RTH posts
FeedPosted Mar 22nd 2011 12:00PM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Walgreen Co (WAG)
Walgreen (WAG), Dollar General (DG) and Express (EXPR) all reported higher quarterly profits Tuesday morning, with Dollar General and Express both beating Wall Street consensus earnings estimates. With news like this, it may be beneficial for an investor to take a closer look at the retail sector.
Granted, Walgreen did not impress Wall Street, and shares fell more than 7%. Express and Dollar General, however, are reaping the benefits with Express trading up over 5% and Dollar General enjoying a 3% upswing. Both companies opened trading up in the markets Tuesday.
Continue reading Trade the Positive Retail News
Posted Nov 29th 2009 11:00AM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: ETF Investing, Options
Retailers are going to struggle this holiday season -- and the Street simply does not care. While retail sales figures for October exceeded expectations, by historical standards, they were awful, and economists don't expect a robust holiday shopping season. But the market seems to be anticipating a holiday surprise, as retail ETFs are all up.
The retail sector is fundamentally unsound, yet technically flying, so take advantage of Wall Street's misplaced optimism with the Retail HOLDRs (RTH).
Continue reading Thanksgiving Trade #5: Retail HOLDRs (RTH)
Posted Nov 24th 2009 8:30AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Retail HOLDRS (RTH), an undivided index of retail merchandisers, closed at $94.61. RTH overall option implied volatility of 20 is below its 26-week average of 24, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Gold Fields (GFI) closed $14.74. Gold is recently up 0.52% to $1170, according to Bloomberg. Gold Fields is an unhedged producer of gold. December and January option implied volatility of 48 is below its 26-week average of 54, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Dec 4th 2008 2:58PM by Mitch Tuchman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Amazon.com (AMZN), Home Depot (HD), Mutual Funds, Walgreen Co (WAG), Target Corp. (TGT), Kroger Co (KR), Costco Wholesale (COST), CVS Corp (CVS), Lowe's Cos (LOW), ETF Investing, Personal Finance

This holiday season retailers are gearing up for one of the worst years yet. They've read the news and know that unemployment is up, people are putting off large purchases, and we're in the midst of a financial crisis. These unfortunate facts are not only reflected in most retail store's bottom lines, but also in stock prices. The
Retail HOLDRs (AMEX:
RTH)
exchange traded fund (ETF) is showing a bit of an unexpected trend as it recently outperformed the market from its highs in September 2008.
It must be noted that the success of RTH is its share of
Wal-Mart (NYSE:
WMT), which is a full 26% of the holdings. RTH has done very well in the current economic environment as people are looking for the best deals across the boards. Year to date, RTH is down about 25%, compared to the S&P which is down about 40%. In fact, not only is Wal-Mart not following economic predictions for the retail market, but other retail stores may also see less decline or even growth in the coming weeks. This is not the first time predictions have been dire, and yet the retail industry ended up smelling like a rose.
If you feel the outlook is more doomsday than it needs be, or if you see that the situation is actually ripe for a retail rally, consider buying RTH, which not only holds significant stock in Wal-Mart but also includes well known and big retailers such as
Target Corporation (NYSE:
TGT),
Lowes Companies (NYSE:
LOW),
Walgreen (NYSE:
WAG), and
Home Depot (NYSE:
HD) among many other household names.
Continue reading Retail Rally? Open the Door with RTH - A Sector ETF
Posted Aug 22nd 2008 5:09PM by Todd Harrison (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, , Oil, , Housing, Recession
Minyanville Founder and CEO Todd Harrison dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.
Holy cow, can it be any slower out there? I'm taking a break from trying to set the all-time record for meetings on a "slow" summah Friday to offer a quick take on a few topics.
Will Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) get married over the weekend?
- There hasn't been any price talk on Lehman so even if it happens, it's a bit of a crap shoot. Remember Minyans, Bear Stearns was taken over too.
- There is no doubt franchise value and a lot of smart people at Lehman. There's also a lot of baggage on their balance sheet. It -- like most of the financials -- is a double-edged sword.
Continue reading Lehman heating up a slow summer session
Posted Jan 9th 2008 1:22PM by Beth Gaston Moon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Consumer Experience, Target Corp. (TGT), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Economic Data

December is a critical month for retailers - the holiday season is the busiest shopping time, and a large chunk of bottom-line profits is booked in the final month of the calendar year. In 2006, December sales accounted for about 15% of all sales for the retailing sector. But December 2007, as many were predicting, may be one of the worst Decembers this decade.
Tomorrow, same-store sales for this critical month will hit the Street and the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)
is expecting an overall gain of 1% among stores open at least a year. This is below the ICSC's earlier estimate of 1.5% and compares to a year-ago jump of 3.3%. If this estimate is on the nose, it will be the sector's worst December since 2002.
There are many reasons that the holiday-shopping season was a slow one: rising food and fuel costs, the credit market breakdown, continued housing woes. And because of all these reasons, many retailers were forced to offer sale prices and additional incentives to lure cautious customers into the stores. These discounts obviously pressured the bottom line.
Continue reading Retailers steeling themselves for weak December sales numbers
Posted Aug 27th 2007 7:20PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Gap Inc (GPS), Kohl's Corp (KSS)
On tonight's MAD MONEY on CNBC, Jim Cramer said it is time to start nibbling into retail stocks after he's been negative for a while. He thinks the Fed will start cutting rates soon and not everyone has realized they have bottomed out. The ultimate turnaround stock in the sector will be
Gap Inc. (NYSE:
GPS) because of the new management team. He is very particular here to only ease into the stock. He also likes
Kohl's Corp. (NYSE:
KSS) because it is down 20% and has a major growth vehicle.
American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:
AEO) is one that has insiders buying stock.
These 3 picks are interesting picks, although
Gap seems to be mauled every month in crummy stores and won't be able to fix itself fast. maybe that
huge stock buyback can help it. This one may only have the
"less bad is good" future, because its shoppers have abandoned it. It's too hard to love the
Gap and in a
private equity absent market the
hopes for a buyout seem a bit childish.
Kohl's and American Eagle are both in a spot that could generate serious returns if these go back to their prior highs.
American Eagle at $25.00+ would generate close to a 40% gain if it goes back to a year high of $34.80, and Kohl's at $57.00+ would also show close to a 40% gain for it to hit $79.55.
It is far too easy to call for the death of the consumer because you'd have to say
"But, this time the consumer really will be dead." Rumors of the death of the consumer seem to ALWAYS be exaggerated time after time. The safest bet here for the whole retail sector is perhaps the Merrill Lynch Retail HOLDRs, although you should realize that the big box retail plays dominate this and smaller clothing retail plays are not represented well at all in this one. The other targeted ETF for the group is PowerShares Dynamic Retail. That one does have this specific clothing retail mixed into more of a broad pool. It is just less liquid.
Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he produces the 24/7 Wall St. Special Situation Investing Newsletter and does not own securities in the companies he covers.