PeabodyEnergy posts
FeedPosted Nov 9th 2009 1:40PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, China, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy

"Peabody Energy (
BTU) remains a buy in our 'gushers portfolio'." says energy sector expert
Elliott Gue.
In his The Energy Strategist, he explains, "Strong demand for coal from India and China is a growth story that will play out in 2010."
Gue explains, "Peabody reported its third quarter results and share prices have reacted positively. The weakness in US coal markets remains a challenge, but Peabody has taken steps to shore up profitability in the US, cutting back planned production and locking in contracts for 2010 at fixed prices.
Continue reading Peabody (BTU): Energy expert looks to coal
Posted Jun 10th 2009 8:40AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) a coal company, closed at $35.68. BTU is expected to report Q2 EPS in late July. BTU June option implied volatility is at 62, July is at 61; below its 26-week average of 74, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE) closed at $24.70. MEE June option implied volatility is at 84; July is at 78; below its 26-week average of 91; according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price fluctuations.
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) closed at $18.82. ACI June and July option implied volatility of 68 is below its 26-week average of 83 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Feb 20th 2009 1:40PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hilary On Stocks, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), the largest private market coal firm in the world, had a great 2008," says Jack Adamo who has recently added the stock to the buy list of Insiders Plus.
"Peabody has extensive holdings in the U.S. and Australia, the latter serving the China/Asia Pacific markets. It sells steam coal for heating and utility use, and coking coal for steel making.
"Peabody has had some decent iInsider buying in the last few months -- about 30,000 shares -- not enough to get too excited about, but encouraging. There were also 27,000 options exercised, most of it at very low prices, for which the holder took no profits.
"That's also a good sign, particularly since those exercises come with a tax bill, and shares weren't sold to pay it. It implies faith the stock will rise.
Continue reading Coal insiders eye Peabody (BTU)
Posted Jan 5th 2009 9:30AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) closed at $18.50 Friday. ACI January and February option implied volatility of 87 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE), a coal miner, closed at $16.19 Friday. MEE is scheduled to report Q4 EPS in the February option cycle. MEE February option implied volatility of 108 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price fluctuations.
Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) closed at $32.15 Friday. CNX has two principle business units: coal and gas. CNX February option implied volatility of 90 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Alpha Natural (NYSE: ANR), an Appalachian coal producer, closed at $18.38 Friday. ANR February option implied volatility of 107 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), a coal company, closed at $25.06 Friday. BTU is expected to report Q4 EPS in late January. January and February option implied volatility of 97 is above its 26-week average of 89, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Jun 27th 2008 1:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Technical Analysis, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"Coal miner Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE: BTU) looks hot," says Leo Fasciocco, who focuses on stocks that have broken out from technical basing patterns.
In his The Ticker Tape Digest, he explains, "The stock rose above its break points of $81.20, hitting a new high." He adds, "With net set to surge 70% this year, we see an upside target of $105 per share."
"Peabody, based in St. Louis, is a major producer of coal with annual revenues of $4.7 billion. BTU's coal fuels more than 10% of U.S. electricity generation and 2% worldwide.
"The company has mining operations in Appalachia, the Powder River Basin, and the U.S. Southwest and Midwest, as well as Australia and Venezuela. It also markets, brokers, and trades coal, and develops electricity-generation projects.
"Technically, BTU has broken out from a six-week flat base today with expanding volume. It is part of the strong coal group, which has been one of the strongest acting sectors of the market.
Continue reading Breakout for BTU: Technician buys Peabody Energy
Posted Jun 17th 2008 3:56PM by Eliza Popescu (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, U.S. Steel (X), Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
With crude oil prices soaring, shares in coal and fertilizer companies have also been climbing for the past year. Barron's offers a survey of the momentum plays, pointing out some opportunities and risks when investing in coal and fertilizer stocks.
Talking about risks, Barron's underlines the fact that it can be difficult for investors to put their hard earned money into a stock that is already trading near its highs. But as they say, the trend is up unless proven otherwise, and we might take this into account when picking our trades. For example, back in April, it looked like Mosaic Co. (NYSE: MOS) was facing technical weakness, but this did not last long and the company was able to rebound.
Now let's take a took at the coal sector. Data shows that the Dow Jones U.S. coal index gas gained more than 50% for the past year. While James River Coal Co. (NASDAQ: JRCC) has quadrupled this year, Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE: BTU) has been seeing some weakness, and this might be a sign that the sector could face tough times ahead. The first concern tied to supply and demand appeared for Peabody when we began to notice that volume on rally days slipped, while volume on declining days has increased.
Continue reading Barron's offers a survey of momentum plays in hot sectors
Posted May 8th 2008 1:28PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"Oil prices have made the headlines recently," says Martin Hutchinson in The Money Map Reporter. "But the miracle fuel of the 19th Century is coal, the forgotten fossil fuel."
"Coal is located primarily in politically stable, friendly countries - most notably the U.S. market itself. Coal prices have zoomed northward during the past year. The current spot price is around $135 per metric ton, more than double the level of a year ago. Meanwhile, coal production is running way ahead of forecasts.
"In 2005, the World Coal Institute reported production of 4,970 million metric tons, up 78% over 25 years. The main reason for coal's growth is that 80% of China's power needs and 65% of India's come from coal-fired stations.
"Since both India and China are expected to quadruple their power consumption by 2030, most of that increase must come from coal-fired stations. What are the best buys in the sector?
Continue reading Coal: The 'real black gold'
Posted Feb 15th 2008 10:52AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Whole Foods Market (WFMI)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The coal sector, independent refiners and Alexion Pharmaceuticals were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Goldman downgraded the coal sector to Cautious from Neutral, citing valuations and expectations for lower coal prices. The firm downgraded CONSOL Energy (NYSE: CNX) Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) to Neutral from Buy and Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) to Sell from Neutral.
- Lehman downgraded independent refiners, including Alon USA Energy (NYSE: ALJ), to Negative from Neutral and continues to believe that 2H07 marked an inflection point for U.S. refiners, which are transitioning from a multiyear up-cycle into a new downtrend.
- Alexion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ALXN) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia following the company's Q4 results, as they believe management's revenue guidance represents a best-case scenario.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- Lehman lowered Bayer (OTC: BAYRY) to Equal Weight from Overweight and Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
Posted Oct 26th 2007 8:40AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Middle East, Oil, Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer explains why the unique dynamic of oil as a commodity gives alternative fuels a "magic" price point.Boy, that ethanol is cheap. It's cheap if we use corn, and it is even cheaper if we use soy. It doesn't matter how much it costs or how much infrastructure is needed, it's become the low-cost gasoline even with the stupid unnecessary subsidies.
Amazing, isn't it? But that's why
Monsanto (NYSE:
MON) (
Cramer's Take) and
Bunge (NYSE:
BG) (
Cramer's Take) are so cheap and why all of the various "sun" stocks are inexpensive. Oil at $92, going to who knows where, is going to make all of these unnaturally natural alternatives the low-cost fuels.
There are a lot of fuels that are cheaper to produce than oil now, particularly if you read Chris Edmond's unbelievably good series out of the Middle East. It's all demand-on-fire, supply disappearing that is controlling the price. It isn't Nigerian terrorism or Iranian intransigence or Iraqi-Turk tensions.
Those are all just headline terms by writers searching for a reason to write about oil jumping. They have no choice. They can't keep writing "because supply is outstripped by demand," even though that's what is happening.
In a sense, we have a fabulous opportunity as a country to make some headway here on domestic security because of this umbrella. Even coal, which will now never amount to much given the Democrats' desire to stop global warming, becomes too viable to ignore as the rallies in
Peabody Energy (NYSE:
BTU) (
Cramer's Take) and
Arch Coal (NYSE:
ACI) (
Cramer's Take) show.
So, the endless moves up will continue. I have never seen a commodity that has no price at which demand tapers. So anything with a price point of $80 or less is now a go.
Including all crops that will burn.
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RELATED LINKS:
The Five Dumbest Things on Wall Street This Week
The 'Hannah Montana' Stock IndexJim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.
Posted Sep 6th 2007 2:34PM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Options, Commodities
Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE: BTU) -- volume and volatility increases on renewed buyout chatter. BTU, the world's largest private-sector coal company, with 2006 sales of 248 million tons and $5.3 billion in revenues, is recently up $2.30 to $45.60 on unconfirmed and renewed buyout chatter. BTU's CEO Greg Boyce presented at the Lehman Brothers CEO Energy/Power Conference in New York City today. BTU call option volume of 8,070 contracts compares to put volume of 9,128 contracts. BTU September option implied volatility of 39 is above its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.
Massey Energy Corp. (NYSE: MEE) -- implied volatility of 52 is above the 26-week average of 45. MEE, the fourth largest coal company in the U.S. based on produced coal revenue, is recently up $1.44 to $22.24. MEE's Chairman & CEO Don Blankenship will present at the Lehman Brothers CEO Energy/Power Conference in New York City this afternoon.
MEE October option implied volatility of 52 is above its 26-week average of 45 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Consol Energy Inc. (NYSE: CNX) -- volatility Flat as CNX rallies on idling of mine. CNX is recently up $1.31 to $41.24. CNX announced it plans to idle its Mine 84 in Northern Appalachia because of the mine's inability to meet its targeted rate of return. Stifel Nicolaus has a Buy rating and $58 price target on CNX. STFL says, "we continue to favor CNX shares over most of its coal industry peers due to its strong coal reserve base, its favorable market position as the dominant Northern Appalachian coal miner, and its direct exposure to natural gas markets." CNX call option volume of 3,348 contracts compares to put volume of 386 contracts. CNX October option implied volatility of 41 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risks.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Jun 18th 2007 8:11PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Tonight on CNBC's
Mad Money, Jim Cramer said that recent pushes out of Democrats are now backing new coal initiatives for converting coal to fuel. His first two coal producers in the sector are
Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE:
ACI) and
CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:
CNX). Arch Coal is riskier because its coal is somewhat uncommitted in 2008 and 2009. Cramer did say that CONSOL could even try to covert to a Master Limited partnership. But Cramer's favorite coal stock is
Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:
BTU). He likes where it is placed and he thinks coal will rise to catch up to oil as far as gains. Peabody can sell to China and India and it's down over $9.00 from its highs. The company is also going to spin off its Appalachian assets to focus on growth, and that will take the stock higher when it occurs. He thinks it has 41 years of production in reserves.
The sad thing is that coal is something we are stuck with. I know coal is filthy and it contributes to global warming or whatever the powers that be want us to call it now. Yet I also know that it is perhaps the cheapest form of energy and that even if the U.S. went 100% to clean coal, China, India, and many other nations have very little chance of getting around the use of coal. The buildouts for power plants and for power-generating facilities in so many parts of the world will just take too long to build and there are too many very new "clean" or "cleaner" coal power plants in the US that will be operating for many years into the future. The gasification of coal is also something that can theoretically be done as an alternative energy as well, so like it or not it's probably a safe bet that we are stuck with coal for a long time to come.
Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.Posted Jun 18th 2007 10:30AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, ETF Investing
Last December, over 100 stocks were featured in our Top Picks for 2007 report. Now, at mid-year, we turn to the 20 advisors whose picks showed the strongest gains to get an update on their previous picks, as well as a new favorite stock for the second half of the year.
Elliott Gue, editor of The Energy Strategist, chose Energy Metals Corporation (ASE: EMU) as his top pick for 2007. The stock has gained 100%; the company received a takeover bid from SXR Uranium One (OTC: SXRFF) on June 4, 2007.
For his new top pick, the advisor says, "One of my favorite sectors right now is coal. While coal isn't the most environmentally friendly of fuels, it accounts for more than 50% of all energy produced in the U.S. and has an even higher share in developing markets like China.
"I see little chance that coal will lose its pre-eminent status over the next decade. In addition, new uses for coal are emerging. In the U.S., the government is looking to promote the use of coal-derived liquid fuels with a series of subsidies and tax breaks; even the military is exploring the use of coal-derived fuels.
"My top play on the coal sector is Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), the largest coal miner in the U.S. The company is spinning off its high-cost mining operations in the eastern U.S. into a separate firm.
"Meanwhile, Peabody has the largest position in the prolific and rapidly growing coal-producing basin of the West, the Powder River Basin. Even better, the company recently acquired Australia's Excel Coal -- Excel is a major exporter of Australian coal to China. Chinese coal demand is growing rapidly, and Peabody is well placed to take advantage."
See all 20 stocks the advisors picked for the second half of 2007.
Posted Dec 14th 2006 10:27AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Ford Motor (F),
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ford (F) and Circuit City (CC) were the most notable companies upgraded today:
- Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Merrill Lynch based on the company's liquidity-raising efforts;
- Circuit City Stores Inc. (NYSE:CC) was upgraded to Accumulate from Neutral at CL King.
OTHER UPGRADES:
- BEA Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:BEAS) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at JMP Securities based on valuation.
- JP Morgan upgraded Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) to Neutral from Underweight as they believe the company is protected against lower prices in 2007, having already sold most of its planned production for next year.
- Credit Suisse upgraded Heinz Company (NYSE:HNZ) to Neutral from Underperform citing improved fundamentals and earnings visibility.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Posted Dec 5th 2006 11:14AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades
MOST NOTEWORTHY:
- General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:GD) was the only noteworthy company initiated today; Caris initiated the military equipment-maker with an Average rating based on valuation.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Merriman initiated Bankrate Inc. (NASDAQ:RATE) with a Buy rating; the firm said Bankrate has a number of attractive assets and competitive strengths that include a high level of direct-to-site traffic, high quality traffic, pricing leverage and strong management.
- Deutsche Bank started Color Kinetics Inc. (NASDAQ:CLRK) with a Buy rating and $23 target, as it believes Color Kinetics is an attractive play on the rapid adoption of LEDs.
- HSBC initiated Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) and Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE:ACI) with Overweight ratings.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).