In his The Elliott Wave Theorist, he suggests, "But this is not the end of the story. The fact that investors are still giddy -- which is an apt word for the current sentiment indicators -- is consistent with our Elliott wave case that the bear market has barely begun."

Continue reading An Elliott Wave Analysis: Prechter's Bearish Outlook

An Elliott Wave Analysis: Prechter's Bearish Outlook originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Mar 2010 13:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"The stock market has now fulfilled our forecast made back in February for a rise to 9,000-10,000," says Robert Prechter. In The Elliott Wave Theorist, he now sees increasing risk.

"The rally in the S&P since March has been one of the faster ever, rising 50% in five months, and rapidly carrying the S&P to the lower end of our general target zone of 1000-1100.

"At the same time, optimism has finally reached 'Primary degree' levels. The daily sentiment index recently reported 88% bulls among S&P traders, a reading equal to that on October 9, 2007, the top day of the 'Cycle B wave' when the Dow made its all-time closing high of 14,164. Higher readings are possible, but we are no longer compelled to wait.

Continue reading Elliott Wave: Prechter prepares for next bear move

Elliott Wave: Prechter prepares for next bear move originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 25 Aug 2009 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Despite a strongly bearish long-term outlook, technicians Stephen Hochberg and Robert Prechter continue to see near-term upside for the market.

In The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a specialty service focused on a form of technical analyst known as Elliott wave theory, they explain, "Optimism is definitely on the increase, but it is not yet as the exteme that typically accompanies the end of a Primary degree rally.

"So notwithstanding near-term gyrations, the Dow should rise to the initial target, which remains in the 9,000 to 10,000 range.

Continue reading Elliott wave still rising: A technical outlook

Elliott wave still rising: A technical outlook originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 12 Jun 2009 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This article is part of a 20 article special report on "Metals, miners and money".

The case for gold and/or other commodities in large part rests on a forecast for higher inflation. With a contrary view, Bob Prechter -- well known as the leading practitioner of Elliott Wave theory -- offers his assessment for deflation. As such, his top investment idea within this scenario is not gold or oil -- but cash.

The editor of The Elliott Wave Theorist explains, "When the bull market in inflation is over, an unprecedented number of IOUs, stacked in an inverted pyramid, will collapse in value in a deflationary rush, and prices from stocks to commodities to goods and services will fall along with them.

"In 1998, we called for a huge bull market in oil that would carry to new all-time highs. That run is now in its final stages. Market psychology fits a major top, because short-term measures of optimism match all-time extremes.

"Investors everywhere have come to the conclusion that the world is running out of oil, despite the fact that the real price of oil (the oil to gold ratio) is lower than it was seven years ago.

"Today, oil is near the end of wave 5. But this is only part of the picture. The rise from 1998 is itself a fifth wave, so the entire advance from 1933 is also ending.

Continue reading Top resource ideas: Elliott Wave sees cash as best asset

Top resource ideas: Elliott Wave sees cash as best asset originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 10 Nov 2007 18:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

What are the best speculations and investments among metals, miners, and other resource plays? To find out, I turned to 20 of the nation's leading newsletter editors, as well as speakers from the recent New Orleans Conference, a leading forum for resource advisors.

Their current top ideas cover a wide diversity of ideas, from gold and silver, from alumina and copper, to platinum and palladium. These picks cover markets from Chile to China and from Canada to Russia. These ideas also range from large cap, well-established, and diversified companies to small cap, development-stage junior speculations.

Readers should only consider these ideas as a starting place for their own research and should keep in mind the caveat that any stock you buy should only be considered within the framework of your own time horizon and risk parameters. Meanwhile, here are 20 different advisors assessing various aspects of the metals, mining, and resources sectors:

Continue reading Top resource ideas: 20 advisors on metals, mining, and money

Top resource ideas: 20 advisors on metals, mining, and money originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 09 Nov 2007 15:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"The big plunge is under way," says Pete Kendall, co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and a leading proponent of a deflationary, bear market outlook.

He suggests, "A flight from risk has been seeping into the markets for some time. And it's accelerating now." Here's his bearish outlook on stock as well as his forecast for bonds and the U.S. dollar.

Kendall notes, "How quickly investors forget! Wasn't it really just a few weeks ago that KKR's Henry Kravis told a conference of investment bankers, 'The private equity world is in its golden era right now. The stars are aligned.'"

Indeed, Kendall adds, "At the time, we agreed that stars were aligning, but in a different way. We have been forecasting a new era that would crush the over-extended hedge funds and investment banks."

The notably bearish advisor states, "It's all part of the unfolding flight from financial risk. Most people still have almost no idea just how risky these markets are. They will find out in the weeks and months ahead."

Continue reading Elliott Wave sees bear market ahead

Elliott Wave sees bear market ahead originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 30 Jul 2007 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.