The Chinese government released trade data that portrays a $7.3 billion deficit. Is that believable or just convenient amid the international pressure to raise the value of their currency? We can hardly believe what comes out of Washington, so data coming out of China has to be quite suspect.

I'm sure they retained qualified independent auditors to ascertain the validity of the figures -- yeah right ...

Continue reading Chasing Value: A Chinese Trade Deficit?

Chasing Value: A Chinese Trade Deficit? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 11 Mar 2011 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Oil Services Holders Trust (OIH) closed down 1.8% as WTI crude oil futures sold off 1.91% to $96.23, according to Bloomberg. March and April put option implied volatility of 31 is near its six-month average of 30, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

PetroChina (PTR) overall option implied volatility of 34 is above its 26-week average of 31, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Oil Services Holders Trust Volatility Flat; Oil Trades Below $98 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 25 Feb 2011 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: New Years Quick Takes

Chasing Value: New Years Quick Takes originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 29 Dec 2010 16:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This series started with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies that are worthy considerations to help your portfolio survive a global crisis (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety). After the first review, one stock was eliminated from consideration: Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR). The reason is in the first story.

Today we continue our analysis by examining price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash-flow (P/CF), and dividend yield. Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. In the end we hope to narrow down our choices for candidates that might be added to Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2

Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Dec 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety

Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 14 Dec 2010 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Jack Adamo, editor of Insiders Plus newsletter, has added to global integrated oil companies to the buy list of his model portfolio: Royal Dutch Shell class B (RDS.B) and PetroChina Company Ltd. (PTR).

The advisor explains, "Royal Dutch is the fifth largest integrated oil company as well as one of the oldest oil companies in the world. And PetroChina is the largest oil company in China. We are adding both stocks to our current model portfolio.

"As for Royal Dutch Shell, the company was poorly managed for a while, which resulted in a huge write-off of assets in 2004. Since that time management has been replaced and the newcomers are doing a good job cleaning up the mess.

Continue reading Oil Favorites: Royal Dutch Shell and PetroChina

Oil Favorites: Royal Dutch Shell and PetroChina originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 04 Nov 2010 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Until recently, my largest positions were in financial stocks Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC). As a contrarian investor, I do buy on fear and sell on greed as "my pal Warren" has advised for many years. This has worked out to be very profitable over the past 18 months. However, in the past 30 days the financial stocks have dropped to second place in favor of oil and gas stocks.

I think the economic recovery is moving at a snail's pace, lowering anticipated demand for oil while gas was already depressed based on the same factors and the addition of numerous new large supplies. Add to this the mess in the Gulf of Mexico and the public's already negative sentiment about oil companies and you have the makings of depressed pricing in the sector.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil

Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 02 Aug 2010 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buffett Looking Beyond Our Borders

Serious Money: Buffett Looking Beyond Our Borders originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 16 Jun 2010 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 6 -- Conclusions

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 6 -- Conclusions originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 25 May 2010 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The market continues to be very volatile and trending down. When the seas are this turbulent you want to be on the biggest ships and thus I continue my review of the super cap stocks. This time, I'm going to examine return-on-equity (ROE) and return on-invested-capital (ROIC).

I started with the 12 highest valued companies but remained with 10 after running them through several screens. Among those 10 super, caps the company that is producing the highest returns is Microsoft (MSFT).

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 5 -- ROE, ROIC

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 5 -- ROE, ROIC originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 24 May 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Over the years I have referred to "my pal Warren" (Warren Buffet) on many occasions. He has taught me a great deal. I have learned a few things from Sir John Templeton (RIP) as well. But when I think about the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratios, it is Peter Lynch who stands tall.

Lynch has been retired for many years and has been generous enough to share some of his thoughts in a couple of worthy books: One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street. I highly recommend these best sellers to anyone that wants to expand their knowledge of value investing or manage their own finances.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 3

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 3 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 May 2010 12:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Since early last fall, the majority of pundits have been saying that there would be a rotation from small cap stocks to the safety of large cap stocks in the new year. So far, the small cap stocks have maintained the lead, but a shift is taking place and the longer the bull runs and the worse global news becomes, the more this is likely to continue.

I have decided to examine the largest of the large cap stocks; lets call them the "super" caps; the top twelve as of May 13, 2010. Over the course of this series, the order will change and the bottom few may fade in and out as the market activity dictates. I may update the order, but for simplicity's sake will not change the stocks from the current list.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 17 May 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

PetroChina (PTR) closed April 1 at $119.13. WTI Crude Oil Futures are recently up .65% to $85.42 according to Bloomberg. PTR April put option implied volatility is at 25, May puts are at 28, June is at 30; below its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Baidu (BIDU) closed at $600. BIDU overall option implied volatility of 40 is near its 26-week average of 42, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options Update: PetroChina Volatility Low; Crude Oil Above $85 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 05 Apr 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

India Fund (IFN) closed at $29.97. IFN overall option implied volatility of 26 is below its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

PetroChina (PTR) closed at $111.92. WTI Crude Futures are recently up 0.04% to $79.70 according to Bloomberg. PTR March put option implied volatility is at 24, April puts are at 29; below its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Options Update is by stock specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: India Fund Volatility Low; Index in Tight Ten-Month Range originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Mar 2010 08:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• B. Riley upgraded Prosperity Bancshares (PRSP) to buy from neutral after the company acquired 19 Texas branches of Missouri-based First Bank. The firm has a $45 price target on shares.
• JPMorgan upgraded Fortinet (FTNT) to overweight from neutral on valuation following the recent pullback in shares. The firm has a $20 price target on the stock.
• Wells Fargo upgraded Lamar Advertising (LAMR) to outperform from market perform. The firm believes the stock's risk/reward ratio is compelling, as its checks indicate that advertising continues to accelerate in Q1.
• Caterpillar (CAT) was upgraded to overweight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
• SAP AG (SAP) was upgraded to market perform from underperform at FBR Capital.
• BioMarin (BMRN) was raised to buy from hold at Roth Capital.

Continue reading Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: CAT, ERTS, FTNT, GME, PRSP, SAP, TWX ...

Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: CAT, ERTS, FTNT, GME, PRSP, SAP, TWX ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 09 Feb 2010 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

As the dollars keep piling up in China, there is a need to put the money to work. So how about oil? No doubt, China needs this vital commodity as its economy continues to grow at a rapid clip. Consider that the country imports roughly 3.6 million barrels of oil a day -- and this will inevitably increase in the coming years.

To gear up for things, China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) -- which is the parent company of PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) -- secured a $30 billion loan from the Chinese government. Apparently, the interest rate was fairly low (the loan term is five years). And, yes the money will be used to buy up energy assets across the globe.

Continue reading PetroChina's sugar daddy gets $30 billion for takeovers

PetroChina's sugar daddy gets $30 billion for takeovers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Sep 2009 14:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

They say you should buy low and sell high, which is easy to say but hard to do. How low is low and how high is high?

Sometimes technical support and resistance levels can be helpful in finding those highs and lows. Right now oil stocks like Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), PetroChina Company Ltd. (NYSE: PTR) and Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) are just bouncing off support that may be the "low" many traders are looking for.

Continue reading Oil prices boost oil stocks at support (PTR, XOM, CVX)

Oil prices boost oil stocks at support (PTR, XOM, CVX) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 21 Aug 2009 15:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• Deutsche Bank upgraded HealthSouth (NYSE: HLS) and Rehabcare (NYSE: RHB) to Buy from Hold after raising its Post Acute Care sector view to Positive from Neutral. The firm believes volumes and margin leverage can drive better than expected Q2 results and 2009 guidance. The firm raised its target on HealthSouth shares to $16 from $12 and on Rehabcare to $28 from $19.
  
• Jefferies upgraded Moody's (NYSE: MCO) to Hold from Underperform to reflect stabilizing credit markets and its belief regulatory concerns are overstated. The firm raised its target on shares to $30 from $19.
  
• Keefe Bruyette upgraded Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to Outperform from Market Perform as it finds the stock inexpensive following the better than expected results. The firm has a $195 target on shares.
• Vale (NASDAQ: VALE) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  
• CNOOC (NYSE: CEO) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  
• International Game Tech (NYSE: IGT) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney Montgomery.
  

Continue reading Analyst calls: MCO, VALE, GS, CSCO, PALM, LLY, JBHT, PTR

Analyst calls: MCO, VALE, GS, CSCO, PALM, LLY, JBHT, PTR originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Jul 2009 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CNOOC Ltd (NYSE: CEO) closed at $134.02. WTI Crude Futures are recently up 2.35% to $67.87, above a level of $49 in late April according to Bloomberg. CEO June option implied volatility is at 49, July is at 47; below its 26-week average of 64, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) closed at $116.29. PTR June option implied volatility is at 47, July is at 44; below its 26-week average 60, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: CNOOC and PetroChina volatility low; oil above $67 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Jun 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a 12 articles feature on the best bets for investing in China. To see all the other recommendations in this special report, click here.

"Amidst all the concern about the U.S. economy and stock market, investors may gain some solace, as well as profits, by looking east-to China, where there are signs the huge government stimulus is bearing fruit," explains Stephen Leeb.

In The Complete Investor, he adds, "For income investors, it makes good sense to own carefully selected dividend-generating Chinese securities such as PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) and China National Offshore Oil Corp. (NYSE: CEO).

Here, the growth and income advisor reviews the two Asian energy plays.

Continue reading Leeb looks east to find energy favorites

Leeb looks east to find energy favorites originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 08 May 2009 16:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.