Analyst Ugrades

• Stephens upgraded Old Dominion Freight (NASDAQ: ODFL) to Overweight from Equal Weight to reflect the financial problems at YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW), which the firm believes could lead to market share gains. Stephens raised its target on Old Dominion Freight to $40 from $22.
• UBS expects SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWRA) to benefit from the U.S. residential solar segment as investment tax credits come available. The firm upgraded shares to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $38 from $26.
• KeyBanc upgraded DPL (NYSE: DPL) to Buy from Hold based on valuation and potential upside from the Ohio approval of the rate settlement, 2010 guidance, and potential to use cash flow for accretive purposes.
• Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman.
• Carnival (NYSE: CCL) was raised to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
• South Financial Group (NASDAQ: TSFG) was upgraded at SunTrust to Buy from Neutral.

Desperate times call for desperate measures benefit consumers. As online travel agencies slug it out in the hunt for market share, many are starting to cut booking fees -- ironically, in stark contrast to what the airlines themselves are doing. While the airlines are looking to squeeze every last ounce of revenue from each passenger mile, the websites that put people in seats are hungry for any competitive advantage they can find.

Orbitz Worldwide (NYSE: OWW) has permanently kicked its airline booking fees on both domestic and international flights. Travelocity is following suit, to a limited extent, at least, by continuing to wave booking fees ... a measure that Expedia Inc (NASDAQ: EXPE) is taking, as well. What started as promotions are fast becoming the norm.

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN), an online booking concern that competes with Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE), reported Q1 earnings on Monday. The stats were all right, I have to say.

Revenues increased over 14%. According to this article, earnings on an adjusted basis came to $1.09 per share. Analysts were looking for 93 cents per share. Year-ago adjusted income was 76 cents per share, according to the press release. Priceline not only expanded its bottom-line income, but it increased its net cash from operations. That figure went up by a nice 71%. Gross travel bookings as a whole jumped by over 10%. They did even better in the U.S. market.

Analyst upgrades:

• Merriman upgraded Dendreon (NASDAQ: DNDN) to Buy from Neutral on expectations shares will react positively to the full IMPACT data release on April 28. The firm thinks Provenge could represent the first cancer immunotherapy approved in the U.S. and raised its valuation range on the stock to $33-$34 from $18-$19.
• Piper Jaffray upgraded Andersons (NASDAQ: ANDE) as it believes the valuation is attractive, investor expectations are low, and the company's fertilizer and rail segments could recovery in FY10. The firm has a $19 target on shares. Goldman upgraded the auto sector to Neutral from Cautious and added Ford (NYSE: F) to its Conviction Buy list. The analyst does not believe Ford will have to declare bankruptcy and sees the company benefiting from Chrysler share declines and GM's (NYSE: GM) reduced product offerings. Ford's price target is $6
• Banc of America/Merrill upgraded U.S. Airways (NYSE: LCC) to Buy from Underperform.
• Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
• Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) did not have a good week. The online travel site, which competes with Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) for attention, reported abysmal earnings for the fourth quarter this past Thursday. The company suffered a huge loss of $9.60 per share. That's right, $9.60 per share! Kind of rocks your world, doesn't it? And not in a good way. I mean, Expedia's share price closed at $7.74 on Friday.

As you can imagine, there was an accounting issue going on (not that it should make shareholders feel any better, mind you). Expedia took a huge goodwill write-down related to the significant drop in the market capitalization of the business. We're talking $3 billion. Wow. Of course, management adjusted the earnings to represent what Expedia would have made without the charge. That would be $0.22 per share. Unfortunately, that missed expectations by two pennies.

William Shatner has returned for the 11th year as the enigmatic spokesperson and premier negotiator for lower travel costs for Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN).

Priceline is confident that Shatner can pick up where he left off as an effective voice for the online discount travel service.

There is reason for optimism at the company. Priceline revenues and earnings for the first nine months of the year increased by 30%, outpacing the meager 2% increase in retail sales for the period, and besting the 8% increase in sales for e-commerce retailers, as well.

Revenues and earnings for the fourth quarter are also expected to run well ahead of the retail sales figures for the period.

At the current price of $65 per share, Priceline is trading at under 10 times forecasted earnings for the year. The market appears to be significantly undervaluing the company at this price level, as several analysts are lowering the stock to a neutral position based on the recent rise in price that took the stock near their target levels.

Additional concerns affecting the analysts' view of Priceline include the general softening of consumer demand, declining hotel pricing and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar.

In reality, these same concerns can be viewed as a positive for the company.

The focus of last week's preview was on oil and energy companies, and we saw that big oil had a good week, reporting better-than-expected results and record profits driven by high prices in the third quarter. Energy-related companies are well represented again this week and expectations in general remain high.

Early in the week, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial anticipate that the big earnings gainers will include EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), and Cimarex Energy Co. (NYSE: XEC), which are expected to post profits of $2.24 per share (up 64.7% from a year ago), $1.48 per share (up 52.7%) and $2.26 per share (up 61.1%) respectively. All three of them have offered positive surprises in recent quarters, and analysts on average recommend buying EOG and Anadarko. Other expected big earnings gainers early in the week include Forest Oil Corp. (NYSE: FST), Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (NYSE: PXD), Comstock Resources Inc. (NYSE: CRK), and MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA). The earnings of phosphates producer Innophos Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: IPHS) are expected to have risen 92.3% to $3.37 per share. Innophos beat estimates in the previous quarter by a whopping 210%, and analysts have been impressed with Innophos's lack of debt and pricing gains despite the slowing economy, so, on average, they recommend buying IPHS.

Also early in the week, analysts expect Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: GT), Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (NASDAQ: KALU), and Oshkosh Corp. (NYSE: OSK) to report that their profits fell 52.9% to $0.33 per share, 45.1% to $0.67 per share, and 41.2% to $0.67 per share, respectively. These companies have tended to beat estimates in recent quarters, and the consensus recommendations of analysts are to buy them. However, PMI Group Inc. (NYSE: PMI), one of the largest private mortgage insurance providers in the U.S., is expected to take another hit as the housing slump drags on. The California-based company is expected to have widened its net loss from $1.04 per share a year ago to $2.43 per share in the most recent quarter. Its shares are down 84.5% from a year ago, and have been trading recently near their 52-week low.

The shares of Orbitz Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE: OWW) are skidding all over the charts today following the company's second-quarter earnings release. Orbitz confessed to a net loss of $5 million, or six cents per share, much improved from its year-ago loss of $32 million. Revenue for the recently concluded quarter inched 1% higher to $231 million.

While the results were better than the same quarter in 2007, analysts were looking for an even smaller loss of three cents per share on more robust revenue of $234 million.

Gross bookings increased 4% to $3 billion, thanks to a little help from overseas -- international bookings rocketed 41% higher, compared to a 1% slump in domestic bookings. Orbitz's international business now accounts for 23% of its revenue, up three percentage points from the year prior.

Despite the challenges facing Orbitz, president and CEO Steven Barnhart professed his enthusiasm about some new initiatives to drive growth. Specifically, the travel firm is launching a new "Price Assurance" functionality, and the company just entered a multi-year partnership with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) to serve as the online provider for MSN.com's travel portals. Barnhart said these initiatives "will accelerate our domestic growth in the second half of the year and help offset any impact from current economic and travel industry uncertainty."

With a turn of the calendar page, we drift into the middle portion of the current quarter, but the earnings season rolls on. Among the many companies scheduled to report quarterly results this coming week are Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Whole Foods Market International (NASDAQ: WFMI). Let's take a look at which companies Wall Street analysts are expecting to be among the top earnings gainers and decliners this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.

• DRS Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DRS): $0.85 EPS (+95.3%) on revenue of $823.8 million (+12.0%)
• Integrys Energy Group Inc. (NYSE: TEG): $0.40 EPS (+70.0%) on revenue of $2.6 billion (+9.7%)
• Cimarex Energy Co. (NYSE: XEC): $2.53 EPS (+64.4%) on revenue of $599.9 million (+75.4%)
• Forest Oil Corp. (NYSE: FST): $1.51 EPS (+55.6%) on revenue of $456.1 million (+79.1%)
• Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN): $3.28 EPS (+48.5%) on revenue of $4.1 billion (+38.5%)
• CMS Energy Corp. (NYSE: CMS): $0.13 EPS (+46.2%) on revenue of $1.4 billion (+6.7%)
• Transocean Inc. (NYSE: RIG): $3.23 EPS (+43.0%) on revenue of $3.1 billion (+112.9%)
• Sara Lee Corp. (NYSE: SLE): $0.26 EPS (+38.5%) on revenue of $3.5 billion (+8.9%)
• Williams Companies Inc. (NYSE: WMB): $0.69 EPS (+37.7%) on revenue of $3.4 billion (+20.0%)
• Harris Corp. (NYSE: HRS): $0.99 EPS (+28.3%) on revenue of $1.4 billion (+18.0%)

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) is an online travel agency. It offers a range of services, including airline tickets, hotel rooms, car rentals, vacation packages and cruises, as well as destination and travel insurance services. The company operates a Name Your Own Price system, which allows users to make offers for travel services at prices they set. It also markets fixed-price travel products and offers various online financial services. Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a major competitor.

The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 76 cents and revenues of $403.20 million. Analysts had been expecting 60 cents and $377.17 million. Gross travel bookings increased 76% yr/yr, a result above company guidance of 60-65%. Pro forma gross profit rose 74.7% yr/yr, versus guidance of 55-60%. Management predicted FY08 EPS of $5.25-$5.65 ($5.12 consensus).

priceline.com Inc. (NASDAQ: PCLN) shares are trading higher after the company announced on Friday that it has agreed to a one-year partnership with Chinese classified information search engine Kooxoo.com. Under the deal, PCLN will gain data access to over 8,000 hotels in China, which could give it a leg up in international bookings over competitors Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) and Orbitz (NYSE: OWW). If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on PCLN.

After hitting a one-year low of $52.00 last March, the stock hit a one-year high of $129.24 in February. PCLN opened this morning at $119.48. So far today the stock has hit a low of $119.04 and a high of $128.75. As of 12:30, PCLN is trading at $127.87, up $9.24 (7.8%). The chart for PCLN looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its lowest 1 Star (out of 5) strong sell rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $70 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make a 6.4% return in just four months as long as PCLN is above $70 at July expiration. Priceline would have to fall by more than 46% before we would start to lose money.

PCLN hasn't been below $70 since August and has shown support around $110 recently. This trade could be risky if the US economy gets even weaker in the coming months, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find just above $90 from its 200 day moving average.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in PCLN, EXPE, or OWW.

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) is an online travel agency. It offers a range of services, including airline tickets, hotel rooms, car rentals, vacation packages and cruises, as well as destination and travel insurance services. The company operates a Name Your Own Price system, which allows users to make offers for travel services at prices they set. It also markets fixed-price travel products and offers various online financial services. Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a major competitor.

The firm pleased investors earlier in the month, when it reported Q4 EPS of 96 cents and revenues of $334.9 million. Analysts had been expecting 84 cents and $329.3 million. In discussing the solid quarter, the CEO emphasized continued momentum in growth of gross bookings. International growth accelerated to 113% year over year and the domestic growth rate increased 24% sequentially. Management also guided Q1 EPS to 50-60 cents (53 cent consensus) and FY08 EPS to $4.80-$5.10 ($4.90 consensus).

The holiday season may have just begun, but the earnings season continues. Here are some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Burger King Holdings (NYSE: BKC) had a solid quarter thanks to breakfasts and media tie-ins.
• Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) beat expectations and reaffirmed its full-year forecast.
• Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) reported smaller-than-expected losses, sending share prices up.
• General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) posted bigger-than-expected losses and disclosed huge charges.
• Marvel Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: MVL) had a super quarter and raised its guidance.
• News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) beat estimates, in part due to The Simpsons Movie and cable news.
• Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT) swung to a profit but missed revenue estimates.
• Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) beat Wall Street estimates but offered no outlook.
• Orbotech Ltd.'s (NASDAQ: ORBK) earnings took a hit, but the CEO has hopes for 2008.
• Playboy Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: PLA) had better-than-expected profits, helped by international TV revenue.
• Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) beat estimates, spurred by increased bookings, especially in Europe.

In this day of record-high fuel costs and erratic airline fares, it's important to have a reliable travel agent. For some, it's the online wonder of Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN), which offers traditional online-travel aids as well as a name-your-own-price service. Which, by the way, never works for me. I guess no one wants to accept $150 for a weekend trip from St. Louis to Seattle.

Anyway, Priceline has benefited from the nation's needy travelers, as evidenced by its third-quarter profit figures, released after the close on Thursday. The firm said third-quarter net income reached $104.4 million, or $2.27 per share, up dramatically from year-ago results of $47.8 million, or $1.05 per share. Excluding items, PCLN banked $1.58 per share, 30 cents above the $1.28 expected on Wall Street.

Revenue rose 33% during the 3-month reporting period to $417.3 million. This was 7.7% higher than analysts' consensus target of $387.5 million.

PCLN officials credited the building profit to success at the Booking.com site (the firm's European brand), as well as domestic growth. In after-hours action, PCLN is showing a gain of 12.85 points, or more than 15%. A move of this magnitude in regular trading on Friday would lift the stock to a new 52-week high and put it a chip-shot away from the psychologically important 100 level.

Beth Gaston Moon is an analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

The establishment of online travel sites finally allowed consumers the luxury of being able to compare available services. The outfit that really set the pace, though, was the one that also let folks haggle over the price.

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) is an online travel agency. It offers a range of services, including airline tickets, hotel rooms, car rentals, vacation packages and cruises, as well as destination and travel insurance services. The company operates a Name Your Own Price system, which allows users to make offers for travel services at prices they set. It also markets fixed-price travel products and offers various online financial services. Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a major competitor.

The firm pleased investors earlier in the month, when it reported Q2 EPS of $1.11 and revenues of $355.9 million. Analysts had been expecting 90 cents and $354.2 million. In discussing the solid quarter, the CEO emphasized a 93% gross bookings growth rate at the firm's Booking.com hotel reservation service. Management also guided Q3 EPS to $1.21-1.31 ($1.07 consensus), FY07 EPS to $3.50-3.65 ($3.10 consensus) and Y07 gross travel bookings to $4.50-4.65 billion ($4.10-4.25B previous estimate). Susquehanna Financial, Stifel Nicolaus and Banc of America Securities subsequently declared the stock a "buy."