Given the U.S. market's 400-point sell-off in its initial minutes of trading, "a Dow close down just 300-points would look like a moral victory" according to one economist.
"All things considered, from a market standpoint, a 300-point down day is a relatively small consequence," economist David H. Wang told BloggingStocks Tuesday.
Amid the sell-off, the
U.S. Federal Reserve, in an emergency monetary policy action, cut key interest rates Tuesday morning - - cutting both the Fed Funds rate and the discount rate by 75 basis points. The Fed cut the Fed Funds rate to 3.50% and the discount rate to 4.00%.
Larger matter: mortgage insurersOf utmost importance, in Wang's interpretation, is the health and fate of mortgage insurers, primarily
MBIA (NYSE:
MBI), and
Ambac (NYSE:
ABK), but also
PMI Group (NYSE:
PMI), and
MGIC (NYSE:
MTG).
Wang said the mortgage insurers "form a critical foundation in mortgage
insurance, and as a result, in the mortgage process."
"A failure by MBIA or Ambac would mean several banks would not receive insurance payments for mortgages that go into default, substantially reducing the asset values of those banks," Wang said. "That would prompt another market sell off, possibly resulting in a failure by one or more banks."