the 52-week high of $151.09. That might make the stock look unappealing in some sense, but I'll tell you what: the latest earnings report shows that the company is doing very well with its operational strategies.
The following chart illustrates the stock's recent struggles. After peaking in April, the bias has been toward the downside. But is this pullback attractive for those who were considering adding the name to a portfolio?
Continue reading Amazon Down After Q2 Release
Posted Oct 26th 2009 11:40AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Consumer Experience, Internet, Competitive Strategy, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon.com (AMZN)
Traditional retailers haven't exactly embraced online sales channels. Sure, they all have websites, and they sell varying amounts of merchandise through them, but they've been slow to tap into the potential. When I was watching the space as an analyst at a major consulting firm (admittedly, back in 2007), many retailers equated a website to a new store opening. Finally, however, this industry is starting to see the potential of this venue, particularly when it comes to tracking consumer behavior.
When the CEO of Macy's (NYSE: M), Terry Lundgren, says that online sales are only good for 6% of last year's total sales, it's a hint. The translation: "We focus on where the revenue is" is much different from "We focus on where the revenue could be." Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO), on the other hand, sees the upside of playing in the online space, which is where it saw revenues spike 85% last year. Aeropostale has seen increases in traditional venues too, but nothing like what it's realized on the web.
So, maybe there's something to this internet, after all.
Continue reading Consumers dislike web tracking, but not enough to change behavior
Posted Oct 22nd 2009 10:40AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Amazon.com (AMZN)
After the closing bell on Thursday, internet retailer Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) will step into the earnings spotlight. Experts believe that Amazon will report third-quarter earnings of 33 cents per share with revenue of $5.03 billion. Amazon forecast third-quarter revenue of $4.75 billion to $5.25 billion. In last year's third quarter, Amazon earned 27 cents per share with revenue of $4.26 billion.
With the economy struggling, what should we expect from Amazon? Reportedly, ThinkEquity saw traffic data that implies Amazon's unique visitors rose 23% in the latest quarter. If this is the case, the retailer's sales should have received a bit of a push in the quarter, which could lead to higher earnings. In fact, the ThinkEquity analyst (Ed Weller) told the Associated Press that he expects Amazon to report earnings of 35 cents per share on revenue of $5.13 billion.
Continue reading Amazon.com earnings preview: Expectations too high for Q3?
Posted Dec 8th 2008 11:42AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Economic Data
The good news this holiday season is that online spending for gifts is up. Depending on the source, the rise is somewhere between 4% and 9%.
The missing piece of the story not reflected in those numbers is that people are spending much less per transaction. While activity may be up, retailer profitability may be down, way down.
According to The New York Times, the Chase Paymentech's Cyber Holiday Pulse Index tells a depressing story. "Chase's index, which surveys 25 of the largest 150 retailers on its Internet payment processing network, showed that the average shopper spent $7.19 less per transaction on Cyber Monday this year over last."
Online spending is not likely to be the only place where this is happening. Consumers, under financial pressure due to lack of credit and concerns about their jobs, are probably spending less everywhere they go. That would make sense. Getting overextended financially is much more risky this year than at any time in the recent past, perhaps going back decades. Why shell out a lot of money? Who knows how bad 2009 will be.
Retailers work on narrow margins, sometimes as low as 2%. Discounts can wipe that out. Comparisons with last year's shopping activity can be very deceiving.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Nov 19th 2008 8:55AM by Brian White (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Industry, Economic Data

Online data measurement company comScore released on Tuesday
October 2008 e-commerce figures, saying it was the slowest growth it has measured since 2001, when it has started tracking the data. After years of solid growth for online retailers (from double digits to single digits recently), October online retail sales grew at a measly 1%. When online retail growth comes to a screeching halt, with all those heavy discounts and free shipping, something's amiss.
Let's take a look at the last five months in online retail sales growth: 11% to 8% to 6% to 5% to 1%. Yikes.
ComScore chairman Gian Fulgoni indicated that rising prices and unemployment rates combined with the psychological impact of the global economic situation has consumers frozen on many of their spending. It will be interesting to see what November's growth figure is like, even with the official start of the holiday shopping season.
ComScore's most significant figure was that spending for households that make below $50,000 per year has dropped off significantly, declining 3% in October compared to the month a year-ago. For households making $50,000 to $100,000, spending increased 1% in October, while households making over $100,000 increased spending to the tune of 14% in October. So,
according to comScore, growth really did come to an almost complete stop for households earning less than $100,000. Will spending recover for this demographic for the next month and a half? Doubtful.
Posted Jul 19th 2008 8:40AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Consumer Experience, Gap Inc (GPS)
Those who cannot drive are going online. Cruising to the mall, if it is 20 or 30 miles away, is no longer a cheap trip. With gas at $4 a gallon, some potential shoppers may not go to the mall at all.
Thank goodness for the internet. More and more people are getting online to buy the things they need. In an economy where many people feel poor, the average online shopper may not be spending big, but he is spending.
According to The New York Times, retailers "are experiencing double-digit sales growth at their shopping Web sites, creating a surprising bright spot during an otherwise gloomy time for sales in brick-and-mortar stores." The paper adds that Gap (NYSE: GPS) "had an 11 percent decline in same-store sales in the first quarter, but a 21 percent increase in online sales."
While the news is a silver lining, it probably does little to save the earnings of large retailers. Internet sales are still a relatively small portion of total revenue for companies that have to support the real estate and personnel costs at significant numbers of large stores. E-commerce traffic may lift numbers a bit, but they do not bring down the expense base that represents most of the problem for retail profitability.
Until the internet sales are 15% or 20% of total sales for a company like Gap, investors should not look at online revenue as a reason to buy retail stocks.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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