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Ford plans push into India

Ford Motor (NYSE: F) logo Ford (NYSE: F) will probably sell its Jaguar and Rover units to India's Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM). But the U.S. car company wants to go beyond that and build its own presence in the huge country. Ford will put up $500 million to increase its manufacturing operations in India between now and 2010. It will also develop a small car for sale in the country.

"This new investment highlights the significance of India's role in our continued expansion and overall strategy for the Asia-Pacific and Africa region," John Parker, executive vice president of Ford for Asia-Pacific and Africa, told Reuters.

While India's car market is growing fast, Ford may find that it is a little late to a very competitive game. Large rivals from Europe, GM (NYSE: GM), and Toyota (NYSE: TM) all want a piece of the same market, and India has its own car companies protective of their turf.

GM announced that it hopes to have 75% of its sales overseas in 10 years. Ford probably has similar goals because the U.S. car market is both competitive and slow-growing. But that means that a number of companies are all trying to get share in the same markets -- India, China, Russia, and South America. Ford would not seem to have any big advantage in this race, and its fairly weak balance sheet is not likely to help it expand.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Has Ford found a buyer for Jaguar and Rover?

It appears that Ford (NYSE: F) may finally have a buyer for Jaguar and Rover. The Wall Street Journal reports that Indian conglomerate Mahindra & Mahindra will tie up with private equity operation Apollo Management to buy the car units. Not all of the roadblocks to the deal have been pushed aside. The Journal writes "Labor leaders in the United Kingdom are seeking assurances that the brands' new owner would protect jobs and factories in the country."

Ford paid a little over $5 billion for the two units, and industry estimates put their current value at $1.5 billion. So the sale would mark another step in the humiliating downsizing of Ford.

The probability of a sale also raises an interesting question. If Ford's management is so much better than it was a year ago and it has a much better labor deal with the UAW, why sell the units at all? If a company in India can improve the fortunes of the two brands, why can't Ford?

It is not too late for the No.2 U.S. car company to work on fixing the units itself. The poor results of Jag and Rover are already in the stock. Improving their results ought to help shareholder value.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Ford vulnerable heading into UAW negotiations

Ford (NYSE: F) logoNow that the UAW contract with Chrysler is all but ratified, the big union gets to sit down with Ford (NYSE: F). In some ways, bargaining with America's second-largest car company may be the toughest negotiation of all. Ford is in worse shape than its peers, and its revenue problems get worse as each month passes.

Ford may be able to afford putting $30 billion into a health-care fund that the union would manage. That would improve the company's earnings in future quarters. But it would also deplete Ford's balance sheet and give it less cash to fund a turnaround of its U.S. operations. Selling off Jaguar or Rover could bring in more capital, but the process to dump the two brands is slow and the current credit environment will not help Ford get a good price.

Ford had hoped that new products would improve its prospects, but its car sales have dropped about 20% in its home market each of the last two months. It is not clear that Ford can ever make a profit if its U.S. sales do not recover from current levels. It needs sharp cuts in its labor costs in addition to a better sales picture.

The UAW can do a great deal of damage to Ford by insisting on modest job cuts. Ford can ill afford a strike now that the other two U.S. car makers have deals and Japanese rivals pick up market share most months. But the union's rank-and-file came close to rejecting the Chrysler contract because it guaranteed too little in terms of jobs and pay in the years ahead.

UAW workers are likely to take the position that it is not their job to keep Ford in business. And that attitude is the most likely one to put Ford's future in harm's way.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

With labor issues almost settled, will Ford (F) sell Jaguar?

Ford's (NYSE: F) negotiations with the UAW should be over soon. If it gets a deal that looks like the ones the union put together with Chrysler and General Motors (NYSE: GM), the No.2 car company should have labor costs much closer to its Japanese rivals. It may have to put $20 billion into a healthcare fund for the union, but the firm has almost twice that much cash on its balance sheet.

The New York Times has pointed out that the sale of Ford unit Jaguar is going much slower than expected. The paper says: "Ford's bidding date is now Oct. 30, a person involved in the process said Thursday. That is a month later than bidders originally thought they would be making offers." Several private equity firms and India's Tata Motors are rumored to be interested in the British car company and another Ford unit, Rover.

But, taking a step back for a moment, Ford may not sell the Jaguar unit at all. The US company may have needed the money if the UAW payment was going to be onerous. But, the funding of a union benefit plan now seems within Ford's means. It is entirely possible that the car units were being shopped in case Ford needed the money. Now, it does not.

Ford management should have a look at the fact that if a private equity firm can turn Jaguar around, then a big car company should be able to do just as well. If Ford can't get a premium price for Jag, it should not sell it.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

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Last updated: November 11, 2009: 10:46 AM

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