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Earnings highlights: Cisco, Ford, Humana, MasterCard, Starbucks, Toyota ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Cisco, Ford, Humana, MasterCard, Starbucks, Toyota ...

Polo Ralph Lauren sees second-quarter income increase

This morning, Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL) reported that its second-quarter earnings checked in at $178 million. This profit comes out to $1.75 per diluted share compared to $1.58 per diluted share for the same quarter last year. For the first six months of fiscal 2010, RL saw net income drop a percentage point, to $254 million. Per-share income totaled $2.51 per share, which was equal to those from a year ago.

RL Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Ralph Lauren, noted that the results "confirm the resilience and vitality of our strategy and demonstrate the superb execution of our management team." The company noted that results have exceeded its expectations for the first half and upped its sales projections for the remainder of the year.

Continue reading Polo Ralph Lauren sees second-quarter income increase

The week in preview: Canadian and U.S. banks, and more

After the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, the earnings spotlight turns to Canadian banks: Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) are all scheduled to report their second-quarter results.

While banks north of the border of generally have held up better than their U.S. counterparts, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the four listed above to report that earnings declined between 20% and 30% since the same period of last year. All four have P/E ratios around 10, and they are paying dividends. Shares of all four have surged 50% to 83% in the past three months, but are still 26% to 38% lower than a year ago.

Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian and U.S. banks, and more

The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

If you've been watching earnings this past week, or if you read last week's Week in Preview, then this coming week may leave you feeling a bit like Bill Murray in Groundhog's Day. That is, again analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect earnings declines to be more frequent and deeper than earnings gains.

Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), Dow Chemical Co. (NYSE: DOW), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), IAC Interactivecorp (NASDAQ: IACI), Moody's Corp. (NYSE: MCO), Elizabeth Arden Inc. (NASDAQ: RDEN), Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN), Diebold Inc. (NYSE: DBD), Tyco International Ltd. (NYSE: TYC), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. (NYSE: RL), ITT Corp. (NYSE: ITT), and Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) are scheduled to report quarterly results this week, and they're all expected to report double-digit declines in earnings.

But again this week, let's take a look who Wall Street feels may have done well in the past quarter.

Continue reading The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CHKP, MOT, RIMM, PALM, RL, HBC ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded Check Point Software (NASDAQ: CHKP) to Buy from Hold as they believe the recently acquired Nokia security appliance business should drive 2009 revenue and EPS meaningfully higher. The firm raised their target price to $27 from $20.
  • Goldman upgraded Motorola (NYSE: MOT) to Buy from Neutral and added shares to its Conviction Buy List. The firm expects shares to outperform even if phones don't given the overly negative value for the business.
  • Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) was upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital. The firm cites improving margin visibility and execution, and lowered expectations for the upgrade.
  • Ares Capital (NASDAQ: ARCC) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
  • Canadian Pacific (NYSE: CP) was raised at Canaccord to Buy from Hold.
  • Lloyds TSB (NYSE: LYG) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
Analyst downgrades:
  • JP Morgan downgraded Venoco (NYSE: VQ) to Underweight from Overweight based on valuation and debt concerns.
  • UBS downgraded MEMC Electronic (NYSE: WFR) to Neutral from Buy, added shares to the Short-Term Sell List and lowered their target to $14.50 from $20. The firm believes 2009 wafer sales will be much worse than expected.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded SINA (NASDAQ: SINA) to Hold from Buy to reflect integration risks from the recent acquisition of Focus Media's digital OOH assets as they see little room for near-term upside.
  • Palm (NASDAQ: PALM) was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
  • Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL) was cut to Sell from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Telus (NYSE: TU) was downgraded at Banc of America/Merrill to Underperform from Neutral.
Analyst initiations:
  • Societe Generale believes HSBC (NYSE: HBC) will need to cut its dividend and raise additional capital in order to strengthen its capital base. Shares were initiated with a Sell rating.
  • Citigroup initiated United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) with a Hold rating and $55 target. The firm sees downside risk to the company's guidance and believes consensus estimates could be too high.
  • B. Riley assumed Matrixx Initiatives (NASDAQ: MTXX) with a Buy rating and $22 target. The firm finds shares attractively valued and sees limited downside risk from current levels.
  • ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) was initiated at Deutsche Bank with a Hold rating.

The week in preview: Macy's, Nordstrom, Abercrombie, JCPenney, and Kohl's

Update Nov. 26, 2008: See all 2008 Black Friday deals.

This week, some apparel and accessory producers and retailers offer a look at how they've been doing between early summer's economic stimulus spending and the coming holiday season. While Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. (NYSE: RL) reported higher earnings last week, Coldwater Creek Inc. (NASDAQ: CWTR), Eddie Bauer Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: EBHI), Kenneth Cole Productions Inc. (NYSE: KCP), and K-Swiss Inc. (NASDAQ: KSWS) all reported net losses as consumers pulled back on spending over the summer due to higher fuel prices and other economic worries. The expectations of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial for such companies scheduled to report this week don't look much different; i.e., a bright spot or two among lower expectations overall.

Hip retailer Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN) is expected to post earnings 22.9% higher than a year ago, to $0.35 per share, on revenue of $475.9 million (+26.4%). The Philadelphia-based company already said that same-store sales in the quarter were 10% higher. Urban Outfitters has beat expectations in recent quarters, by 11.5% in the previous quarter, and analysts on average recommend buying URBN. Shares fell to a 52-week low of $16.61 per share on Friday, and are down 29.5% from a year ago. Other companies expected to report more modest earnings growth in the coming week include watch and accessory maker Fossil Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL), retail giant Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT), and TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE: TJX), parent of such discount retail chains as T.J. Maxx and Marshalls. These three companies have tended to top analysts estimates in recent quarters, and Fossil and TJX ended the week near their 52-week lows.

While Los Angeles-based American Apparel Inc. (AMEX: APP) had a strong second quarter, the casual wear maker is expected to report $0.13 per share earnings for the third quarter, the same as in the year-ago period. And analysts anticipate that Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS) will report that profits fell 16.4% to $0.51 per share on revenue of $3.9 billion (+1.9%). Though same-store sales for October fell 9%, the Menomonee Falls, Wis.-based company reaffirmed its third-quarter forecast. Kohl's has offered positive surprises in recent quarters, topping estimates by 5.6% in the previous quarter. The consensus recommendation remains to buy KSS. Shares have been climbing after reaching a 52-week low in late October, but are still down 32.8% from a year ago.

Continue reading The week in preview: Macy's, Nordstrom, Abercrombie, JCPenney, and Kohl's

Analyst calls: PM, PFG, OMX, STD, RBS, DEO, DAL, KR, LIZ, JNY, RL ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Philip Morris (NYSE: PM) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • Friedman Billings upgraded shares of Principal Financial (NYSE: PFG) to Market Perform from Underperform as they believe the company's capital buffer could keep outrunning credit losses.
  • Friedman Billings also upgraded Office Max (NYSE: OMX) to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm believes the risk of recourse to Office Max from the Timber Notes formerly backed by Lehman is low and that any litigation by noteholders will have a low level of success.
  • Citigroup upgraded CF Industries (NYSE: CF) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent weakness but lowered their target to $113 from $128.
  • Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Merrill Lynch.
  • Granite Construction (NYSE: GVA) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman.
Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: PM, PFG, OMX, STD, RBS, DEO, DAL, KR, LIZ, JNY, RL ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: This retail tide can lift all boats

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says with gas coming down further, the coming rally could be broad and fierce.

The great hurricane fakeout leaves us with oil much lower than it began, having launched itself from $112. Now that the $110 level's been breached and natural gas has gone as low as $7.50, we can begin to put together a holiday scenario that might -- just might -- explain the incredible run in retail that's been going on.

The presumption in retail, if you use Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) (Cramer's Take) as retail, was that once the stimulus wore off, presumably last month, the stocks would get hammered. On Aug. 7, Wal-Mart as much as told you that, and the stock dropped to $57 from $60.90.

Ever since then, it has been creeping up. Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) (Cramer's Take) dropped a point from that warning, going from $45 to $44. It is now at $49. Macy's (NYSE: M) (Cramer's Take) went from $19.80 to $18.90 before bouncing to $20.82. Jones (NYSE: JNY) (Cramer's Take) went from $17.40 to $17.20 before roaring to $19.80. Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL) (Cramer's Take), because of a great quarter, didn't even get hurt, rallying from $67 to $75.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: This retail tide can lift all boats

Earnings highlights: Toyota, Cisco, ADM, MGM, General Mills, Warner Music and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Toyota, Cisco, ADM, MGM, General Mills, Warner Music and others

Early analyst calls (AIG) (VMW) (AVP)

AIG (NYSE:AIG) Cut to Market Perform at FBR, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reported VMware (NYSE:VMW) Started as Underperform at Bernstein and Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Raised to Outperform at Morgan Keegan.

Credit Suisse downgraded Avon (NYSE:AVP) to Neutral from Outperform, according to Brieifing.com. The news service also reports that Jefferies downgrade UTStarcom (NASDAQ:UTSI) to Underperform from Hold.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Ralph Lauren (RL) surviving economic slowdown

RL logoPolo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL - option chain) shares are trading higher today after the company posted first-quarter earnings of $95.2 million, or 93 cents per share, blowing analysts' estimates of 72 cents per share out of the water. RL also lifted its full-year earnings forecast to a range of $4.00 to $4.10 per share, from previous guidance of $3.95 to $4.05 per share, above analysts' expectations $3.98 per share. It is looking like the slowing economic situation is not hitting RL that hard, which could also be a good sign for other high-end retailers as well. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RL.

RL opened this morning at $66.00. So far today the stock has hit a low of $63.90 and a high of $66.66. As of 12:45, RL is trading at $65.78, up $4.28 (6.9%). The chart for RL looks neutral and S&P gives RL a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $55 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 7.5% return in just seven weeks months as long as RL is above $55 at September expiration. Ralph Lauren would have to fall by more than 16% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continue reading Ralph Lauren (RL) surviving economic slowdown

The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

With a turn of the calendar page, we drift into the middle portion of the current quarter, but the earnings season rolls on. Among the many companies scheduled to report quarterly results this coming week are Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Whole Foods Market International (NASDAQ: WFMI). Let's take a look at which companies Wall Street analysts are expecting to be among the top earnings gainers and decliners this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.

Continue reading The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

How the weak dollar helps Europe, and Ralph Lauren

Since January 2001, the dollar has lost much of its value. It's fallen 71% in value from the 92 cents to the Euro at which it traded back then. This is great news for Europeans who have a chance to come to the U.S.

I am teaching a group of students from Italy this month. Their friends advised them to come to the U.S. with empty suitcases so they could fill them up with clothing and other retail goods. That's because when they come here, the clothing that they buy in Europe looks to be on a 50% off sale. This leads to what may be an investment opportunity for Americans -- Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL). (Its stock is not overpriced; it's lost 39% of its value in the last year and it trades at a price earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2 -- a P/E of 15.7 and earnings forecast to grow 12.8% to $4.51 in 2009.)

How so? The Italian students are eager to gobble up as much of its merchandise as they can. If these students are a microcosm of Europeans, we can expect them to flock to the East Coast of the U.S. during their summer break to boost their wardrobes. They also like Lacoste and Gucci as well -- both of whose products are selling at screaming discounts here for those who get paid in Euros.

Continue reading How the weak dollar helps Europe, and Ralph Lauren

Polo Ralph Lauren (RL): Price defines bullish 'flag' consolidation pattern

Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL) is engaged in the design, marketing, and distribution of apparel, accessories, home furnishings and fragrances. These are offered under such brand names as Polo Ralph Lauren, Safari, Black Label, Club Monaco and Rugby. The company operates over 300 Ralph Lauren, Club Monaco, and Rugby retail stores, as well as a pair of e-commerce sites. Its products are also carried by upscale and mid-tier department stores. Macy's (NYSE: M) and Dillard's (NYSE: DDS) account for more than a third of all wholesale revenue. Jones Apparel Group (NYSE: JNY) and Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ) are competitors.

The company pleased investors late last month, when it reported fiscal Q4 EPS of $1.00 and revenues of $1.24 billion. Analysts had been looking for 65 cents and $1.15 billion. Management also guided FY09 EPS to $3.95-$4.05 ($3.97 consensus). Needham subsequently reiterated its "buy" rating on the shares and boosted its price target to $79.

Continue reading Polo Ralph Lauren (RL): Price defines bullish 'flag' consolidation pattern

Closing Bell: End of day buyers again mask mixed day

We saw another late day move save the markets today from looking like just one more mixed post-holiday trading session. The highly volatile durable goods orders came in at -0.5% for April, based partly on severe declines in aircrafts and autos. Any reprieve in oil was just that, some reprieve but no cure. We also saw the 10-Year Treasury cross back above that 4.00% threshold again. FOMC governor Mishkin also announced that he would retire in August, although this was non-moving for the market. Below are the unofficial closing bell levels:
Akeena Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: AKNS) saw a monster volume spike early on after boutique research firm Kaufman Bros. initiated coverage on the speculative solar stock with a Buy rating. More interesting than the research call itself was the overall level of volume right at the open that saw follow-on interest throughout the day as shares were up nearly 16% at $6.83 in the final minutes today.

American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) saw a 9% rise by the final minutes of the trading day to $18.79 after its earnings came in above some expectations.

Continue reading Closing Bell: End of day buyers again mask mixed day

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DJIA+17.4610,023.42
NASDAQ+7.122,112.44
S&P 500+2.671,069.30

Last updated: November 09, 2009: 04:04 AM

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