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Analyst calls: XOM, PHG, THC, BSX, CCI, ALD . . .

Analyst upgrades:

  • Barclays upgraded the Integrated Oil sector to Positive from Neutral citing valuations. Note that Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight based on valuation.
  • After Force Protection (NASDAQ: FRPT) reported that its 1H08 sales increased more than 200%, Stanford thinks that Force Protection could be poised for several new opportunities in 2009 and they believe the company's risk is already priced into the stock; the firm raised Force Protection to Hold from Sell.
  • Cowen expects eHealth (NASDAQ: EHTH) to benefit from the steady decline in employer-sponsored health insurance offered by small businesses and reduced regulatory risk, among other reasons. The firm upgraded shares to Outperform from Neutral.
  • Allied Capital (NYSE: ALD) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital.
  • Caris upgraded Carmike Cinemas (NASDAQ: CKEC) to Above Average from Average.
  • International Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE: IFF) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.

Continue reading Analyst calls: XOM, PHG, THC, BSX, CCI, ALD . . .

Will McDonald's report tasty earnings?

How is McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD) holding up during the economic downturn?

The largest restaurant chain is expected to report profit of 70 cents per share on revenue of $5.4 billion, according to Thomson Financial. Their average price target for the company's stock is $62.64, above the $58.64 where it recently traded. Shares of the company are up about 20% as investors bet that the cost-conscious consumers would be attracted to cheap McDonald's food. Moreover, the company's cut rate, but delicious coffee continues to give Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) nightmares. This seems to be a recipe for success boosting comparable same-store sales by 11.7% in February.

McDonald's earnings will be a clear sign of how the consumer is holding up. Many are cutting back on dining out as evidenced by the decline in same-store sales at restaurants at diverse as Ruth's Chris Steak House Inc. (NASDAQ: RUTH) to Darden Restaurants Inc's. (NYSE: DRI) Red Lobster.

But thankfully for shareholders, McDonald's isn't solely reliant on its U.S. business. During the fourth quarter, sales rose by double digits outside its home country. The company should see strong sales group in Europe and emerging markets, according to a Lehman Brothers note quoted by the Associated Press.

Analyst downgrades: CMCSA, ING, AZ and FNM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Comcast, ING Group, Allianz AG and Fannie Mae were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Goldman downgraded Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) to Neutral from Buy following the company's reduced 2007 guidance.
  • Merrill downgraded shares of ING Group (NYSE: ING) and Allianz AG (NYSE: AZ) to Neutral from Buy to reflect their more cautious view on the sector due to subprime mortgages spreads.
  • Piper lowered its rating on Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) to Neutral from Buy due to the lack of visibility regarding when credit losses will peak. Credit Suisse downgraded shares to Underperform from Neutral.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Gift cards: good or bad for investors?

'Tis the season to shop for just the right gift card. While gift cards may be a good deal for consumer recipients, depending upon state laws and company policies, gift cards may have a short-term downside for investors. As gift card giving becomes more popular, the liability problem of what to do about unredeemed gift cards grows as well. In some states, the value of an unused or partially used gift card must be turned over to the state as unclaimed property. The value of the gift card stays on the company's books as a liability. According to a recent article in CFO Magazine, 27% of all gift cards go unused, and perhaps as many as 50% are used only partially.

In states that do not have unclaimed property laws that apply to gift cards, companies must develop their own policies as to when an unused gift card can be moved over to operating income on the balance sheet. This transfer is called "breakage." There is currently no SEC regulation on breakage, so investors need to scan company balance sheets to determine the amount of rbeakage, which can be large. Ruth's Chris Steak House (NASDAQ: RUTH) claimed $2.2 million in breakage as operating income, dwarfed by the $39 million in breakage Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) transferred by analyzing historical patterns of gift card usage. Best Buy determined that after two years, an unused gift card is likely never to be used and can come off the liability side of the equation. Ben Bridge Jeweler, owned by Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A), has little problem with breakage. Most of its customers are only too happy to use their high value gift cards very promptly.

Ruth's Chris Steak House Inc.: A stock that still sizzles

If you're going to invest in the food service sector, fine dining is a good place to look. As baby boomers age, they are hitting their prime earning years, which, when combined with their increased disposable income as their children move out of the house, means that there are 78 million potential customers in America with the money and the leisure time to spend on fine dining. But food service can be a tricky industry. There's a high rate of failure, and a lot of a company's worth is derived from the cachet attached to the brand name. That said, every once in a while you find a company that manages to have an organization that is strong enough to ride out these risks and provide some real money making potential. Ruth's Chris Steak House, Inc. (NASDAQ: RUTH), the leading upscale steakhouse chain in the U.S., is one of those companies.

With more than 100 restaurants scattered around the country, Ruth's Chris has the diversification to ride out any localized failures, which are more often than not caused by changes in the economic environment in a restaurant's community. And the company plans to keep expanding, with hopes that the chain could eventually run to over 250 restaurants in the U.S. alone.

There's also potential for international growth; there are already 10 Ruth's Chris restaurants around the world, in markets as diverse as Hong Kong and Taiwan, with tentative plans in the works for up to 50 more in the future, starting with the recently announced plans for a Tokyo outpost. And all of this expansion seems to be paying off -- Ruth's Chris reported revenue up 20% last quarter.

Continue reading Ruth's Chris Steak House Inc.: A stock that still sizzles

Analyst initiations: CPRX, RUTH and DYN

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Catalyst Pharm, Ruth's Chris Steak House and Dynegy were today's noteworthy initiations:

  • Rodman & Renshaw is optimistic on Catalyst Pharmaceutical Partners' (NASDAQ: CPRX) Vigabatrin in drug addiction, initiating shares with a Market Outperform rating and $9 target.
  • SunTrust started Ruth's Chris Steak House (NASDAQ: RUTH) with a Neutral rating and $13 target, citing the difficult spending environment and cautious sentiment.
  • Jefferies initiated shares of Dynegy Inc. (NYSE: DYN) with a Buy rating and $9 target and expects improved cash flow and earnings from the projected improvement in market heat rates in the Midwest and PJM.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

Analyst initiations: Auto and auto parts sector, MRVL and FTI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The auto and auto parts sector, Marvell Technology and FMC Technologies were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Citigroup initiated the auto and auto parts sector, and believes strong international growth provides selective opportunities. They upgraded General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) to Buy from Sell and Lear Corporation (NYSE: LEA) to Buy from Hold.
  • Marvell Technology Group (NASDAQ: MRVL) was initiated with a Neutral rating by Bank of America, which believes the company's earnings power will be limited in FY09.
  • FMC Technologies (NYSE: FTI) was assumed with an Overweight by JP Morgan, which believes that subsea development offers one of the best opportunities in the energy sector.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Analyst downgrades 7-06-07: DCEL, HLT and RUTH

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ruth's Chris Steak House (RUTH), Hilton Hotels (HLT) and Champps Entertainment (CMPP) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Goldman cut shares of Ruth's Chris Steak House (NASDAQ: RUTH) to Sell from Neutral following the company's preliminary Q2 sales, as they expect relative underperformance over the near-term. Goldman believes macro headwinds could weigh on Ruth's client base and keep traffic negative for the rest of the year.
  • Hilton Hotels (NYSE: HLT) was downgraded by a number of firms after the Blackstone Group (BX) takeout offer: Jefferies and Citigroup cut shares to Hold from Buy, Calyon downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy, Raymond James downgraded shares to Market Perform from Strong Buy, Suquehanna cut shares to Neutral from Positive and Bear Stearns downgraded Hilton Hotels to Peer Perform from Outperform.
  • B. Riley downgraded shares of Champps Entertainment (NASDAQ: CMPP) to Neutral from Buy to reflect the buyout offer from F&H Acquisition Corp...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • B. Riley downgraded shares of ACR Group (AMEX: BRR) to reflect the company's merger agreement with Watsco Inc (WSO).
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst upgrades 4-16-07: AQNT, AMZN, BBY & T upgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Best Buy Co, Inc (BBY), Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN), aQuantive, Inc (AQNT) and AT&T (T) were today's most notable upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded shares of Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) to Buy from Neutral, telling customers valuation is discounting an earnings miss and reflects concerns about the company's capital allocation. The firm expects BBY to meet recent guidance and current Street estimates.
  • Deutsche bank upgraded shares of Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) to Buy from Hold, citing expectations for operating margin improvement near-term and added growth and margin expansion longer-term from Web Services initiatives.
  • JP Morgan upgraded shares of aQuantive (NASDAQ: AQNT) to Outperform from Neutral, citing valuation and stronger fundamentals as the firm expects Google's (GOOG) acquisition of DoubleClick to result in stable pricing during the integration process. aQuantive was also upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBSW and to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer at CIBC.
  • AT&T Inc (NYSE: T) was upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, as the firm believes shares have stronger growth prospects compared to the group based on wirelines cost cutting, churn and margin improvements at Cingular.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Ruth's Chris Steak House 1Q earnings

Unlike many restaurant businesses, Ruth's Chris Steak House (NASDAQ: RUTH) posted positive numbers for 1Q 2007. Announcing preliminary earnings, the Ruth's Chris Steak House chain stated company-owned restaurants posted a sales increase of 1.9%. This marked the 16th consecutive quarter of sales growth. Sales volume at company-owned locations was up 1.4%, with an average weekly volume of $118,574. The average check increased 5.2% due partly to higher beef entree prices.

Total company-owned sales increased 27%, from $61.5 million in 1Q 2006 to $78.1 million in 1Q 2007. Total revenue from continuing operations, including franchise income, for 1Q 2207 is in the $81.3-$81.5 million range, compared with $64.7 million in 1Q 2006. Management estimates that FY 2007 diluted EPS will be $1.05-$1.09. Ruth's Chris Steak House currently operates 105 locations throughout the United States. It opened 10 locations in 1Q 2007 and plans to open several more company-owned locations, as well as several more franchise locations during the remainder of 2007.

On Friday, 13 April, the stock closed at $19.80, up $0.30.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+203.5210,226.94
NASDAQ+41.622,154.06
S&P 500+23.781,093.08

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 01:56 AM

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