MAJOR PAPERS:

• Chip suppliers for cellphones including Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM), Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN) and Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) are moving aggressively to make products for Intel Corporation's (NASDAQ: INTC) new breed of pocket-size portable devices, called MIDs, the Wall Street Journal reported.

OTHER PAPERS:

• According to the UK Times, Barclays Plc (NYSE: BCS) and The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (NYSE: RBS) were raided by the Office of Fair Trading as part of the investigation into price fixing loans to professional services firms.

WEB SITES:

• Almost three dozen of the largest U.S. companies may have to slash their dividends, since the dividends greatly exceed their cash flow, Bloomberg reported. Large companies in this situation include General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM), Motorola Inc (NYSE: MOT), and The New York Times Company (NYSE: NYT).
• China Telecom Corporation Limited (NYSE: CHA) may announce today that it has bought the mobile phone assets of China Unicom Limited (NYSE: CHU) and its parent company for more than $14.4B, Bloomberg reported, citing the South China Morning Post. China Unicom could say that it is merging with China Netcom Group Corporation (NYSE: CN) as early as today, the newspaper added.

If we needed another sign that private equity is passe, we need go no further than to look at the current issue of Fortune, which shares a parent, Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), with BloggingStocks. To be fair, Fortune added an update to its web site about the tottering deal. It's a shame because the Fortune article paints such a glowing portrait of Providence Equity Partner's CEO Jonathan Nelson and praises him for doing the biggest deal ever -- the $51 billion takeover of Bell Canada parent BCE (NYSE: BCE) whose stock is down 5.7% this morning.

Regrettably for Nelson and Fortune, the New York Times reports this morning that the deal looks to be imperiled. It quotes one executive who read the revised bank terms: "It's patently obvious that the banks have no intention of closing the deal." These banks -- led by Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), Deutsche Bank, and the Royal Bank of Scotland -- sent revised terms to the consortium of buyers. which included higher interest rates, tighter loan restrictions and stronger protections for the banks, far exceeding the original terms.

Fortune has a photo of Nelson sitting in a comfortable chair with his hands in a position that communicates "I am smarter than you." It will be interesting to see whether he can use those smarts to close this $51 billion deal. If he does, then he will certainly deserve the encomiums that Fortune heaps on him. Fifteen months ago I appeared on CNBC to discuss whether private equity had peaked. I think Fortune's Private Money 2008 package answers that question in the affirmative -- with the cover story jinx.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns Citigroup shares and has no financial interest in the other securities mentioned.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• According to people familiar with American International Group Inc's (NYSE: AIG) board, some directors feel that another big loss in the current quarter could prompt them to re-evaluate their support for CEO Martin Sullivan. The sources said a decision on Sullivan's fate isn't likely to be made until the company sees results over the next several months, the Wall Street Journal reported.
• The Financial Times reported that Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) and Apax Partners are among the private equity groups that have been blocked from bidding int he first round of the GBP7B auction of The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc's (NYSE: RBS) insurance business.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) closed a helicopter production line for several hours yesterday due to possible irregularities found in two military helicopters, the Seattle Times reported. The company did not disclose exactly why it shut down the production of the H-47 Chinooks.

WEB SITES:

• According to Mac Rumors, citing French LeMatin.ch, a source in Swisscom AG (OTC: SCMWY) said Switzerland will be getting the iPhone device from Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) this summer, and it will feature GPS, Video Conferencing and Mobile TV.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) and Mars are in talks to purchase Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co. (NYSE: WWY) for over $22B, the Wall Street Journal reported. An announcement may come as soon as today.
• The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (NYSE: RBS) will start the integration of ABN Amro Holding's (NYSE: ABN) investment bank into its global markets division, the Financial Times reported. This process will most likely result in the paring of 7,000 jobs.

OTHER PAPERS:

• According to the New York Post, IAC/InterActiveCorp. (NASDAQ: IACI) Chairman Barry Diller is expected to meet with his board this week to restart the process of breaking up his company into five separate pieces, sources said. At the same time, Diller and Liberty Media Corporation (NASDAQ: LMDIA) Chairman John Malone are continuing to talk about a deal that would trade one or more of IAC's assets for Liberty's ownership stake in IAC.
• The UK Times has learned that Numis Securities, the stockbroking group headed by Michael Spencer, is in "advanced talks" to buy the UK equities business of The Bear Stearns Companies Inc (NYSE: BSC). Numis may look to hire a team of 25 from Bear.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• In an effort to refocus on coffee, the Wall Street Journal reported that Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) will attempt overhaul its entertainment business.
• Private equity players Apax Partners and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, along with Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (NYSE: LEH) in a supporting role, are looking to form a consortium to examine a bid for the insurance assets of The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (NYSE: RBS), the Financial Times reported.

OTHER PAPERS:

• Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) is going to let outside developers create applications across its network of sites, the New York Times contended. The search engine is also going to combine its online services under the social profile concept in an attempt to allow its users to replicate the social experience that social networks like News Corporation's (NYSE: NWS) MySpace and Facebook have made so popular.

WEB SITES:

• Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) will reportedly delay the launch of its new hotly anticipated 3G BlackBerry phone, Fortune reported, which the company is developing for AT&T Inc (NYSE: T). The phone, originally supposed to be launched in June, may not be released until as late as August, inside sources said.

It looks like European banks have been hit much harder by the subprime crisis than U.S. banks. Last week, UBS (NYSE: UBS) wrote off about $19 billion, and today we have news that Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) suffered an $11.7 billion loss. We haven't seen numbers like that in the U.S. and this may be a story that needs to get more play. The European banking system is in far worse shape than the banks on our side of the Atlantic, and the impact that will have on global growth should not be underestimated.

Keep in mind that nothing like the FDIC or SIPC exists in Europe, so a major bank failure could be catastrophic for consumers. Banks have started tightening credit, and the once red-hot real estate sector has cooled, especially in places like Poland. I have friends who are in the real estate business in Eastern Europe and they say things have really slowed down.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Private equity firm Corsair Capital and several of the banks bigger shareholders are expected to inject over $6B into Cleveland regional bank National City Corporation (NYSE: NCC), the Wall Street Journal reported.
• According to sources, the Financial Times reported that Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) is planning to sell a portion of its 9% stake in China Construction Bank in order to raise capital. However, Bank of America will offset some of the share sales by exercising options it holds to buy additional stakes in the bank at levels that are now well below market rates.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The UK Times said The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (NYSE: RBS) confirmed that it is considering a rights issue that is expected to raise up to GBP10B for the British bank.
• The UK Telegraph reported that the BBC is talking to private equity firms to join in a bid for Virgin Media Inc's (NASDAQ: VMED) Virgin Media Television, which owns a percentage of the UKTV content business that the BBC doesn't already own.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal reported that New York state's attorney general, Andrew Cuomo, has launched an investigation into auction-rate securities and is seeking information from some of Wall Street's biggest institutions including UBS AG (NYSE: UBS), Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) and Merrill Lynch & Co Inc (NYSE: MER), a person familiar with the matter said.
• According to the Financial Times, Deutsche Bank AG (NYSE: DB) and other investment banks are working on plans to develop a clearing house for the credit derivatives markets. In an attempt to reduce counterparty risk, the banks are trying to develop a system that would only allow institutions with strong capital bases and credible trading histories to clear trades in the credit default swap markets with a central counterparty.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The news that The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (NYSE: RBS) is planning a rights issue of between GBP5B and GBP12B received mixed reviews from British analysts and investors, the Telegraph reported. The analysts expect the bank to cut its dividend.

WEB SITES:

• DigiTimes reported that Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is planning to launch the GeForce 9600 GSO GPU in May to compete with Advanced Micro Devices' (NYSE: AMD) Radeon HD 3830, according to sources at graphics card makers.

Marketwatch reported this morning on the Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS)'s earnings event. Shares surged upwards to the tune of 7.3% on news that the U.K.'s second-largest bank expects operating profit and earnings per share to be "well ahead" of the market consensus.

I wrote yesterday about the U.K.'s real fear that the subprime meltdown that the U.S. is experiencing may rear its ugly head in the U.K. throughout 2008. RBS' relatively cheery (actually, just not as bad as everyone was predicting) forecast relieved some of the stress on the financial industry this morning.

In the same article, Marketwatch reported that RBS said "Credit market troubles in the second half of the year are expected to result in write-downs of 950 million pounds ($1.96 billion) on its exposure to subprime mortgages, which was lower than many analysts had forecast." This news drove up the shares of Barclays (NYSE: BCS), UBS (NYSE: UBS), and CSFB (NYSE: CS) -- three other banks pushed down by the overhang of a massive mortgage rate reset.

Zack Miller is Managing Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Author has no position in any stock mentioned as of 12/04/07.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Longtop Financial, Royal Bank of Scotland and W-H Energy Services were today's noteworthy initiations:

• Jefferies initiated Longtop Financial (NYSE:LFT) with a Buy rating and $29 target, as they expect strong earnings growth over the next several years from an acceleration in P&L performance and the company's attractive secular demand backdrop.
  
• Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE:RBS) with an Underweight rating, as they believe investors will begin to question the sustainability of the company's dividend as earnings fall.
  
• Oppenheimer views the outlook for W-H Energy Services (NYSE:WHQ) as compelling given its geographic expansion, international growth prospects, technological focus, and strong balance sheet. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $73 target..

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• HSBC initiated Diageo (NYSE:DEO) with an Overweight rating.
  
• Banc of America resumed coverage of the softlines retailing sector, starting shares of Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) and Pacific Sunwear (NADAQ:PSUN) with Buy ratings and a $32 target and $20 target, and Aeropostale (NYSE:ARO) with a Neutral rating.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Athenahealth, Brocade Communications Systems, Royal Bank of Scotland and Human Genome were today's noteworthy initiations:

• Caris initiated shares of Athenahealth (NASDAQ: ATHN) with an Average rating and $26 target, as they believe an unachievable growth rate is priced into shares at current levels.
• Brocade Communications Systems (NASDAQ: BRCD) was initiated with a Neutral rating at UBS.
  
• Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) was initiated with an Underweight rating at Lehmen.
  
• JP Morgan resumed coverage of Human Genome Sciences (NASDAQ: HGSI) with a Neutral rating.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• Lazard resumed coverage of Zoran (NASDAQ: ZRAN) with a Hold rating and Sigma Designs (NASDAQ: SIGM) with a Buy rating.
  
• Stifel initiated Tortoise Energy Capital (NYSE: TYY) with a Buy rating and $32 target.
  
• HSBC initiated DSG International (OTC: DSITY) with an Overweight rating.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Clayton, PharmaNet Development, Royal Bank of Scotland, Progressive Gaming and WSFS Financial were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• JMP Securities downgraded shares of Clayton Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: CLAY) to Market Perform from Outperform citing lack of visibility in the non-agency MBS market. William Blair also downgraded shares to Market Perform from Outperform after the company's in-line quarter, to reflect lowered estimates and uncertainty regarding a recovery time.
• Jefferies downgraded shares of PharmaNet Development Group Inc (NASDAQ: PDGI) to Hold from Buy as they believe departures of board and management executives have introduced new risk.
• The Royal Bank of Group PLC (NYSE: RBS) was lowered to Sell from Buy at Citigroup, as they are negative on the company's acquisition of ABN Amro Holding NV (NYSE: ABN).
• ThinkEquity downgraded shares of Progressive Gaming International Corporation (NASDAQ: PGIC) to Accumulate from Buy following Friday's announcement that it lost its post-trial motions and will proceed to appeals court in the Webb lawsuit. PGIC will have to post a $20M bond, which is more than the firm expected.
• B. Riley downgraded shares of WSFS Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: WSFS) to Neutral from Buy after they lowered their estimates to reflect the company's higher projected on-interest expense.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Goldman removed Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE: HPQ) from its Conviction Buy List.
• Calyon downgraded VeraSun Energy Corporation (NYSE: VSE) to Add from Buy.
• Merrill Lynch downgraded Aetna Incorporated (NYSE: AET) to Neutral from Buy.
• Friedman Billings downgraded Baker Hughes Incorporated (NYSE: BHI) to Market Perform from Outperform.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Mattel Inc (NYSE: MAT) is expected to soon announce another recall of toys made in China, reported the Wall Street Journal.
• Merck and Co. Inc (NYSE: MRK) CFO Judy Lewent sold 200K shares for $10.3M from July 26 through Aug. 7, at an average price of $51.31 per share, reported Barron's Online's "Inside Scoop" column.
• The Royal Bank of Scotland (OTC: RBSPY)-led consortium seeking to purchase Dutch bank ABN Amro Holdings NV (NYSE: ABN) raised its stake in ABN to more than 3% between Friday and Monday, reported the Financial Times.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The Independent reported that Barclays' (NYSE: BCS) bid for Dutch bank ABM Amro was approved by the Netherlands' Ministry of Finance yesterday.
• A highly publicized civilian nuclear deal with the U.S. still allows India to test nuclear weapons, according to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, reported the Associated Press.

Cheap debt is the fuel for the private equity boom. So, with rising interest rates and competitive pricing on buyouts, are we seeing problems starting to brew?

Perhaps so. According to a report from the Guardian Unlimited, the CEO of Royal Bank of Scotland, Sir Fred Goodwin, said banks need to be more cautious.

In a typical buyout deal, a group of banks usually syndicate buyout debt load to many players. It's a way to minimize the risk exposure.

But Goodwin thinks this is a bad idea. If banks want to get rid of the debt, shouldn't this be a red flag to investors? "We shouldn't do deals unless we were comfortable holding the credit ourselves. I think the market is getting quite toppish," said Sir Fred.

I think he has a good point.

The irony, of course, is that RBS is trying to buyout Amro. It's a mega deal that will involve lots of debt.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal reported that TPG Capital and Silver Lake are poised to buy telecommunications equipment company Avaya Inc (NYSE: AV) for about $17 a share; Nortel Networks Corporation (NYSE: NT) was also said to be interested.
• News Corporation's (NYSE: NWS) Rupert Murdoch said he is willing to go along with tighter editorial independence, but won't give in to a key demand from Dow Jones & Company Inc's (NYSE: DJ) controlling Bancroft family that they control an editorial oversight board that would protect this, the Wall Street Journal reported.
• Barron's Online's Trader section believes Service Corporation International's (NYSE: SCI) 90% surge since August is the result of funeral service companies' virtual immunity to a slowing economy or rising rates – the market's two biggest fears right now.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The New York Times reported that software maker Cadence Design Systems Inc (NASDAQ: CDNS) is in talks with private-equity players that include Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and the Blackstone Group about a possible sale of the company.
• Technology Web sites have discovered that Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) embeds customers' personal data into files the company uses to distribute music from its online iTunes music store, creating fears about privacy, the UK Times reported.
• The UK Times also reported that Royal Bank of Scotland Group (OTC: RBSPY) may be looking to sell Southern Water for GBP4B, a move that could lead to many more deals in Britain's privatized water industry.