RichardMoroney posts
FeedPosted Aug 24th 2009 11:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Technical Analysis, Stocks to Buy, Recession
"With high-quality stocks on sale, now seems an opportune time to look for bargains among small and midcap blue chips," suggests Richard Moroney.
In his Upside Stocks advisory, which uses the quantitative-based Quadrix ratings system, he says, "We've found several 'Best Buys' with superior year-ahead potential."
Here, the analyst looks at Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO), Catalyst Health (NASDAQ: CHSI) and Hornbeck Offshore (NYSE: HOS).
Continue reading Quant picks: A trio of ' best buys'
Posted Mar 31st 2009 12:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"We see smooth seas ahead for deepsea driller Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII)," says Richard Moroney.
The editor of the blue chip advisory, Dow Theory Forecasts, explains, "Most of the world's untapped oil reserves lie under the ocean floor, and oil producers are spending an increasing portion of their capital budgets on deepwater drilling."
"While oil prices don't directly affect Oceaneering International's profits and cash flows, they do move the stock. Oil prices fell by two-thirds in the second half of 2008, pushing Oceaneering shares under $20 for the first time since July 2005.
Continue reading Smooth seas for Oceaneering International (OII)
Posted Feb 6th 2009 2:15PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"What's going on with Transocean (NYSE RIG), the owner of the world's biggest fleet of offshore drilling rigs?" asks Richard Moroney, a specialist in blue chip stocks.
In his Dow Theory Forecasts, he explains, "The shares plunged 67% - nearly $100 a share - in 2008, and we can't blame the usual suspects." Here, he explains why he continues to rate thes stock a "Focus List Buy" in his blue chip-focused advisory service.
"Poor operating performance? Wall Street expects 2008 per-share profits of $14.34, up 68%. Shaky future? Transocean is expected to grow per-share earnings 4% in 2009 and 10% annually over the next five years.
"Fundamentals eroding? Not at all. The balance sheet is sturdy and the backlog stout at $41 billion, or three times expected 2009 revenue. Rather, we see two chief contributors to Transocean's steep slide, and neither should jeopardize long-term prospects.
Continue reading Transocean (RIG): A platform for profits?
Posted Jan 20th 2009 3:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Obama Picks
"One of my favor defensive sectors is healthcare," says Elliott Gue; the contributing editor to Personal Finance looks to Quality Systems (NSDQ: QSII), a company that helps automate medical records.
Quantitative analyst Richard Moroney also sees opportunity in the same niche sector. In his Upside newsletter, he looks to a competing play, Cerner (NASDAQ: CERN). Here are their reviews.
"The President made health care a centerpiece of his campaign, including investments in health care-related information technology (IT).
"Health care IT systems can save doctors' offices and hospitals significant administrative costs as well as prevent mistakes. In addition, some major health insurance firms are already putting heavy pressure on their physician networks to adopt these systems."
"Medical offices and hospitals are seeking to automate many functions, from storing patient records online to automatically submitting insurance claims for reimbursement.
"It's estimated that as much as 90% of health care records at smaller medical practices are still maintained in paper form, while even bigger hospitals keep close to half of their records manually.
"Quality Systems, a holding in our growth portfolio, is a leading provider of such systems. It sells software used to manage electronic patient records, billing, scheduling and other common administrative functions for medical and dental practices.
Continue reading Obama's plans boost electronic medical records firms
Posted Aug 31st 2008 11:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, International Business Machines (IBM), Stocks to Buy, Technology
This post is part of a report entitled "Six-pack of technology favorites." You can read about the other top tech stock picks here.
"For more than a decade, International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) lived up to its reputation as a slow-growing, stodgy company," says Richard Moroney.
The editor of the blue chip advisory, Dow Theory Forecasts, contends, "But over the last 12 months, the picture changed. Strong operating momentum is now propelling genuine operational growth despite U.S. economic weakness."
"Acquisitions and cost cuts have accounted for most of IBM's growth in recent years. In the 10 years ended 2006, sales increased at an annualized rate of less than 2%, and the company lost both market share and in?uence.
"However, sales growth has accelerated in each of the last three quarters, and per-share pro?ts have risen at least 23% in each period. Consensus estimates, trending upward over the last month, project per-share-pro?t growth of 24% in 2008 and 11% in 2009.
"A broad business mix has helped the company keep growing during the economic slowdown. IBM may still be best known for its hardware, but the company's strength over the last year has stemmed from the services and software businesses, which tend to be less economically sensitive than hardware.
"Hardware accounted for about 18% of sales in the six months ended June, while services represented 58% and software generated 20%. Financing operations brought in most of the last 4%.
"While the current economic climate has pinched the consumer, companies are still investing heavily in new technology. IBM's products and services help customers improve ef?ciency, productivity, and security, which in turn can reduce costs. In the six months ended June, IBM's revenue rose 12%, while per share-pro?ts jumped 34%. Revenue from services increased 17% in the six-month period.
Continue reading IBM: 'The picture has changed'
Posted Aug 28th 2008 5:15PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Cisco Systems (CSCO), Newsletters, International Business Machines (IBM), Broadcom Corp'A' (BRCM), Stocks to Buy
With concerns over recession, turmoil in the financial sector, fear of rising rates, high market volatility and a rising aversion to risk, many investors have been avoiding technology stocks.
Investors have feared that these economic headwinds will dampen both consumer spending for technology products and reduced capital expenditures for technology in the corporate sector.
Despite these concerns, some of the newsletter industry's leading advisors are looking beyond the current malaise and seeing longer-term value in some of the tech sector's leading players. They believe that much of the "bad news" is already reflected in the price of the shares, with little recognition being given to their longer-term potential.
For those willing to go against the crowd and buy, as they say, "while blood is running in the street," we offer a six-pack of technology stocks that the some top advisors considers to be among their favorite ideas.
Continue reading A six-pack of technology favorites
Posted Aug 20th 2008 2:28PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"Our 'Forecasts Focus List' contains only two energy stocks, both of which are in the oil services sector: Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII) and Transocean (NYSE: RIG)," says blue chip advisor Richard Moroney.
The editor of Dow Theory Forecasts says, "While stocks in the equipment and services group tend to move with oil prices in the near term, their profits depend more on exploration spending than on commodity prices."
"Concerns about slowing demand for crude oil and re?ned products both in the U.S. and overseas have many investors worried. But investors in the equipment and services group should not panic.
"Most producers continue to spend aggressively. And U.S. crude-oil inventories remain well below the average for this time of year, with fewer than 20 days of supply in storage.
"Demand for offshore-drilling services remains strong, giving Transocean excellent growth potential. Consensus estimates project per-share profits will rise 69% in 2008 and 15% in 2009. Transocean, the world's largest offshore drilling contractor, operates in every major drilling region.
"A combination of tight global rig supplies and the ongoing discovery of new offshore reserves have driven rig lease rates higher and kept Transocean's fleet busy. The company's largest, most expensive rigs are 95% sold out for 2009, and the backlog is growing.
Continue reading Drilling for gains in offshore drilling services
Posted Aug 8th 2008 12:05PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Lockheed Martin (LMT), Stocks to Buy
"Partial insulation from the economic slowdown, coupled with new military-aircraft programs, give Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) attractive capital-gains potential over the next several years," says Richard Moroney.
In his blue chip oriented Dow Theory Forecasts, the advisor explains, "A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. The stock is a Focus List Buy."
"Lockheed seems well-positioned with regards to the U.S. defense budget, with very little exposure to Iraq. The company is capable of growing pro? ts even if the new U.S. president pulls troops out of the country.
"While defense-spending growth is likely to slow in coming years, ongoing security threats and the need to replace aging equipment should keep the baseline defense budget, which excludes war-related costs, growing through at least 2012.
"A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. After the Air Force, Lockheed's next-largest end market is civil government and homeland security, accounting for 26% of revenue.
"The U.S. Navy accounts for 20% of sales and the Army 10%. About 13% of sales are international, and the U.S. communications industry accounts for 3%.
Continue reading A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense
Posted Jun 27th 2008 10:35AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual Funds, Stocks to Buy
"For investors who seek superior relative performance but are unwilling to sacrifice dependability, the we offer four funds that consistently outperform their peers," says Richard Moroney.
In the mid-year forecast for his Dow Theory Forecasts, he explains, "All of these funds have outpaced category averages in each of last five years, and sometimes much longer." Here, he looks at those funds that he considers "perennial winners."
"To be sure, past returns do not guarantee future success. But, while the evidence is not conclusive, academic studies generally indicate performance tends to persist, particularly at the extremes. That is, the best funds continue to outperform their peers, while the worst funds keep lagging.
"Fidelity Export & Multinational (FEXPX), our favorite pick among large-company growth funds, is riding an impressive nine-year winning streak - the longest in its category. Among the more than 1,800 large-cap growth funds, less than 80, or roughly 4%, have outperformed the peer-group average for five straight years.
Continue reading Four favorite funds: 'Perennial winners'
Posted Jun 17th 2008 9:55AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, International Business Machines (IBM), Stocks to Buy
In its mid-year forecast, Dow Theory Forecasts -- which has been published for 5 decades -- features its top current picks, including IBM (NYSE: IBM), which earns its top designation as a "Focus List Buy."
Editor Richard Moroney explains, "IBM has repeatedly forecast its goal of per-share earnings of $10 to $11 in 2010. The company is well on its way to achieving that goal. Software, in particular, is key to IBM's earnings target.
"The company completed its acquisition of Telelogic in April, three months after purchasing Cognos. IBM expects acquisitions to contribute 3% of its goal of 7% to 10% growth in software sales.
"From 2002 to 2007, mainframe sales averaged 6% growth, but sales fell in three of those years, including 2007. The March quarter showed no improvement, as sales in the division fell 7%. But, with energy prices up, IBM sees an opportunity with its new, energy-efficient Z-series mainframe.
"Server sales have been spotty, but IBM's sales force translates server revenue into two to three times as much in software and systems revenue. IBM, with the potential to reach $155 to $165 over the next 12 months, is a Focus List Buy and a Long-Term Buy."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Posted May 16th 2008 11:48AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, QUALCOMM Inc (QCOM), Stocks to Buy
"Uncertainty about the legal disputes has weighed on Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM)," says Richard Moroney, who rates the stock a long-term buy. The editor of Dow Theory Forecasts explains, "Though the court case may distract investors, Qualcomm's long-term fundamentals appear solid." Here's his bullish outlook.
"The company is embroiled in disputes over royalty fees paid for use of its patents, particularly by one of its largest customers, Nokia. In March, the combatants agreed to consolidate a host of lawsuits into one case to be heard later this year and likely to be decided by year's end.
"Barring a disastrous court loss, which seems unlikely, Qualcomm shares should benefit. Any resolution will reduce uncertainty. By the end of this year, Qualcomm should be able to jettison some of the baggage holding back its stock.
"While the U.S. economic slowdown has sparked fears of a decline in demand for microchips, Qualcomm should benefit as cell-phone users worldwide transition to third-generation technology, which allows for faster downloading of video, music and other data.
Continue reading Qualcomm (QCOM): Legal worries create buying opportunity
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