While you probably won't see many more doors closing before the end of the year, expect to see weak retailers facing liquidations if the holiday season is as bad as many predict it will be. We've already seen 22 retailers file for bankruptcy including Steve & Barry's, Circuit City and Linens 'n Things. Some may survive bankruptcy reorganization and live to see another day. Other retailers may not be able to find the funds to refinance and will be forced to liquidate and close.Locally, near me in Florida, only one Circuit City has closed and you don't see much evidence of the bankruptcy. Shelves are not stocked as well and advertising is down, but you'd only know that if you watch the stores closely.
The top retailers, such as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) will survive easily, but many second and third tier retailers will be struggling to make it. Standard & Poors downgraded the credit rating for 53 retailers already this year, which is higher than the total number of downgrades for all of 2007, and it expects to downgrade more before year end. Deloitte Research Chief Economist Carl Steidtmann told Business Week, "It's been a long time since we've seen an environment as challenging as this."
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