Quest Communications posts

Feed

Technician targets telecoms

For the more sophisticated trader, Michael Ashbaugh, editor of Marketwatch's The Technical Indicator, reivews the technical condition of the market following last week's decline.

And while he believes the drop inflicted "serious technical damage" to the general market, he still finds one sector -- telecom stocks -- showing favorable near-term strength.

As for the overall market, he explains, "When we assess the S&P 500, we look at the 20-day Bollinger bands. A break above or below the bands is statistically unusual, and consecutive breaks outside the bands are even more uncommon.

"Perhaps not surprisingly, the S&P closed way under its 20-day bands after Tuesday's bloodletting. And even with Wednesday's gains, the S&P notched a second consecutive close under the bands."

What does this mean looking ahead? Ashbaugh notes, "Technically speaking, a break under the bands suggests a tension between two time horizons. On a near-term basis, the breakdown suggests an index is oversold and due to bounce. It's edged outside the band that brackets two standard deviations of its 20-day volatility, and a reversion to the mean should be expected.

"Yet on a longer-term basis, the underlying sell pressure has been extreme, and will likely lead the markets lower. In the end, significant technical damage was inflicted on Tuesday, and this is a market to avoid near-term until better signs of a bottom are in place."

Meanwhile, he notes, "The telecom sector may be the best positioned sector after this week's losses. The group has two things working for it in the current market. To start, it remains within a strong uptrend, notching five-year highs as recently as last Monday."

Fundamentally, he adds, "The group also has defensive characteristics that help insulate it from broad-market downturns. The Telecom Index rallied from support Wednesday at the breakout point and the 50-day moving average."

Within the Telecom Index, the technical advisor sees four stocks that he believes appear well-positioned to rise over the near term: Citizens Communications (NYSE:CZN), Qwest Communications (NYSE:Q), Embarq Corp. (NYSE:EQ) and Sprint Nextel (NYSE:S).

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com provides a free, daily overview of the latest stock ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletters.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 27, 2012: 01:40 PM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

19.20-0.05(-0.26)

Alcoa

8.630.00(0.00)

Apple Inc

562.29-3.03(-0.54)

Google Inc 'A'

591.53-12.13(-2.01)

Bank of America

7.15+0.01(+0.14)

Wal-Mart Stores

65.31+0.24(+0.37)

Exxon Mobil Corp

82.08-0.53(-0.64)

Ford

10.60+0.01(+0.09)

Citigroup

26.47-0.19(-0.71)

IBM

194.30-1.79(-0.91)

Yahoo

15.36+0.01(+0.07)

Starbucks

54.56-0.20(-0.37)

Microsoft

29.06-0.01(-0.03)

Home Depot

49.44-0.27(-0.54)

DailyFinance Headlines

AOL Business News

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

Page Loaded in 1338140412156 ms.