According to the ADP Employer Services Report, the private sector added 201,000 new jobs in March, basically in-line with 203,000 new jobs that analysts had been expecting to see.

February's figures were revised downwards to 208,000 from a previously estimated 216,000 new jobs.

March's employment gains bring the four-month average of new jobs to 211,000, more than enough to keep the labor track on path. Analysts estimate that the economy needs to add 125,000 new jobs each month in order to keep up with population growth, so any jobs over that figure result in a lower unemployment figures.

Discount retailer Family Dollar Stores Inc. (FDO) reported its fiscal second quarter results this morning, topping analyst estimates and sending the stock higher in premarket trading.

For the quarter, Family Dollar reported it earned 98 cents per share, topping analyst estimates by a penny. During the same period last year, the company earned 81 cents per share.

The housing market got a bit of bad news Monday morning, with pending home sales falling faster than expected in January.

Consumer confidence has been on the rise over the past couple of months, but that boost in confidence did not carry over to pending home sales, which were down 2.8% during the month of January.

Recessions are a good time for discount retailers. Dollar General (DG) is a retailer of low priced goods, which are in demand during this period of high unemployment. Consumers have less to spend and gravitate to stores like Dollar General.

The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) reported that Dollar General's fiscal third-quarter profit rose to $128.1 million or 37 cents a share, up from $75 million or 24 cents a share a year earlier. Sales rose 10% to $3.22 billion and were 4.2% higher on a same-store basis. Compared to prior years, sales were up 13% and 9.2% respectively.

Fewer business start-ups are being launched, reports the the Wall Street Journal. The Labor Department said that the number of companies with at least one employee fell by 100,000, or 2%, in the year ended March 31. That was the second worst performance in 18 years -- the worst one was a drop of 3.4% the previous year.

Why are these numbers important? In past recessions small business start-ups were the key to spurring the economy. In the three quarters that ended in March, newly formed companies created only 2.6 million jobs, 15% fewer than in the first three quarters of the last recovery.

While the stock market has moved up nicely in the last three months, it's hardly moved stocks above reasonable valuations. IBM (IBM) sells at 12.77 times earnings. Intel (INTC) goes for 11.67 times. Microsoft (MSFT) has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.74. Google (GOOG) sports one of 22.8, but even that isn't too noteworthy when many of these stocks at one time or another traded at 50 to 100 times their earnings. Of course, those were days when there was only up, and everyone was on Ecstasy. Thankfully, every stock, and everyone, is back on earth.

Those relatively benign valuations come from the reality of a slow global economy. In the U.S. it's more like a smashed-into-a-brick-wall economy. No matter the degree of the economic slowdown, all investors are cautious, not willing to bid up stocks when they believe things will only get worse, that profits will only decrease.

The Federal Reserve has posted some data that shows the extent of economic decline in the second quarter. Here are some key numbers, as reported by Reuters.

• Household wealth fell by $1.5 trillion in the second quarter to $53.5 trillion. This sharply lower than the $64.2 trillion at the end of 2007.
• Stock losses amounted to $14.9 trillion, a drop of $1.95 trillion.

Silver has surged to $20.74, prices that haven't been seen since 1980, according to the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).

Let's take a walk down memory lane. Around 1979, the Hunt brothers from Texas tried to corner the silver market by buying up and hoarding tons of physical silver. That period also saw inflation rising to 18%. The Federal Reserve under Paul Volcker raised short-term rates to the 18% level.

This is a market for boring stocks. By that I mean, given that objective economic events seem to diametrically alter the investing landscape every few days or so, you need a few "totally un-sexy" plays that perform despite the aforementioned tumult.

And auto parts giant O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY), which I first wrote about here on May 18, 2009 at a price of $37.02, fits the bill.

O'Reilly's 2010 revenue should increase 9% to 12%, including revenue from an acquisition. Same store sales should increase 5% to 7%. Margins will likely increase.

The study showed that unemployment, foreclosure and bankruptcy rates didn't change when compared to June. In areas where the workforces are dependent upon agriculture, mining, wholesale trade, and finance, the economic stress eased. Unfortunately, retail and real estate employees saw higher distress during July. The study shows that roughly 54% of the 3,141 counties in the U.S. saw economic stress decline (24 of the 50 states).

The U.S. lost fewer jobs than expected in August. Here are the key stats, as reported in the New York Times:

• The economy lost another 54,000 jobs last month.
• Private companies added 67,000 jobs.
• The unemployment rate rose to 9.6% from 9.5%.
• The government lost 121,000 jobs in August.
• State and local governments cut 10,000 jobs and another 114,000 temporary census positions.

Are we in a recession or a depression? A recession usually means a temporary dip in an otherwise growing economy. A depression is much worse, feeding on itself and dragging the economy lower and lower. A recession carries hope. A depression is pure hopelessness.

We have all kinds of forecasts, from extreme optimism to bleak pessimism. Government officials and the mainstream media are touting this as a dip in a long-term growth cycle.

Like Warren Buffett, I like the rails. Canadian Pacific Railway (CP), which I first discussed here on May 1, 2009, at a price of $37.47, fits the bill, despite the stock's side-ways action summer.

Look for Canadian Pacific to register an impressive 7% to 10% revenue increase in 2010, as end markets continue to recover from 2009 lows. Meanwhile, increases in CP's railroad efficiency add to the positive story.