There have been growing concerns that the financial condition of Citigroup (NYSE: C) is getting worse and not better since the government bailed the bank out two months ago. Now, the question is coming up again regarding what will happen if Citi needs a lot more capital.
According to Reuters, "Veteran banking analyst Richard Bove widened his fourth-quarter loss estimate for Citigroup , saying the bank may take sizable write-downs in its capital-markets operations." That does not mention the huge problems that the bank may have with its consumer credit portfolios. Default rates on credit cards have been spiking up for several months and should go up further as unemployment rises.
What happens if Citi has to raise several billion more dollars? The government may not be as generous as it was the last time. It may want preferred stock at a better price and warrant coverage on the stock which could cause dilution for current shareholders, depending on how it is structured. If the government is smart it will require that some private equity needs to be put into the bank along with a federal investment.
All of that means that Citi's stock price is almost certainly moving down. The firm's shares trade at $7.83 and it has a market cap of $42 billion. If the company needs to bring in $10 billion it may have to offer stock at a below market price. That could cut the share price to $5 or perhaps lower.
No one in his right mind wants Citi shares now.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.



