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Earnings highlights: CBS, Comcast, News Corp., Time Warner, UBS, Viacom ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: CBS, Comcast, News Corp., Time Warner, UBS, Viacom ...

Closing Bell: FOMC help & no help ( CMSCA, GRMN, PHM, JAVA, TWX)

Today was an odd trading day considering that the FOMC meeting seemed to command far less media time than in the past, but that was because no real changes in its stance were expected. And the FOMC made the pledge to keep rates low for extended periods.

There was also a mixed picture on ADP and Challenger jobs data ahead of tomorrow's weekly jobless claims and ahead of Friday's key unemployment data. Gold continued its run along with higher oil on weekly inventory data.

Here were the unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,862.44 +90.53 (0.93%)
S&P 500 1,046.50 +1.09 (0.10%)
Nasdaq 2,055.52 -1.80 (-0.09%)

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Continue reading Closing Bell: FOMC help & no help ( CMSCA, GRMN, PHM, JAVA, TWX)

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Missing the big picture

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says don't heed the pundits -- allow yourself to believe things are improving.

Skeptical, or impossible? That's how I am posing the dilemma of the "pull through" argument whether it involves Ford (NYSE: F) (Cramer's Take) and "Cash for Clunkers" or Hovnanian (NYSE: HOV) (Cramer's Take), Lennar (NYSE: LEN) (Cramer's Take), Toll (NYSE: TOL) (Cramer's Take), KB Home (NYSE: KBH) and Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take) and the $8,000 tax credit.

Right now any time there is a stimulus program of any sort, the pundits/media/money managers all decide the most important single issue isn't what it will do to the numbers, or whether it will work at all, but what will it do to the "pull through." How much of future sales will it "steal"?

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Missing the big picture

Comfort Zone Investing: Starting over

Most investors got slammed last year, down 50% or more in their investments. Didn't matter if they owned stocks or real estate, they got hammered. Many have to start over. And if they're near retirement, it's scary. Years of patient investing wiped out, gains that were made over a long time disappeared frighteningly fast.

But now it's time to begin fresh, to rebuild. What's the safest way to regain some or all of the losses without suffering another wipeout?

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Starting over

The week in preview: Seeking more signs of economic stability

Last week's Fed Beige Book report and GDP numbers suggested that the economy may be stabilizing, and this coming week will bring plenty of economic data to confirm or deny that suggestion. On the schedule are consumer credit, construction spending, factory orders, and pending home sales for June, the employment situation, the Import Price Index, and new motor vehicle sales for July, as well as the ISM Manufacturing and Non-manufacturing Indexes for July.

The week will also bring quarterly reports from home builders Beazer Homes USA Inc. (NYSE: BZH), D.R. Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI), and Pulte Homes Inc. (NYSE: PHM). Yet again, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect all three to have narrowed their losses in the most recent quarter. However, they've all tended to post deeper-than-expected losses in recent quarters as well. Analysts also expect to see their revenue down 45% or more for the past quarter. They forecast long-term EPS growth of 7% or more, but none of these homebuilders has a First Call consensus buy recommendation, not surprisingly. Short interest is falling off for Beazer and D.R. Horton, and D.R. Horton and Pulte have been reporting positive cash flow from operations, but all three of them said they had more long-term debt than cash in hand last time around. Mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. (NYSE: PMI) is likewise expected to report that it narrowed its second-quarter loss.

Continue reading The week in preview: Seeking more signs of economic stability

Cramer on BloggingStocks: You can't afford to be certain

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says if you wait for market conditions to reach perfection, you'll be waiting a long time.

You know what? I am going to wait until I am sure housing has turned before I buy the homebuilders like Lennar (NYSE: LEN) (Cramer's Take) and Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take). I am going to wait until the foreclosures peak before I buy Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) (Cramer's Take) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take).

I am going to wait until unemployment goes down before I buy 3M (NYSE: MMM) (Cramer's Take) and Disney (NYSE: DIS) (Cramer's Take) and IBM (NYSE: IBM) (Cramer's Take) and Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) (Cramer's Take).

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: You can't afford to be certain

The week in preview: End-of-quarter earnings expectations: Nike, Oracle, Walgreen ...

This week brings a small flurry of end-of-the-calendar-quarter earnings reports. And for the most part, the expectations of the analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters aren't very high. Companies expected to report declining earnings in the most recently concluded quarter include America's Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT), Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (NASDAQ: BBBY), ConAgra Foods Inc. (NYSE: CAG), Jabil Circuit Inc. (NYSE: JBL), Jackson Hewitt Tax Service Inc. (NYSE: JTX), Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON), and Sonic Corp. (NASDAQ: SONC).

Continue reading The week in preview: End-of-quarter earnings expectations: Nike, Oracle, Walgreen ...

Markets are up, but what about housing?

The major indices continued to rally into the close Monday, after spending most of the day down substantially. The Dow ended the day up fractionally and the S&P 500 was down less than one point. Institutional money continues to enter the markets, says Jim Cramer, and that has limited the size and duration of pullbacks.

Even as the uncertainty comes out of the markets, the clarity that replaces it is tepid at best. But with the S&P 500 resting at seven-month highs, one troublesome sector has badly lagged: housing and home-building stocks.

Continue reading Markets are up, but what about housing?

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The seductive pull of the early cycle

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer is seeing signs of a coming boom, but he's still being cautious here.

If you had to define the early cycle, if you had to outline what stocks should be soaring coming out of a recession into a boom and which ones should be faltering, you would have to say the action in this market in the last month is the quintessential behavioral pattern.

What are the components of the early cycle? First, it's the homebuilders. As is typical coming out of a recession, the stocks precede the bottom of housing. That's exactly what's happening with the lowest permits and highest affordability and best mortgage rates and massive inventory. Everywhere, except on Wall Street reporting, the bottom is bursting out. When you read the lead story in the Sunday Philadelphia Inquirer, and it is all about the thousands of prospective homebuyers heading south to pick up condos and homes for half of what they were worth two years ago -- or even less -- and you know that virtually no one has broken ground in the Sunshine State in a year, you can bet that the bottom's actually behind us. This housing market has wiped out all but the most stable private builders and even the public ones are merging as we know from Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take) and Centex (NYSE: CTX) (Cramer's Take). So, in the next cycle, you can see some profitability developing year over year even though the new homes don't have much margin because the foreclosed homes next door are going for a song. And don't believe this won't change the dynamic of future foreclosures. In most areas, rent is higher than the interest on mortgages, so you will find that second or third job needed to stay in your home. The incentive structure's radically different than a year ago.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The seductive pull of the early cycle

Before the Bell: Wall Street is on a roll -- for now

Investors are expecting Wall Street to continue its recent winning ways.

Stocks are poised to open higher as investors await March retail sales data and the weekly unemployment report. Markets in Europe and Asia were higher.

Retail sales, though weak, may not be as bad as investors had feared. According to the Wall Street Journal, "Wal-Mart Stores and a select group of its discounting peers have helped retail sales exceed modest expectations every month since December, and that streak likely will continue."

Continue reading Before the Bell: Wall Street is on a roll -- for now

Closing Bell: Up, Down, Up... What the heck? (AA, BBBY, CSCO, JNPR, PHM, CTX, S)

This was one of those days that if you just looked at a large group of stocks you would have no feel for the closing bell levels. The FOMC Minutes from the March 17 to March 18 meeting were given some of the blame for the late day sell-off, although if you have to read one-month old data to get insight into a post-Fed action event explaining it... then something is wrong.

Hence the late-day recovery after that. The reality is that traders are still using any excuse to take a profit or to lighten up after a four-week run, and there are still buyers out there to meet them. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 7,837.11 +47.55 (0.61%)
S&P 500 825.16 +9.61 (1.18%)
Nasdaq 1,590.66 +29.05 (1.86%)

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Continue reading Closing Bell: Up, Down, Up... What the heck? (AA, BBBY, CSCO, JNPR, PHM, CTX, S)

Options Update: Pulte volatility low into purchase of Centex

Pulte (NYSE: PHM) and Centex (NYSE: CTX) agreed to merge, creating America's largest homebuilding company. CTX shareholders will receive 0.975 PHM common shares for each CTX they own. The combined company will have a market cap of $4.1B with $3.4B in cash on its balance sheet. PHM April option implied volatility is at 93, May is at 97; below its 26-week average of 102, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Centex April option implied volatility is at 108, May is at 118; near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: In the great tug of war, China wins

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says stocks you'd sell on America alone are buys when you consider that great engine in Asia.

Here's some real tension. The best stocks to play China with may be the worst stocks to own here. Look at Freeport (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) yesterday, which did that giant and hugely successful secondary. There is no doubt in my mind that housing starts won't even get to 600,000 this year, not after that travesty of a stimulus bill -- or when considering the reaction expressed by the stocks of Lennar (NYSE: LEN) (Cramer's Take) and Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take) and, perhaps most hobbled, Centex (NYSE: CTX) (Cramer's Take).

There is also no doubt that China's stock market being up 35% means that Freeport's Asian arm, the biggest, will soon be getting huge orders.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: In the great tug of war, China wins

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: COST, LPL, SWCEY, AKAM, LEAP

Analyst upgrades:
  • Baird upgraded Carlisle (NYSE:CSL) to Outperform from Neutral and lowered their target to $25 from $33 following the company's Q4 results citing attractive valuation and solid execution.
  • Citigroup upgraded Talbots (NYSE:TLB) to Hold from Sell on valuation as they believe the company's cash flow is improving and does not expect the company to face bankruptcy in next three years.
  • Jefferies upgraded shares of Spectra Energy (NYSE:SE) to Hold from Underperform on valuation following the company's Q4 results and raised their target price to $15 from $11.75.
  • Costco (NASDAQ:COST) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • AU Optronics (NYSE:AUO) and LG Display (NYSE:LPL) were upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
  • Alpha Natural (NYSE:ANR) was raised to Buy from Hold at Natixis.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: COST, LPL, SWCEY, AKAM, LEAP

Earnings preview: Homebuilders Centex, Pulte Homes, and DR Horton

Given last week's news that new home sales have plunged and that new home prices continue to fall, what is Wall Street expecting from homebuilders Centex Corp. (NYSE: CTX), Pulte Homes Inc. (NYSE: PHM), and DR Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI) when they report quarterly results this week?

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate that Dallas-based Centex will report that it narrowed its net loss in its fiscal third quarter to $3.27 per share. In the same period of last year, the loss was $7.94 per share. Revenue in the third quarter is expected to total $895.3 million, down 53.0% from last year. For the full year, the loss is expected to reach $7.36 per share on revenue of $4.0 billion, which compares to a $21.69 per share loss on $8.3 billion in sales in 2008. Centex has posted bigger-than-expected losses in the past five quarters. So the consensus recommendation of analysts remains to hold CTX, though the long-range EPS growth forecast is 9.0%. The share price has fallen 20.0% just since the beginning of the year, and it is 70.7% lower than it was a year ago. Centex suspended its quarterly dividends back in October.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Homebuilders Centex, Pulte Homes, and DR Horton

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+24.4110,251.35
NASDAQ+4.862,158.92
S&P 500+2.171,095.25

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 10:30 AM

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