Pan American Silver (NASDAQ: PAAS - option chain) stock is trading lower today after announcing this morning that it has made a formal takeover bid for exploration company Aquiline Resources (TSX: AQI). PAAS will offer Aquiline shareholders 0.2495 of a PAAS common share plus 0.1 of a PAAS common share purchase warrant for each Aquiline common share. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on PAAS.

This morning, PAAS opened at $25.71. So far today the stock has hit a high of $25.75 and a low of $24.35. As of 11:40, PAAS is trading at $24.52, down $1.40 (-5.4%). The chart for PAAS looks bullish.

When gold recently moved above $1,000 the Aden Forecast presciently noted that the metals were overbought and forecast a "well deserved breather" for the precious metals.

Now, with the setback in metals prices, Mary Anne and Pamela Aden explain, "We can't stress enough that you should stay invested in the major uptrend, which still has years to run. Don't get left behind or shaken out." Here is their outlook on metals and some favorite mining stocks.

"Are commodities the new bubble? Have they replaced the real estate bubble, which replaced the
tech stock bubble, as investors move from one bubble to another? It sure looks like it.

"But the big difference is that this metals and commodities bubble has a lot further to go. Why? Basically, the perfect storm has been gathering and it's going to fuel a mega rise that will likely last for years to come.

"Most important is China and other growing nations, which are keeping demand and prices super strong. China's growth has been astounding at over 9% each year for more than 25 years. During that time, China has lifted 300 million people out of poverty and it's quadrupled the average income.

With gold turning down from its recent highs, some have questioned whether the 6-year bull market in metals may be ending. According to Mary Anne and Pamela Aden, the evidence points to the opposite conclusion. Indeed, they note, "Gold and silver have everything going for them and their rises have a lot further to go."

Here, the resource experts and co-editors of The Aden Forecast explain the six key factors they see that are pointing to higher metals prices.

The first two reasons are spending and money. They explain, "The world is swimming in money and that's the fuel that's been driving money assets and commodity prices up. But the magnitude of what's currently happening has never been seen before in world history."

The Adens points out that the U.S. is the world's largest debtor nation and "the government keeps spending money it doesn't have."

Since the government doesn't want to cut spending or raise taxes to reduce its debt, they note, "It simply produces money to cover its expenses, which is what governments throughout history have always done, and this amount is also huge."

In fact, in just over the past year, they observe, the amount of paper dollars that've been created is equal to half the value of all the gold that's ever been produced worldwide over the past 2,000 years, which is about $2 trillion. And it's not just the U.S. "Other countries are pumping out money like mad too. In Europe, for instance, money has been growing at the fastest rate in 17 years."