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Gold and the U.S. dollar are inexorably linked. The U.S. dollar represents the U.S. economy as a paper asset, while gold represents a standard of international value that transcends national boundaries. The value of both of these asset classes is very difficult to determine. Both are affected by geo-political events and both move up or down as a matter of perception.
Let's look at a few examples. With the large bank bailouts of 2008 and the coming Obama stimulus package, there are those who say that we are way overextended and have printed too much paper money. Those who take this position are the "gold bugs," the ones who are running away from paper assets to the safety of a hard asset like gold. This is where you find predictions that gold will rise to $2,000-$5,000 per ounce. It is this perception of the U.S. economy that drives investors to buy gold.
Then there are those who look at the world a bit differently. They see a world with 6 billion plus people that is running out of natural resources and that will not be able to meet the demand for basic commodities such as food, energy and raw materials. As a result of these shortages, commodity prices will rise to irrationally high levels. This in turn will cause rampant inflation and devalue paper assets even further and make gold even more valuable.