Oil Services Holders Trust (OIH) closed down 1.8% as WTI crude oil futures sold off 1.91% to $96.23, according to Bloomberg. March and April put option implied volatility of 31 is near its six-month average of 30, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

PetroChina (PTR) overall option implied volatility of 34 is above its 26-week average of 31, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Oil Services Holders Trust Volatility Flat; Oil Trades Below $98 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 25 Feb 2011 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety

Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 14 Dec 2010 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Until recently, my largest positions were in financial stocks Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC). As a contrarian investor, I do buy on fear and sell on greed as "my pal Warren" has advised for many years. This has worked out to be very profitable over the past 18 months. However, in the past 30 days the financial stocks have dropped to second place in favor of oil and gas stocks.

I think the economic recovery is moving at a snail's pace, lowering anticipated demand for oil while gas was already depressed based on the same factors and the addition of numerous new large supplies. Add to this the mess in the Gulf of Mexico and the public's already negative sentiment about oil companies and you have the makings of depressed pricing in the sector.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil

Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 02 Aug 2010 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buffett Looking Beyond Our Borders

Serious Money: Buffett Looking Beyond Our Borders originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 16 Jun 2010 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 6 -- Conclusions

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 6 -- Conclusions originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 25 May 2010 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The market continues to be very volatile and trending down. When the seas are this turbulent you want to be on the biggest ships and thus I continue my review of the super cap stocks. This time, I'm going to examine return-on-equity (ROE) and return on-invested-capital (ROIC).

I started with the 12 highest valued companies but remained with 10 after running them through several screens. Among those 10 super, caps the company that is producing the highest returns is Microsoft (MSFT).

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 5 -- ROE, ROIC

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 5 -- ROE, ROIC originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 24 May 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It's a cliché but it rings so true: just show me the money! In the case of stocks that's profits and distributions, or dividends.

The super cap review, in which I examine large cap stocks through different valuation methods, started with the 12 stocks with the highest capitalization and through several stock screens has been trimmed to just 10 stocks.

It has been widely reported that dividends contribute as much as 40% of the market stock appreciation on long term holdings. All things being equal, a diversified basket of dividend paying stocks should outperform a similarly diversified portfolio that does not.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 4 -- the Dividend

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 4 -- the Dividend originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 20 May 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Over the years I have referred to "my pal Warren" (Warren Buffet) on many occasions. He has taught me a great deal. I have learned a few things from Sir John Templeton (RIP) as well. But when I think about the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratios, it is Peter Lynch who stands tall.

Lynch has been retired for many years and has been generous enough to share some of his thoughts in a couple of worthy books: One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street. I highly recommend these best sellers to anyone that wants to expand their knowledge of value investing or manage their own finances.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 3

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 3 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 May 2010 12:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In my search for value investments among the top twelve stocks by capitalization -- the "super caps" -- I began by reviewing the price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios. Today we will move on to examine price-to-book (P/B) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF).

If you are one of the lucky ones that benefited from the market's long rise from the depths of Hades and are now looking to rotate into less volatile positions, or you still remain apprehensive and want to stake out a new position, some of these super caps may be just for you.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 2

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 18 May 2010 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Since early last fall, the majority of pundits have been saying that there would be a rotation from small cap stocks to the safety of large cap stocks in the new year. So far, the small cap stocks have maintained the lead, but a shift is taking place and the longer the bull runs and the worse global news becomes, the more this is likely to continue.

I have decided to examine the largest of the large cap stocks; lets call them the "super" caps; the top twelve as of May 13, 2010. Over the course of this series, the order will change and the bottom few may fade in and out as the market activity dictates. I may update the order, but for simplicity's sake will not change the stocks from the current list.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 17 May 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

China Mobile (CHL) closed at $48.01. CHL February put option implied volatility is at 24, June puts are at 30, versus its 26-week average of 33, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

China-Unicom (CHU) closed at $13.04. CHU February option implied volatility is at 33; April is at 37; below its 26-week average of 50, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

PetroChina (PTR) closed at $130.51. WTI Crude Futures are recently up 1.40% to $83.91 according to Bloomberg. PTR February put option implied volatility is at 31, March puts are at 30; below its 26-week average of 37 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Major Chinese Conglomerates Volatility Low originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 11 Jan 2010 09:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

They say you should buy low and sell high, which is easy to say but hard to do. How low is low and how high is high?

Sometimes technical support and resistance levels can be helpful in finding those highs and lows. Right now oil stocks like Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), PetroChina Company Ltd. (NYSE: PTR) and Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) are just bouncing off support that may be the "low" many traders are looking for.

Continue reading Oil prices boost oil stocks at support (PTR, XOM, CVX)

Oil prices boost oil stocks at support (PTR, XOM, CVX) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 21 Aug 2009 15:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CNOOC Ltd (NYSE: CEO) closed at $134.02. WTI Crude Futures are recently up 2.35% to $67.87, above a level of $49 in late April according to Bloomberg. CEO June option implied volatility is at 49, July is at 47; below its 26-week average of 64, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) closed at $116.29. PTR June option implied volatility is at 47, July is at 44; below its 26-week average 60, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: CNOOC and PetroChina volatility low; oil above $67 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Jun 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a 12 articles feature on the best bets for investing in China. To see all the other recommendations in this special report, click here.

"Amidst all the concern about the U.S. economy and stock market, investors may gain some solace, as well as profits, by looking east-to China, where there are signs the huge government stimulus is bearing fruit," explains Stephen Leeb.

In The Complete Investor, he adds, "For income investors, it makes good sense to own carefully selected dividend-generating Chinese securities such as PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) and China National Offshore Oil Corp. (NYSE: CEO).

Here, the growth and income advisor reviews the two Asian energy plays.

Continue reading Leeb looks east to find energy favorites

Leeb looks east to find energy favorites originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 08 May 2009 16:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Those surprised by the market's strength in recent weeks should be even more impressed with the rebound in China, where both their market and economy have proven among the most resilient in the world.

Global specialist Nicholas Vardy adds, "While the US markets are rising, Asian stocks are on fire." ETF expert Paul Tracy adds, "China funds have screamed to the top of the performance charts."

In large part, this strength is due to the country's stimulus program. Tracy points out, "To combat the sagging global economy, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao orchestrated a massive 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) stimulus package.

Continue reading Investing in China: 12 experts pick their best bets

Investing in China: 12 experts pick their best bets originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 08 May 2009 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"We sense a turn for the better coming in the oil sector," says Peter Way who tracks 'big money' investors for his Block Trader Oil & Gas Report. Here's his look at the "big block" traders.

"When we use the hedging analysis employed in our stock price forecasts, there are significant differences between some adjacent futures expirations. Here's the current picture:

"Front month (November) hedging suggests likely near-term higher prices. But the December contracts are likely to continue the past 3-month price decline - briefly.

"After that we could see crude rise over a few months into the $115-125 area or even higher, providing a bullish backdrop for most energy stocks. We sense a turn for the better coming in this sector.

"Several issues are selling at attractive prices now. Among major integrated producers, the standout prospect among the big oils is Petrochina (NYSE: PTR).

Continue reading Big block traders bet on oil sector favorites

Big block traders bet on oil sector favorites originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 27 Oct 2008 13:11:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

China Petroleum (NYSE: SNP) has already announced that its profits were down 71% in the first half. Now PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) is getting ready to report a drop in its profits.

The culprit is China's energy policy, which is hurting investors in the Chinese oil industry. According to the AP, "While other global oil giants are reporting record profits, Chinese government price controls prevent PetroChina and other domestic refiners from passing on higher costs for crude oil to consumers." It is an excellent reason for investors to avoid these stocks.

The central government control of oil profits is a fine example of why China should not have taken many of its large companies private. China needs to keep gas and diesel prices down to control inflation and offer cheap fuel to maintain transportation costs of exports at low levels.

With oil trading around $120 a barrel, the oil refiners in China could actually swing to losses in the second half. China is driving investors out of its most important corporations. PetroChina already trades near a 52-week low. That is likely to get worse.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

China policies kill oil company profits in SNP, PTR originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 26 Aug 2008 08:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Considering Berkshire Hathaway... again

Chasing Value: Considering Berkshire Hathaway... again originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 20 Aug 2008 14:48:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The stock market was down yesterday and it is down again today. Bearish sentiment is roaming through Wall Street right now, so I thought I would look back on another occasion when the market was going through similar turmoil and I wrote about the following eight stocks, which I thought would be "safe havens" in such a storm.

Six of the eight did well and two did not, and of course one of those two was a disaster. Among the losers, I do not think anyone is fretting about UPS, which is still one of the few triple-A rated companies along with Berkshire Hathaway. It has been well reported that the slowing economy and higher fuel prices have been the major culprits affecting UPS's earnings. In the case of WaMu, it's demise has also been well reported, but at the time I recommended it WaMu had a stellar reputation of growth and high yield for over two decades. There is no hiding, it turned out to be a lousy pick and an ANTI-SAFE Haven

NOT SAFE:

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) closed Monday at $65.30 down from $78.40; a 16.71% loss

Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) closed Monday at $4.21 down from $45.50; a 98% loss.

Fortunately the remaining six picks have done very, very well. If you had bought the pool, the average gain over the last two years would have been 7.14%. Adding the dividends over the two years would have raised this to 13.14%.

Continue reading Serious Money: How safe were BRK, BUD, PG, SO, & UPS?

Serious Money: How safe were BRK, BUD, PG, SO, & UPS? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 19 Aug 2008 15:07:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) closed at $132.04 Friday. WTI Crude Futures are recently up 1.03% to $116.39 according to Bloomberg. PTR over all option implied volatility of 40 is below its 26-week average of 46 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing movement.

CNOOC Ltd (NYSE: CEO) closed at $133.78 Friday. CEO overall option implied volatility of 43 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risk.

Canadian Natural (NYSE: CNQ), an oil and natural gas production company, closed at $72.72 Friday. CNQ September option implied volatility of 54 is above its 26-week average of 45, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Option Update: Oil pullback affecting international oil companies' volatilities originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 11 Aug 2008 09:13:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.