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CSX's train is headed north

Now that Warren Buffett likes the railroads, maybe you should consider shares in one, too, and that's one reason I'm reiterating my Buy rating for eastern U.S. railroad CSX Corporation (CSX), first recommended on May 1, 2009 at a price of $30.56. If you bought CSX in May, you're up about 56%.

Since the May Buy rating, institutional investors (IIs) have been incrementally adding to their CSX positions, on the company's likely 5-7% increase in revenue for FY2010. Volumes should increase and overall prices should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories.

Continue reading CSX's train is headed north

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, AZN, BX, GPS, PH, RAIL, VRSN ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Blackstone Group (BX) to outperform from market perform following the company's Q3 results and maintains an $18.50 price target on shares.
  • Baird upgraded Astec (ASTE) to outperform from neutral citing relative valuation and upside from new multi-year U.S. highway funding legislation. The firm raised its target to $33 from $27.
  • Goldman upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to conviction buy from neutral citing "significant" long-term growth drivers that include international growth. The firm raised its target to $45 from $36.
  • Ariad Pharmaceuticals (ARIA) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Energizer (ENR) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • AstraZeneca (AZN) was upgraded to buy from hold at RBS.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, AZN, BX, GPS, PH, RAIL, VRSN ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CBRL, GAME, LO, NKE, RAIL, TGT, WMT ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Kaufman Bros. upgraded American Superconductor (NASDAQ: AMSC) to Buy from Hold as it believes the follow-on contract from Sinovel has positive implications. The firm has a $36 price target on shares.
  • Goldman upgraded Nike (NYSE: NKE) to Buy from Neutral citing valuation, visible long-term growth, and signs of sales stabilization. The firm has a $75 target on shares.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ: HBAN) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent underperformance. The firm raised its target on shares to $5.50 from $4.
  • Novartis (NYSE: NVS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • eHealth (NASDAQ: EHTH) was upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at ThinkEquity.
  • China Precision Steel (NASDAQ: CPSL) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Roth Capital.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CBRL, GAME, LO, NKE, RAIL, TGT, WMT ...

As expected, CSX is leaving the station

What a difference four months make. Institutional investors have rediscovered the railroads, including CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX).

Wall Street has noticed that CSX's carloads will experience a gradual improvement in the quarters ahead, on the U.S./global recoveries. If you bought CSX when originally recommended on May 1, 2009 at $30.56, you're up about 40% - not bad, for a 'down-and-out' sector.

Continue reading As expected, CSX is leaving the station

Companies that vanished: Pullman has a grand, century-long ride

This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable companies that have disappeared.

Inspired by what must have been a less than luxurious train ride from Buffalo to New York in the early 1860s, George Pullman founded the Pullman Palace Car Company in Illinois in 1867. The company had a long and illustrious business cycle that spanned more than a century. Starting from humble beginnings based solely upon the vision of one man , the company rose to grandeur via the railroad boom of the early 1900s. At one point, Pullman even owned it's own "company town." The town, called Pullman, was located 14 miles south of downtown Chicago and was home to nearly 9,000 men, women, and children at its peak under the control of Pullman.

As one would expect, just when things were in high gear for Pullman, the government intervened. In the interest of antitrust laws, Pullman Inc. was ordered by the Justice Department to divest itself of either the Pullman Company (operating) or the Pullman-Standard Car Manufacturing Company (manufacturing). After three years of negotiation, the Pullman Company was sold to a railroad consortium for approximately $40 million. In much the same way, the Justice Department is making trouble on the rails again today.

The Pullman Co. didn't vanish as much as it was fractured and absorbed. It began with the 1944 sell off of passenger car operating rights and continuing through until 1987 when subway car manufacturing, performed under the name Pullman Technology, was sold to Candian conglomerate, Bombardier. The merger and acquisition history of Pullman from 1981 through today reads like a who's who of transportation, oil, engineering, and associated technologies. In fact, I believe that George Pullman would be amazed to discover that the original thread of the Pullman name was still active in manufacturing as late as 2004, when Pullman is reported to have been manufacturing "rubberized" automotive parts under the control of Tenneco Automotive.

Let us know in the comments what you miss about Pullman. And be sure to check out other Companies That Have Vanished.

Analyst upgrades: LINC, SONS and NVS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lincoln Educational, Sonus Networks and Novartis were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Lehman upgraded Lincoln Educational (NASDAQ: LINC) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on improving student enrollment growth and valuation.
  • Merriman upgraded Sonus Networks (NASDAQ: SONS) to Buy from Neutral on the company's strong AT&T (NYSE: T) outlook and near-term upside potential from Japan. They believe shares can trade towards the $5-$6 range.
  • Bernstein raised Novartis (NYSE: NVS) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe the company's diversification position it well to withstand future generic expiries.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Early analyst calls: ABT, DRS, RAIL, SOV

It's a fairly quiet day in analyst land as far as the most active stocks are concerned, despite there being many movers today. Here is a brief snapshot of some of the key calls today:

Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT) started as Buy at UBS.

DRS Tech
(NYSE: DRS) cut to Neutral at UBS; cut to market perform at FBR.

FreightCar America (NASDAQ: RAIL) Raised to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; new price target $42.00 from $35.00.

Sovereign Bancorp (NYSE: SOV) Raised To Market Perform at KBW.

You can also see the full top ten individual calls right here.

Jon Ogg produces and edits the "10 Stocks Under $10" weekly newsletter for 247WallSt.com.

AAR March Report: Freight movement by railroads slows

trainOn April 3, the American Association of Railroads released its monthly freight movement report for March 2008. The numbers again reflect weak consumer spending, with no relief in sight for the wilted home building industry. Carload volume, which does not include semi trailers or shipping containers, dropped 0.1% compared with March 2007 figures. Intermodal traffic volume consisting of shipping containers and truck trailers loaded on flat cars dropped 5.6% compared with one year ago.

Spurred by the weaker dollar, carload commodities for export are maintaining respectable volume, with carloads of grain increasing 13.9% and carloads of coal increasing 5.9%. However, the AAR press release indicates that of the 19 major commodity categories tracked by the AAR, 12 saw carload declines in March. Carloads of motor vehicles and equipment declined considerably, with a 19.4% drop in loading compared to 2007. Infrastructure and construction staples of crushed stone, sand and gravel showed a carload decline of 13.4% compared with a year ago. Lumber and wood products loadings remain in decline. AAR Senior Vice President John T. Gray gives perspective to the numbers by stating simply: "Recent disappointing economic news helps explain why rail traffic is not more robust."


Continue reading AAR March Report: Freight movement by railroads slows

Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks, Week 7

Back on August 16, with the Dow opening under 13,000 for the first time since April, our BloggingStocks experts outlined a number of stock plays to ride out this volatile market. Picks ranged from Dow components and other household names to obscure business-to-business giants and foreign market leaders. Here, we review our picks weekly.

In the seventh week since our Volatile Markets stock recommendations, only a few of our picks have seen significant movement.

After stalling last week, South Korean steelmaker Posco (NYSE: PKX), has jumped another $7.39. The 4.08% gain brings Peter Cohan's tip to $188.52, 52.02% higher than its August 16 opening price of $124.01.

Volatile Markets Week 7 Tops

Sheldon Liber's recommendation, Huaneng Power International Inc. (NYSE: HNP), gave back some of last week's 18.08% gain this week. Despite the Chinese utility's 6.53% knock, Huaneng still stands a formidable 30.40% higher since our volatile markets feature ran.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks, Week 7

Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 6

Back on August 16, with the Dow opening under 13,000 for the first time since April, our BloggingStocks experts outlined a number of stock plays to ride out this volatile market. Picks ranged from Dow components and other household names to obscure business-to-business giants and foreign market leaders. Here, we review our picks weekly.

Week six was rough for a couple of our stock picks -- chiefly Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) -- but Huaneng Power International Inc. (NYSE: HNP) just had a phenomenal week. Read on.

Posco (NYSE: PKX)'s gains have tapered a bit -- Peter Cohan's pick followed up last week's 10.41% run with a modest 1.30% rise this week. Still, just six weeks since our Volatile Markets feature, the South Korean steelmaker stands 46.06% higher! Incredible.

Volatile Markets Week 6 Tops

This week's big story, however, is Huaneng Power International Inc. (NYSE: HNP), recommended by Sheldon Liber. The Chinese utility nearly doubled its gains as of last week, shooting 18.08% higher, closing Thursday up 39.51% in the last six weeks!

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 6

Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 5

Back on August 16, with the Dow opening under 13,000 for the first time since April, our BloggingStocks experts outlined a number of stock plays to ride out this volatile market. Picks ranged from Dow components and other household names to obscure business-to-business giants and foreign market leaders. Here, we review our picks weekly.

Wow! I hope you looked into Peter Cohan's pick, Posco (NYSE: PKX), when our feature ran. Like a broken record, again I ask how long the South Korean steelmaker can continue these fantastic gains -- 44.37% higher in just five weeks! Even if you bought in last week, you'd already be up 10.41%. Phenomenal.

Volatile Markets Week 5 Tops

Also performing handily are two of Sheldon Liber's picks, Huaneng Power International Inc. (NYSE: HNP) and Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC). China's Huaneng rose 1 1/2% since last week to close at $44.99 Thursday, putting it up 18.43% since our virtual purchase August 16. Texas energy concern Anadarko has gushed 4.48% higher since last Thursday, climbing to $52.96, a total gain of 11.54% since our August 16 Volatile Markets feature.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 5

Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 4

Back on August 16, with the Dow opening under 13,000 for the first time since April, our BloggingStocks experts outlined a number of stock plays to ride out this volatile market. Picks ranged from Dow components and other household names to obscure business-to-business giants and foreign market leaders. Here, we review our picks weekly.

Four weeks into our Stocks for a Volatile Market feature, our index has fallen just behind the Nasdaq, grounded mostly by shoe and apparel maker Steven Madden (NASDAQ: SHOO), picked by Kevin Kelly. After giving up $2.51 in week three, Madden dropped $3.39 in week four, falling 14.7% and leaving SHOO at $19.67, 17.77% under its August 16 price of $23.92.

Might as well get all the bad news out of the way -- it looks like Sheldon Liber's call, FreightCar America Inc. (NYSE: RAIL), has temporarily derailed. After strong gains in previous weeks, RAIL dropped $3.78 in week four -- a loss of 8.35% -- and slipped to $41.49, 4.4% under its initial price.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 4

Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 2

Back on August 16, with the Dow opening under 13,000 for the first time since April, our BloggingStocks experts outlined a number of stock plays to ride out this volatile market. Picks ranged from Dow components and other household names to obscure business-to-business giants and foreign market leaders.

It goes without saying that it's pretty early to begin seriously evaluating our recommendations, but there's no harm in checking in on our stock plays.

Some performed better than others, obviously, but we happily report that all of our picks have gained since the feature ran! Seven picks are beating the Dow, which has gained about 2.95% since its August 15 close. One pick, Starbucks, is behind the Dow but ahead of the Nasdaq Composite Index, while three are trailing the Nasdaq.

Volatile Markets stock picks, Week 2

Sheldon Liber's pick, Huaneng Power International Inc. (NYSE: HNP), leads the pack, despite one analyst's downgrade of China's top energy utility one day after our stock picks ran. Shares of HNP closed Thursday at $45.62, climbing 20.0% from $37.99 in the two weeks following the volatile-market feature.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 2

Valuing FreightCar with peak earnings -- a recipe for disappointment

BloggingStocks recently ran a series of posts called "Stocks for a Volatile Market" in which I argued that shoe maker Steven Madden (NASDAQ: SHOO) was currently priced with much less worthy peers (lower margins, most notably) and loaded with free options and potential catalysts.

While I thought that many of my team's posts made great sense, I take great issue to Sheldon Liber's post on FreightCar America (NASDAQ: RAIL). I have no issues with Sheldon's long term investment record, investing philosophy, or most of his ideas, but I think that this post had several great problems.

Most importantly, Sheldon seemed to purposely neglect considering the future potential of this company by saying that he focuses "not forward projections and guessing, but real facts. It is way too hard to predict the future." But therein lies the entire problem, he neglected the fact that he was looking at an absolute cyclical peak in operations for the company!

He then cited the metrics for the stock (emphasis his): "The P/E is 5.51, the P/S is 0.49, IT HAS ZERO DEBT!, with an ROE and ROI of 87 and an ROA of 47 - that's incredible!"

Continue reading Valuing FreightCar with peak earnings -- a recipe for disappointment

Buffett continues his ride on the rails

It's a big deal whenever Warren Buffett so much as sneezes, and this morning was no different. Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK.A) decision to boost its stake in Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI) made the expected splash, and up went Burlington's stock 3%.

Back in April, Berkshire disclosed an 11% stake in Burlington, and then in May it announced investments in two other railroads: Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE: NSC) and Union Pacific Corp (NYSE: UNP). Buffett clearly sees value in riding the railroads.

Then today came Berkshire's disclose that it had raised its stake from August 3 through August 7 to 11.5% from 11% -- which, while not exactly earth shaking, is a strong indicator that Buffett sees the recent price weakness enveloping the market as a buying opportunity. Usually when the "oracle" Mr. Buffett sees something, it is worth paying attention.

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DJIA+30.6910,464.40
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S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 12:03 AM

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