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Existing Home Sales Plunge

The big story today is about housing. It is not good. Existing home sales plunged 27% in July, according to a Bloomberg News survey.

That news wrecked havoc with the markets. The Dow was down over 100 points. On the bright side, US treasuries roared ahead to the lowest yields on record. The yield on the benchmark 10 year note fell to 2.49%. The yield on the two year note is at .4542%. Yes, you read it right. It is less that half of one percent.

Continue reading Existing Home Sales Plunge

Pending Home Sales Surge 21.1% in March

Pending home sales rose 21.1% in March over 2009 numbers. The big driver was the expiration of the first time home buyer credit. Contracts had to be signed by the end of March to qualify. Nevertheless, these numbers are encouraging.

The National Association of Realtors' (NAT)' index stood at 102.9, up 5.3% It should be noted that pending sales lead existing sales by one to two months.

Separately, the Commerce Department released their numbers on manufactured goods. Excluding defense, factory orders were up 1.3%. Non defense capital goods, excluding aircraft were up 4.5%

Continue reading Pending Home Sales Surge 21.1% in March

Distressed Home Sales Back Up Near 2009 Peak

With more and more homeowners upside down (no equity), the trend is for homeowners to walk away and file personal bankruptcy. This double whammy is adding to the pool of distressed sales.

In January, distressed sales accounted for 29% of total sales. This was just shy of the record 32% set in January 2009.

Continue reading Distressed Home Sales Back Up Near 2009 Peak

Opportunistic Real Estate Buying By Private Equity Poised to Pop in 2010

Look for fund-raising by opportunistic private equity real estate funds to pick up this year. According to private equity research firm Preqin, 182 opportunistic vehicles are out there trying to raise money right now, with a target of $95 billion.

To put this objective in perspective, 2009 was dismal, with only 59 opportunistic real estate funds pulling in $26 billion in fresh capital. The sector was far more successful in 2008, however, raising $84 billion across 84 funds and making it the sector's best year for fund-raising. So, if the 2010 funds reach their goal, it will have overcome the woes of last year and even top the one before.

Continue reading Opportunistic Real Estate Buying By Private Equity Poised to Pop in 2010

Existing Home Sales Plunge 17% in December

Sales of existing homes plunged 17% in December, the sharpest drop since records began in 1968. The sales pace fell to 5.45 million annual rate from 6.54 pace the previous month.

Part of the reason for the drop was attributed to the termination of the first $8,000 tax credit for first time buyers. That kept buyers away from the market. Since then Congress has extended the tax credit. Realtors expect a pick up in sales going into the Spring season.

Continue reading Existing Home Sales Plunge 17% in December

Fed Still Worried About Housing

The minutes of the recent Federal Reserve Meeting showed a continued concern over housing. Some members of the committee favored continued purchases of mortgage backed securities. The Fed is scheduled to end its purchase of $1.25 trillion of mortgage backed securities by the end of March. Those in this group held that pulling the plug in March was too soon.

Some members were comfortable with the current stabilization in the housing market and argued that ending the program was the right policy move. Fed officials said that in general, they see continued improvement in the housing market going forward.

Continue reading Fed Still Worried About Housing

Chasing Value: 2010 -- #2 Grubb & Ellis

Where as my fist pick, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is a large cap diversified conglomerate, my second, Grubb & Ellis Co. (GBE), is a micro-cap stock of $90 million.

GBE is a network of nearly 130 owned and affiliated offices, providing commercial real estate services to property owners, institutional investors, and tenants. Its 1,800 brokers and some 6,000 affiliated real estate professionals offer advisory and brokerage, property management, construction consultation, and other services.

The company has been devastated by the bursting of the residential real estate market bubble, lost equity value, illiquid capital markets and the still impending concern over the commercial real estate market facing rising vacancies as hundreds of billions of dollars in loans must be rolled over.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 -- #2 Grubb & Ellis

In the new era, old home price trend may not be the new home price trend

Over generations, one truism of the U.S. housing market has been that mid-level home prices recover first, prior to the luxury market or upscale homes.

And the logic implied in the above is obvious enough: there are more Americans in the middle-income market, hence there's a wider pool of eligible buyers, once these prospective buyers sense the time is right to purchase. The luxury market, because its drawing pool is so small, and niche-oriented, historically recovered later.

Continue reading In the new era, old home price trend may not be the new home price trend

Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)

Today's jobs data was not bad, relatively any way, but the housing delinquencies and foreclosure rates was just awful and not representative of anything good. The overseas selling had the markets soft this morning and despite a recovery off lows the 'positive green line' was never really in the cards at the end of the trading day. The retailers are also running soft because of excessive discounting and promotions before the holiday season even starts.

Here are the unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,341.44 -84.87 (-0.81%)
S&P 500 1,094.90 -14.90 (-1.34%)
Nasdaq 2,156.82 -36.32 (-1.66%)

Top Analyst Calls
Top Day Trader Alerts
Top Stock/Market Rumors

Continue reading Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)

Under the radar: Bidding wars resume for New York City housing

Under the radar: Some trends are obvious enough and visible to all investors. Others are more-subtle, but are just as potent, and these often slip 'under the radar.'

Case in point:
It's a hopeful sign, albeit one that will need to be confirmed by many more data points: bidding wars for residential real estate in New York City have returned, The New York Times reported.

Continue reading Under the radar: Bidding wars resume for New York City housing

Home values could creep up next year

If you're worried about the value of your home, 2010 could bring a little bit of good news. The National Association of Realtors reported Friday that home prices could edge 4% higher next year. In 2009, home prices declined by 13%. The association's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, says, "Going into 2010, I anticipate that prices will also begin stabilizing or begin to modestly improve." He continues, "I don't think the fear factor will be at play in 2010."

First-time buyers taking advantage of a range of incentives -- including an $8,000 tax credit -- accounted for 47% of transactions this year, up from 41% in 2008. With the credit extended to April 30, 2010, there's hope that first-timers will continue to breathe some life into the real estate market. According to Yun, approximately 2 million people gobbled up the tax advantage.

Continue reading Home values could creep up next year

Pricey Manhattan homes are moving again

A year ago, Manhattan homeowners lived within the firm grasp of the worst recession in 70 years. A skyrocketing real estate market seemed ready to come back to Earth, as carnage in the financial services industry – which spread to just about every other business – decimated incomes and net worths throughout the city.

From the second quarter to the third, this year, the sale of co-ops and apartments spiked between 46% and 69% according to several reports from the real estate business. Sales are still lower than last year, but the recovery has been nothing short of amazing (to the chagrin of those of us who had dreams of one day moving up from the rental class).

Prudential Douglas Elliman reported a price increase of almost 2% from the second quarter, though the median was down 8% to 18% from last year – to the $760,000 to $850,000 range. Jonathan Miller, president and CEO of Miller Samuel Inc., a real estate appraisal and consulting firm, calls this good news, but cautions that it doesn't mean we're at the bottom.

Continue reading Pricey Manhattan homes are moving again

Mortgage applications jump

mortgage applicationsIn another sign that the housing market may be emerging from its slump, applications for mortgages rose last week by a nice 12.8 percent.

The news comes from the Mortgage Bankers Association which stated that its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications rose to 668.5, which is the highest that the index has read since back on May 22.

Continue reading Mortgage applications jump

Madoff mansion moves for more than asking price

Disgraced Ponzi schemer Bernie Madoff's (former) Montauk, Long Island home is no longer on the market. A buyer willing to pay more than the $8.75 million asking price has picked up the property, only two weeks after the U.S. Marshals Service listed it for sale.

Anne Lacombe, spokeswoman for the Corcoran Group, a real estate broker involved in the transaction, said the home was under contract for more than asking but did not have information on the exact amount, buyer or closing date, according to the Associated Press.

Continue reading Madoff mansion moves for more than asking price

Tell-tale stat: Manhattan apartment rents continue to fall

The U.S. housing market may be starting to turn, but in Manhattan, at least in the rental market, renters still have the upper hand.

Manhattan apartment rents fell as much as 10% in August, on a year-over-year basis, according to data compiled by the Real Estate Group of New York, with concessions by owners widespread, Bloomberg News reported Wednesday.

Continue reading Tell-tale stat: Manhattan apartment rents continue to fall

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 08:30 AM

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