The market hit a high for 2011 today after the unemployment rate fell to 8.8% and after the economy created about 216,000 jobs. The Institute of Supply Management showed a slight drop for March, but investors were positive most of the day. Selling in the last 90 minutes of the day felt a bit surprising -- but that may be nothing more than pre-weekend profit taking.
CLSA upgraded Capital One (COF) to outperform from underperform based on valuation and an acceleration in loan growth. The firm raised its price target to $43 from $40.
KeyBanc upgraded Brush Engineered (BW) to buy from hold based on increased confidence in profit momentum in Specialty Engineered Alloys, valuation and value-added revenue unit growth. The firm has a $30 target on the stock.
Stifel Nicolaus upgraded Heico (HEI) to buy from hold with a $42 target, citing the better-than-expected Q3 results.
Greenbrier (GBX) was upgraded to buy from hold at BB&T.
Paychex (PAYX) was upgraded to hold from sell at Deutsche Bank.
A. Schulman (SHLM) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Longbow.
ThinkEquity upgraded Intel (INTC) to buy from hold and has a $25 target on the stock. The firm believes guidance will prove conservative and strong execution, new product cycle, Win7 cycle and corporate PC-Server refresh will drive shares higher.
Wells Fargo upgraded Holly Energy (HEP) to outperform from market perform after increasing its valuation ranges for small cap pipeline MLPs. The firm raised its valuation range for Holly to $43 to $45.
SunTrust upgraded Watsco (WSO) to buy from neutral as it believes the carrier joint venture will serve as a long-term catalyst. The firm has a $67 price target on the stock. William Blair upgraded Watsco to outperform from market perform ahead of the company's Q4 results to reflect valuation and improving economic conditions.
Staples (SPLS) and Office Max (OMX) were upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
Kellogg (K) was raised to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
Advanced Micro (AMD) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
The contenders list is down to twelve stocks and three puts. I will not be trimming the list today. Instead, I will be reviewing possibilities among four more stocks of well established companies.
There are the two largest home improvement stores, Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's Cos (LOW) as well as the two largest payroll companies, Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and Paychex Inc. (PAYX). They are all fine, well-managed companies, so this will just be a numbers game along with a sense of whether the economy is going to reward investors in 2010, or if it's too early.
Credit Suisse upgraded Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) to Outperform from Neutral and raised its target to $55 from $44 based on earnings momentum and a bottom in the Imaging and Printing segment. Note that Dell was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform.
Jefferies upgraded Covance (NYSE: CVD) to Buy from Hold as it believes investor expectations are more reasonable following the company's conference presentation and that its Late Stage segment should continue to post strong results. The firm raised its target on shares to $65 from $5.
Stephens upgraded Home Bancshares (NASDAQ: HOMB) to Overweight from Equal Weight to reflect improved capital levels and a better-than-expected near-term outlook. The firm raised its target on shares to $27 from $24.
Citigroup upgraded Macy's (NYSE: M) to Buy from Hold after meeting with management as it believes the My Macy's localization is gaining traction. The firm raised its target on shares to $30 from $15.
Gymboree (NASDAQ: GYMB) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital.
DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo.
Baytex Energy (NYSE: BTE) was upgraded to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer at CIBC.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the spike in stock prices warrants no buying until prices go lower.
I read a scary book this weekend: the S&P chart book. It was frightening because there weren't more than a handful charts that aren't overextended, and many stocks have reached levels that I didn't like when their companies were doing well. Chart after chart in every business, but especially retail and industrial, have moved up so much that you have to feel like a chump to come in at these levels.
Just call it 'one win, one loss' with these two shorts, first recommended on May 13, 2009. McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE: MHP). Hold Short, first recommended on May 13, 2009 at a price of $29.89. After flirting with the Buy/Stop Loss at $36, MHP has resumed the predicted path: down. Belt-tightening by states, school districts, and by other education institutions does not bode well for MHP's education publishing wing. Cover Short on a bounce off $20 or $15. Buy/Stop Loss if you were to sell shares in this company: $36.
Citigroup upgraded National Fuel (NYSE: NFG) to Hold from Sell to reflect better than expected drilling results for the company's Marcellus shale assets. Citi raised its target on shares to $43 from $42.
Baird upgraded Netezza (NYSE: NZ) to Outperform from Neutral and raised its target to $14 from $7 based on the company's new product announcement and potential revenue acceleration.
JPMorgan upgraded Liberty Interactive (NASDAQ: LINTA) to Overweight from Neutral. The firm finds the valuation attractive following Liberty's better than expected Q2 results and set a $13 price target on the stock.
Marlin Business (NASDAQ: MRLN) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair.
Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) was upgraded to Sell from Conviction Sell at Goldman.
Today was simple. It's all about employment. A better than expected labor report sent shares soaring. The notion that a late day report showing that credit to Americans is still declining was largely ignored. The unemployment data was good enough that some might even question it. Either way, it looks like the only group losing droves of jobs now is the group of market bears. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels: DJIA:9,730.07(+1.23%) S&P500:1,010.47(+1.35%) NASDAQ:2,000.25(+1.37%) Top 10 Analyst Calls
Opexa Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: OPXA) sold some stem cell technology to Novartis (NYSE: NVS) for $3 million up front, but it is getting another $1 million over six months and the company could get another $50 million from royalties and milestone hurdles. Shares were up a sharp and whopping 300% at $1.89 right before the close.
Investor and trader Mishko Janusevich had a mantra that he used to repeat while outlining the top, new stock shorts that appeared that day, as determined by technical indicators.
He would stand next to the overhead projected stock chart at the front of the trading room and recite, "You see this stock? You see that it's dropped $8 in past two days? You think it can't drop any more? SELL THAT STOCK it's dropping more!!"
Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy/Stop Losses:
Citigroup upgraded Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) to Buy from Hold on expectations the company's top-line growth rate could be more sustainable than expected and its operating margins could recover given due to less retail discounting. The firm raised its price target on shares to $97 from $65.
UBS upgraded King Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: KG) to Buy from Sell based on expectations that Sandoz will settle patent litigation regarding Skelaxin after last weeks settlement of Clarinex with Schering-Plough (SGP).
Jefferies upgraded Reliance Steel (NYSE: RS) to Buy from Hold as it believes steel prices and demand are close to near-term bottoms. The firm raised its target on the stock to $44 from $25.
Palm (NASDAQ: PALM) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
Nestle (OTC: NSRGY) was lifted to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) was upgraded at Wachovia to Outperform from Market Perform.
RBC Capital believes software stock fundamentals have bottomed and that the next several quarters should see reduced earnings risk, easier comps, stimulus spending benefits, and lower FX headwinds. The firm upgraded Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Taleo (NASDAQ: TLEO), Digital River (NASDAQ: DRIV) and Symantec (NASDAQ: SYMC) to Outperform from Sector Perform.
Rodman & Renshaw upgraded Provectus (OTC: PVCT) to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm has increased conviction in the success of the company's ongoing trial of PV-10 in melanoma.
Citigroup upgraded shares of American Express (NYSE: AXP) to Hold from Sell as it believes the risk/reward is balanced at current levels and that there are signs of potential credit market stabilization. The firm raised its price target on shares to $16 from $9.
Brinker (NYSE: EAT) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia.
PG&E (NYSE: PCG) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
Federal-Mogul (NASDAQ: FDML) was lifted to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman.
Yesterday, payroll specialist Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) reported that its third-quarter profit dropped 8%. The company saw investment losses offset gains in other areas, resulting in earnings of 36 cents per share.
A year earlier, PAYX raked in 39 cents per share. Quarterly revenue checked in at $528.6 million, 1% lower than a year ago. Analysts expected earnings of 36 cents, but revenue was forecast to total $536.9 million.