The International Energy Agency Thursday increased its 2008 global oil demand forecast slightly, citing China's oil demand,
the agency announced.In its monthly report, the IEA increased global oil demand forecast by 0.1% , or 80,000 barrels per day, to 86.85 million barrels per day. The IEA serves as an energy advisor to 27 industrialized nations, including the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, France, and Japan.
Oil rose $1.03 to $137.08 per barrel in Thursday morning trading.
Economist David H. Wang told BloggingStocks Thursday he expects China's oil demand increase in 2008 to be "roughly in-line with the IEA's 5.6% growth forecast."
"China may end up registering oil demand growth less than 5.6%, if the Chinese Government continues to gradually increase the retail price of gasoline and diesel," Wang said. "My research indicates we are not seeing demand destruction yet in China, but this could change. Gasoline now costs about $3.30-$3.50 [per gallon] and if China approves another round of increases, demand could begin to be pinched, as it has in the United States."
Another gas price hike in China?However, Wang said investors / traders should not assume another gasoline price increase nor lower oil demand in China. "China is trying to take pressure off energy prices and slow its economy, but there's only so much they can increase prices before they have serious consequences on its economy," he said. "The middle class can withstand the price increases but may others with lower incomes can not."