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Canadian National Railway Keeps Rolling Along

Canadian National Railway (CNI), which I first wrote about on July 30, 2009 at a price of $47.95, appears set to test $70, and if you haven't already, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits with CNI if you're in at/near $48.

However, investors who can tolerate the risk can maintain their full CNI position, but keep in mind that the journey to $80 may not be completed in 2011.

CNI remains one of best run railroads, bolstered by rigorous cost controls, Look for Canadian National's 2011 revenue to rise 8-10%, after a likely 20-25% surge in 2010, as both goods shipment and commodity transport recover; margins will likely increase in 2010, as well. Volumes also should rise 5-7% in 2011, after a double-digit gain in 2010.

Continue reading Canadian National Railway Keeps Rolling Along

Has Union Pacific Topped at $100?

Union Pacific (UNP) shares, first discussed here on March 27, 2009 at a price of $43, rose this winter to within roughly 50 cents of major, psychological resistance at $100, and if you haven't already, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits.

However, those investors who can tolerate the risk can maintain their full position, but keep in mind that the journey to $120 probably will not be completed in 2011.

Many macro-factors are running in UNP's favor. Union's revenue will likely increase an impressive 15-20% in 2010, with a better than 7% volume rise, on rising intermodal, industrial, and chemical transportation demand; 2011 revenue should advance 10-12%

Continue reading Has Union Pacific Topped at $100?

Options Update: Norfolk Southern Shares at 27-Month High

Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) February 65 calls and March 70 calls are active on total call volume of 14K contracts compared to 2K puts. January call option implied volatility is at 18, February and March is at 23. This is below its 26-week average of 28, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Intel Corporation (INTC) is expected to report Q4 EPS on January 13. January call option implied volatility is 31, March is at 22, April is at 23. That's compared to its 26-week average of 29, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement after EPS.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Union Pacific's Train Is Literally Leaving the Station

If you held on to your Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) shares, first discussed here on March 27, 2009, at a price of $43, during its summer doldrums, you're being rewarded, as the shares have powered ahead, taking out $80 and $90 resistance.

In fact, if you bought at/near the $48.62 price, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits off the table with UNP. However, those investors who can tolerate the risk can retain their full position and go for a possible greater gain.

I'd also raise the sell/stop loss to $76 from $43.

Continue reading Union Pacific's Train Is Literally Leaving the Station

CSX Is Strengthening with the U.S. Economy

Rare is the day you should ignore a railway. CSX Corporation (CSX), which I first wrote about on May 1, 2009, at a price of $30.56, fits that bill. Here's why:

Look for CSX's revenue to increase 8% to 10% in 2010. Volumes should rise 3% to 4%, and overall prices for transport services should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories, as the U.S./global economic recoveries gain momentum in the second half of the year.

Basic materials transport, including coal and scrap, should also experience healthy business gains in 2010, and the company's increased efficiency adds to the positive story.

Continue reading CSX Is Strengthening with the U.S. Economy

CSX First Quarter Earnings Preview

Alcoa Inc. (AA) kicked off the earnings season Monday when it reported its first quarter results, and on Tuesday, after the market closes, rail carrier CSX Corp. (CSX) will get its chance to impress Wall Street when it reports its Q1 results.

Heading into today's report, analysts have forecast earnings of 69 cents per share. During the same period last year the company earned 62 cents.

Continue reading CSX First Quarter Earnings Preview

Railroads Traffic Indicates Rebound, but Not Recovery

If rail freight numbers are a good economic indicator, and in my experience they are, then the railroads are sending a very strong message right now. That message, in it's simplest form, says that our national economy is rebounding nicely from last year's low ebb, but we've not yet moved into what could be termed a substantial recovery.

The Association of American Railroads (AAR) latest traffic report paints a fairly bright, yet cautious, picture. Carload freight volume is above 2009 levels for the sixth straight week over last year, and intermodal freight volume (shipping containers and semi trailers loaded on train cars) is above 2009 levels for the twelfth straight week. Total freight volume for the week ending April 3, 2010 was estimated at 31.3 billion ton-miles. This represents an 11% increase over the same week in 2009, but still represents a decrease of 9.3% when compared to the same week in 2008.

Continue reading Railroads Traffic Indicates Rebound, but Not Recovery

CSX Corp. Railroad Rolls On

I've liked the railroad sector for a while, and CSX Corp. (CSX), which I first wrote about on May 1, 2009, at a price of $30.56, looks likely to continue to move higher. Here's why:

CSX's volumes should increase and overall prices for transport services should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories, as the U.S./global economic recoveries gain momentum in 2010. Basic materials transport, including coal and scrap, should also experience healthy business gains in 2010, and the company's increased efficiency adds to the positive story.

Continue reading CSX Corp. Railroad Rolls On

CSX's train is headed north

Now that Warren Buffett likes the railroads, maybe you should consider shares in one, too, and that's one reason I'm reiterating my Buy rating for eastern U.S. railroad CSX Corporation (CSX), first recommended on May 1, 2009 at a price of $30.56. If you bought CSX in May, you're up about 56%.

Since the May Buy rating, institutional investors (IIs) have been incrementally adding to their CSX positions, on the company's likely 5-7% increase in revenue for FY2010. Volumes should increase and overall prices should firm, albeit with some softness in selected price categories.

Continue reading CSX's train is headed north

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, AZN, BX, GPS, PH, RAIL, VRSN ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Blackstone Group (BX) to outperform from market perform following the company's Q3 results and maintains an $18.50 price target on shares.
  • Baird upgraded Astec (ASTE) to outperform from neutral citing relative valuation and upside from new multi-year U.S. highway funding legislation. The firm raised its target to $33 from $27.
  • Goldman upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to conviction buy from neutral citing "significant" long-term growth drivers that include international growth. The firm raised its target to $45 from $36.
  • Ariad Pharmaceuticals (ARIA) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Energizer (ENR) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • AstraZeneca (AZN) was upgraded to buy from hold at RBS.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, AZN, BX, GPS, PH, RAIL, VRSN ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CBRL, GAME, LO, NKE, RAIL, TGT, WMT ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Kaufman Bros. upgraded American Superconductor (NASDAQ: AMSC) to Buy from Hold as it believes the follow-on contract from Sinovel has positive implications. The firm has a $36 price target on shares.
  • Goldman upgraded Nike (NYSE: NKE) to Buy from Neutral citing valuation, visible long-term growth, and signs of sales stabilization. The firm has a $75 target on shares.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ: HBAN) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent underperformance. The firm raised its target on shares to $5.50 from $4.
  • Novartis (NYSE: NVS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • eHealth (NASDAQ: EHTH) was upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at ThinkEquity.
  • China Precision Steel (NASDAQ: CPSL) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Roth Capital.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CBRL, GAME, LO, NKE, RAIL, TGT, WMT ...

As expected, CSX is leaving the station

What a difference four months make. Institutional investors have rediscovered the railroads, including CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX).

Wall Street has noticed that CSX's carloads will experience a gradual improvement in the quarters ahead, on the U.S./global recoveries. If you bought CSX when originally recommended on May 1, 2009 at $30.56, you're up about 40% - not bad, for a 'down-and-out' sector.

Continue reading As expected, CSX is leaving the station

Companies that vanished: Pullman has a grand, century-long ride

This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable companies that have disappeared.

Inspired by what must have been a less than luxurious train ride from Buffalo to New York in the early 1860s, George Pullman founded the Pullman Palace Car Company in Illinois in 1867. The company had a long and illustrious business cycle that spanned more than a century. Starting from humble beginnings based solely upon the vision of one man , the company rose to grandeur via the railroad boom of the early 1900s. At one point, Pullman even owned it's own "company town." The town, called Pullman, was located 14 miles south of downtown Chicago and was home to nearly 9,000 men, women, and children at its peak under the control of Pullman.

As one would expect, just when things were in high gear for Pullman, the government intervened. In the interest of antitrust laws, Pullman Inc. was ordered by the Justice Department to divest itself of either the Pullman Company (operating) or the Pullman-Standard Car Manufacturing Company (manufacturing). After three years of negotiation, the Pullman Company was sold to a railroad consortium for approximately $40 million. In much the same way, the Justice Department is making trouble on the rails again today.

The Pullman Co. didn't vanish as much as it was fractured and absorbed. It began with the 1944 sell off of passenger car operating rights and continuing through until 1987 when subway car manufacturing, performed under the name Pullman Technology, was sold to Candian conglomerate, Bombardier. The merger and acquisition history of Pullman from 1981 through today reads like a who's who of transportation, oil, engineering, and associated technologies. In fact, I believe that George Pullman would be amazed to discover that the original thread of the Pullman name was still active in manufacturing as late as 2004, when Pullman is reported to have been manufacturing "rubberized" automotive parts under the control of Tenneco Automotive.

Let us know in the comments what you miss about Pullman. And be sure to check out other Companies That Have Vanished.

Analyst upgrades: LINC, SONS and NVS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lincoln Educational, Sonus Networks and Novartis were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Lehman upgraded Lincoln Educational (NASDAQ: LINC) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on improving student enrollment growth and valuation.
  • Merriman upgraded Sonus Networks (NASDAQ: SONS) to Buy from Neutral on the company's strong AT&T (NYSE: T) outlook and near-term upside potential from Japan. They believe shares can trade towards the $5-$6 range.
  • Bernstein raised Novartis (NYSE: NVS) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe the company's diversification position it well to withstand future generic expiries.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Early analyst calls: ABT, DRS, RAIL, SOV

It's a fairly quiet day in analyst land as far as the most active stocks are concerned, despite there being many movers today. Here is a brief snapshot of some of the key calls today:

Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT) started as Buy at UBS.

DRS Tech
(NYSE: DRS) cut to Neutral at UBS; cut to market perform at FBR.

FreightCar America (NASDAQ: RAIL) Raised to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; new price target $42.00 from $35.00.

Sovereign Bancorp (NYSE: SOV) Raised To Market Perform at KBW.

You can also see the full top ten individual calls right here.

Jon Ogg produces and edits the "10 Stocks Under $10" weekly newsletter for 247WallSt.com.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 11:00 PM

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