Professional Timing Service posts
FeedPosted Jan 4th 2011 3:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Goldcorp Inc (GG), Commodities, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2011
This post is one in a series in which more than 60 newsletter advisors share their Top Stock Picks for 2011. This special report is courtesy of TheStockAdvisors.com.
"Gold was the hot topic in 2010. Since the underlying factors that pushed prices to new highs have not changed, I expect my long held target of $1,600 gold will be realized in 2011," says resource stock specialist Curtis Hesler.
The editor of The Professional Timing Service explains, "In fact, I expect that upside target of $1,600 will be woefully short of the mark. And my favorite gold stock for 2011 is Goldcorp (GG).
Continue reading Top Picks 2011: Goldcorp (GG)
Posted Nov 5th 2010 1:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, Goldcorp Inc (GG), Commodities, Stocks to Buy
"China, India, and Russia have been overt in their desire to accumulate significant quantities of gold as an alternate currency reserve," says resource specialist Curtis Hesler.
The editor of The Professional Timing Service explains, "I do believe we are seeing this process in effect, and it is acting to put a floor on the downside price of bullion.
"From a purely technical point of view, we should see gold decline back to at least the June highs of $1,260. An outside target would be $1,150, but I don't think our foreign friends will wait that long to jump in and counter sellers.
Continue reading Goldcorp (GG): A Core Gold Holding
Posted Sep 14th 2010 1:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
"Longer term, crude will best the old highs at $145/barrel set in 2008. That is certain. Just how much higher is uncertain, but I would not be surprised at $200 plus," assert resource expert Curtis Hesler.
The editor of The Profession Timing Service reviews a trio of favorites in the energy sector: Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP), Legacy Reserves (LGCY), and Northern Oil & Gas (NOG).
He explains, "The financial press has been forecasting a crash in crude oil prices for some time. Some are basing this on a resumption of the recession, some on new discoveries and energy innovation, and some on a host of other reasons.
Continue reading Pro Timer's Energy Trio (KMP, LGCY, NOG)
Posted Aug 4th 2010 12:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual Funds, ETF Investing, Commodities, Stocks to Buy
"You need to be prepared for the possibility of a correction in gold," says resource specialist Curtis Hesler, who adds, "Looking at the long term, however, gold will probably double from current levels."
The editor of The Professional Timing Service explains, "As such, the key is to buy fear and sell comfort. Here we look at a trio of favorite closed-end funds invested in the metals sector.
"Gabelli Global Gold and Nautral Resources & Income (GGN) s a closed-end fund investing in a variety of tangible asset plays.
Some 90% of their holdings are in equities, which are balanced about 32% in energy and 58% in metals and mining. They also hold convertible bonds in these two sectors.
Continue reading Pro Timing's Top Gold and Resource Funds
Posted Jun 1st 2010 10:30AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, ETF Investing, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"Important market bottoms are often very sharp and quick; long term tops, on the other hand, are typically more muted," says Curtis Hesler. "They usually roll over. As prices weaken, the Street - not yet bearish - will buy into initial weakness. This can cause volatile choppy action not unlike what we have seen over the last few weeks."
The editor of the Professional Timing Service continues, "The averages are sporting oversold readings, which you can see from the McClellan Oscillator chart below. However, bear markets tend to get oversold and stay there.
"Upside rallies will be brief and muted. Bottom line, we may see more erratic trading, but all the evidence points toward the next sustained trend being lower for financial/paper assets.
Continue reading Curtis Hesler: Market Timer on Stocks, Gold and Oil
Posted Nov 28th 2008 1:45PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, Goldcorp Inc (GG), Kinross Gold (KGC), Commodities, Stocks to Buy

"Gold is now looking stronger; it is time that investors have gold in their portfolios," says Curtis Hesler. In the The Professional Timing Service, he looks at gold's seasonal patterns.
"I think they will rush to commodity-based assets because of the serious underinvestment phase the commodity sector is involved in now. This will lead to shortages and very high prices down the road in all commodities.
"Once the dollar begins to roll over, gold will be an instant benefactor. It is already looking stronger in my technical work, and it is time that investors should have gold in their portfolios. I still recommend that you put new money into the major gold miners only.
"We are approaching an interesting seasonal period for gold. Years ago, the Stock Trader's Almanac used to specify a seasonal trade in gold.
"Their study showed that if you bought ASA Ltd. (NYSE: ASA) at its low in November and sold it at its high in the first quarter of the next year, you would have averaged a gain of 87.8%.
Continue reading Thanksgiving pattern: A seasonal low for gold?
Posted Aug 15th 2008 10:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Yamana Gold (AUY), Goldcorp Inc (GG), Kinross Gold (KGC), Commodities, Stocks to Buy
When gold was trading above $1,000 an ounce, Curtis Hesler reversed his buy signal and fortuitously warned of a seasonal pullback expected over the summer.
In his The Professional Timing Service, he stated, "Gold should settle into the cyclical and seasonal lows due in early August. Although you will hear plenty of bearish arguments as gold prices pull back, weakness will be a buying opportunity."
He now explains, "I don't think there is much left on downside for the mining shares. We will likely see the miners firm up and begin to rally before the bullion. My adice is to hold tight and exploit the fear.
"This weakness presents a final opportunity before the late summer and early fall strength returns to precious metals. The coast is clearing for gold to advance to new highs by October when its next seasonal high is due.
"Longer-term, I can't help but wonder if gold isn't anticipating the next break in the dollar. We all should be thinking about the trillions of dollars in U.S. government unfunded liabilities for Medicare, Social Security, pensions, etc. There's going to be a tsunami of dollars printed to cover all of that.
"At the top of my buy list is Kinross (NYSE: KGC). Yamana (NYSE: AUY) is an excellent diversification in the precious metals sector. Also among my favorites is Goldcorp (NYSE: GG)."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Posted Jul 17th 2008 12:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Valero Energy (VLO), Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"The 'low-hanging fruit' on our buy list includes refiners," says resource expert Curtis Hesler in The Professional Timing Service. Here, he looks at Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO).
"Refiners enjoy a virtual monopoly. The high price of crude has put the squeeze on profit margins -- especially in the case of gasoline, even though it is selling for over $4.00 now. Gasoline always becomes a political issue during election season.
"Nevertheless, gasoline prices are generally rising. The stock market is also getting 'depression minded,' to the point of paranoia; and this fear is dragging some stocks like refiners lower with the tide.
"The current profit squeeze will not be permanent, but Valero has another arrow in its quiver. They are able to process sour crude, which is becoming more prevalent as exporters keep more of the good stuff (light sweet crude) at home and ship the heavy sour crude.
Continue reading Resource expert votes for Valero (VLO)
Posted Apr 16th 2008 11:07AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual Funds, Personal Finance, Stocks to Buy
"In a new paradigm where risk will become a paranoid obsession with investors, a few TIPS make sense for income," says long-standing advisory industry expert Curtis Hesler.
In his The Professional Timing Service, he highlights the role of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities within a long-term portfolio and reviews two ways for investors to purchases these issues.
"You can buy them in your Treasury Direct account. If you don't have a Treasury Direct account, you can open one at www.treasurydirect.gov. The problem is that so far, you can't open a retirement account - only an individual account. Go to the Treasury Direct Web site and bone up on all the details, especially if you are going to buy them online.
"TIPS work this way. They are U.S. government bonds issued by the Treasury. They are marketable in that you can sell them in the 'after' market. They come in terms of 5, 10, and 20 years. The interest rate on an issue is determined at auction, and they are sold in increments of $1,000.
Continue reading Inflation protection: Tips on TIPS
Posted Feb 27th 2008 8:15AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
Resource expert Curtis Hesler suggests Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI) is an "excellent company that is on a strong growth path." In his Professional Timing Service he explains, "Everyone in the world is going to be scrambling to drill for oil, regardless of the U.S. economy.
"My futures work on crude is interesting here as we are about to leave the seasonal weak period and enter seasonal strength. My futures model has been on the sidelines in crude; but on February 11, it issued a buy at 92.72, March basis.
"It is all but impossible to drill for oil without Baker Hughes. Regardless of whether you think a recession has begun in the U.S., the truth is, there is a whole lot of drilling going on around the world. That trend will continue.
"Most recently, Kuwait announced they will be spending $51 billion over the next five years to upgrade their energy sector. They are going to be drilling a lot of wells. All of the other producing nations are going to do the same, and for one essential reason. They are all seeing their production levels beginning to decline.
"Due to a weak overall stock market and a 'disappointing fourth quarter earnings report,' Baker Hughes' price had been pushed back to solid long term support just under $65.00.
"This time, Baker reported $1.26 a share for the quarter while the analysts were looking for $1.28. Personally, I was not disappointed at all. The quarter's earnings were up a hefty 23%. If they do that every quarter, I am not going to worry about a two-cent disagreement between a bunch of pencil pushers.
"The stock's RSI and MACD patterns are deeply oversold now, and there have been very nice moves following readings in this area in the past. Come next fall, I think you will rue not having put a few bucks in Baker when the time was right. Today's bargains are in energy."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Posted Jan 29th 2008 10:59AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, Commodities, Stocks to Buy
"Within a diversified portfolio of resource stocks, I like to have some small bets on the little guys," says Curtis Hesler, a noted authority on natural resource investing and the editor of The Professional Timing Service.
"Some of the smaller and, admittedly, more speculative exploration companies did not follow the mining sector during the August-November rally. This is not unprecedented.
"This failure to 'join the party' reminds one of what happened in 2005 when the lower tier gold miners failed to participate (some crashed severely) while the majors were strong. Most of them more than made up for it during 2006 when the mining stocks surged again.
"Everyone has a different financial circumstance, so you will have to decide what a prudent wager on these will be for you individually. There is risk here, but the juniors certainly do beat buying call options, and they do apppear to be poised for superior performance in 2008.
"Currently, I favor Taseko (ASE: TGB) and Great Basin Gold (ASE: GBN). They are our most recent lower tier recommendations They are buys at $4.50 and $2.45, respectively.
Continue reading Big potential from junior miners?
Posted Dec 25th 2007 9:15AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"Everyone should have some gold, but it is an individual decision as to what best fits one's risk tolerance and personal financial makeup," says resources expert Curtis Hesler, editor of Professional Timing Service.
"Bullion in some form, be it bullion coins or bullion ETF's like StreetTracks Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD), should be fitted into one's portfolio -- for diversification, if no other reason. I would consider this a top speculative idea for 2008.
"However, be mindful that bullion profits, even in the ETF form, are taxed at a higher rate than gold-mining stocks. So, bullion ETF's are perhaps best held in a tax-sheltered account, but that is an individual call."
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