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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[Options Update: Index volatilities' near one year lows]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/08/03/options-update-index-volatilities-near-one-year-lows/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/08/03/options-update-index-volatilities-near-one-year-lows/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/08/03/options-update-index-volatilities-near-one-year-lows/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/indices/" rel="tag">Indices</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/options/" rel="tag">Options</a></p><p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/powershares-exchange-traded-fund-trust-powershares-qqq-trust-series-1/qqqq/nas/option-chains"><img align="right" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2009/08/flywall_final_logo_mini.gif" alt="" /><strong>NASDAQ 100</strong></a> (NASDAQ - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/powershares-exchange-traded-fund-trust-powershares-qqq-trust-series-1/qqqq/nas/option-chains">QQQQ</a>)verall implied volatility at 26; 26-week average is 32</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/semiconductor-hldrs-tr/smh/nys/option-chains">Semiconductor Holders Trust</a></strong> - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/semiconductor-hldrs-tr/smh/nys/option-chains">SMH </a>overall volatility at 30; 26-week average is 38<br /> <br /><strong><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishare-rus-2000-indx/iwm/nys/option-chains">Russell 2000</a></strong> - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishare-rus-2000-indx/iwm/nys/option-chains">IWM </a>overall implied volatility at 27; 26-week average is 39</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishare-rus-2000-indx/iwm/nys/option-chains">Financial Select Sector</a></strong> - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishare-rus-2000-indx/iwm/nys/option-chains">XLF</a> overall volatility at 37; 26-week average is 58</p>
<p><em>Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com</em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/08/03/options-update-index-volatilities-near-one-year-lows/">Options Update: Index volatilities' near one year lows</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Mon, 03 Aug 2009 08:20:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/08/03/options-update-index-volatilities-near-one-year-lows/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/19117211/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/08/03/options-update-index-volatilities-near-one-year-lows/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>Financial Select Sector</category><category>FinancialSelectSector</category><category>iwn</category><category>NASDAQ 100</category><category>Nasdaq100</category><category>option implied volatilty</category><category>OptionImpliedVolatilty</category><category>qqqq</category><category>Russell 2000</category><category>Russell2000</category><category>Semiconductor Holders Trust</category><category>SemiconductorHoldersTrust</category><category>smh</category><category>xlf</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Foster]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 08:20:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Options Update: Major Index volatility at low end of range]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/06/08/options-update-major-index-volatility-at-low-end-of-range/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/06/08/options-update-major-index-volatility-at-low-end-of-range/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/06/08/options-update-major-index-volatility-at-low-end-of-range/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/options/" rel="tag">Options</a></p><p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/powershares-exchange-traded-fund-trust-powershares-qqq-trust-series-1/qqqq/nas"><img alt="" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2009/06/flywall_final_logo_mini.gif" align="right" />NASDAQ 100</a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/powershares-exchange-traded-fund-trust-powershares-qqq-trust-series-1/qqqq/nas">QQQQ</a>) overall implied volatility at 28; 26-week average is 35</p>
<p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/semiconductor-hldrs-tr/smh/nys">Semiconductor Holders Trust</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/semiconductor-hldrs-tr/smh/nys">SMH</a>) overall volatility at 36; 26-week average is 43<br /><br /><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishare-rus-2000-indx/iwm/nys">Russell 2000</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishare-rus-2000-indx/iwm/nys">IWM</a>) overall implied volatility at 34; 26-week average is 44</p>
<p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/financial-select-sector-spdr-fun/xlf/nys">Financial Select Sector</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/financial-select-sector-spdr-fun/xlf/nys">XLF</a>) overall volatility at 49; 26-week average is 65</p>
<p><em>Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com</em>.<br /></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/06/08/options-update-major-index-volatility-at-low-end-of-range/">Options Update: Major Index volatility at low end of range</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Mon, 08 Jun 2009 08:00:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/06/08/options-update-major-index-volatility-at-low-end-of-range/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/19060496/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/06/08/options-update-major-index-volatility-at-low-end-of-range/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>Financial Select Sector</category><category>FinancialSelectSector</category><category>NASDAQ 100</category><category>Nasdaq100</category><category>overall implied volatility</category><category>OverallImpliedVolatility</category><category>Russell 2000</category><category>Russell2000</category><category>Semiconductor Holders Trust</category><category>SemiconductorHoldersTrust</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Foster]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 08:00:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Nasdaq, small caps entering seasonally weak period]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/09/06/nasdaq-small-caps-entering-seasonally-weak-period/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/09/06/nasdaq-small-caps-entering-seasonally-weak-period/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/09/06/nasdaq-small-caps-entering-seasonally-weak-period/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/indices/" rel="tag">Indices</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/marketmatters/" rel="tag">Market Matters</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/mandftoday/" rel="tag">Money and Finance Today</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analysis/" rel="tag">Technical Analysis</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/sandp-500/" rel="tag">S and P 500</a></p><img align="right" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/09/nasdaq-russell-seasonal.jpg" alt="" />Based on an analysis of data from 1979 - 2005, the next four-to-six weeks has been a seasonally weak period for the <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/nasdaq-composite-index/%24compx/nai?tabs=quotesandnews">Nasdaq Composite index</a> and the <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/cboe-russell-2000-index-rut/%24rut.x/opr?tabs=quotesandnews">Russell 2000 index</a> relative to the <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sand-38-p-500-index/%24inx/cmi?tabs=quotesandnews">S&amp;P 500 index</a>.<br /><br />While it's hard to say for sure why those two measures have tended to underperform the broad market around this time of year, several possible explanations come to mind:<br />
<ul>
    <li>Pressure from mutual funds cutting losing positions in volatile or thinly-traded issues before the books are closed at the end of October</li>
</ul>
<ul>
    <li>Asset allocation shifts in favor of larger, more defensive shares amid uncertainty over back-to-school sales and the upcoming holiday selling season</li>
</ul>
<ul>
    <li>Attempts by traders and portfolio managers to cut risk exposure and dampen portfolio volatility as the time approaches for end-of-year bonuses to be decided</li>
</ul>
Of course, seasonal factors aren't the only driver of share prices, and the pattern this year could turn out altogether different than in the past.<br /><br />Nevertheless, the possibility that small cap and Nasdaq shares could lag other issues in the weeks ahead is something worth keeping in mind.<br /><br /><em>Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of</em> <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/141959608X/thenewlawsoft-20">Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes</a><em> and </em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/032124785X/thenewlawsoft-20">The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle.</a><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/09/06/nasdaq-small-caps-entering-seasonally-weak-period/">Nasdaq, small caps entering seasonally weak period</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 06 Sep 2007 12:08:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/09/06/nasdaq-small-caps-entering-seasonally-weak-period/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/982613/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/09/06/nasdaq-small-caps-entering-seasonally-weak-period/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>featured</category><category>Michael Panzner</category><category>MichaelPanzner</category><category>russell 2000</category><category>Russell2000</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Panzner]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 06 Sep 2007 12:08:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Monday Market Rap: EMC, LEN, GT, EAT, &amp; CTX]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/13/monday-market-rap-emc-len-gt-eat-and-ctx/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/13/monday-market-rap-emc-len-gt-eat-and-ctx/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/13/monday-market-rap-emc-len-gt-eat-and-ctx/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/major-movement/" rel="tag">Major Movement</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/eat/" rel="tag">Brinker Intl (EAT)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/ctx/" rel="tag">Centex Corp (CTX)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/len/" rel="tag">Lennar Corp'A' (LEN)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/emc/" rel="tag">EMC Corp (EMC)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/options/" rel="tag">Options</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/gt/" rel="tag">Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/initial-public-offerings/" rel="tag">Initial Public Offerings</a></p><p><img alt="" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/08/vmware.bmp" align="right" vspace="4" border="0" />Although they spent most of the day in the green the indexes gave up ground through most of the session to close just in the red. </p>
<p>The NYSE had volume of 3.6 billion shares with 1,612 shares advancing while 1,706 declined for a loss of 6.18 points to close at 9,428.86. On the NASDAQ, 2.2 billion shares traded, 1,426 advanced and 1,685 declined for a loss of -2.65 to 2,542.24.</p>
<p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/emc-corporation-mass/emc/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">EMC Corporation</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/emc-corporation-mass/emc/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">EMC</a>) rose $1.33 (8%) to $19.05; ahead of it's subsidiary VMware <a href="http://www.marketintelligencecenter.com/articles/420879">making its debut</a> on the NYSE tomorrow in an IPO that analysts are predicting will be big. EMC will retain 90% of the shares. This is likely the reason for the active calls as <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/emc-corporation-mass/emc/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">EMC Corp.</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/emc-corporation-mass/emc/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">EMC</a>) saw heavy volume on the August 19 calls (EMCHT) with over 56,000 options trading. </p>
<p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/centex-corporation/ctx/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Centex Corporation</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/centex-corporation/ctx/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">CTX</a>) fell $2.78 (-7%) to $35.63. <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/lennar-corporation/len/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Lennar Corporation</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/lennar-corporation/len/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">LEN</a>) fell $2.53 (-7%) to $32.92. <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/brinker-international-inc/eat/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Brinker International</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/brinker-international-inc/eat/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">EAT</a>) rose $1.82 (7%) to $28.98. The <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-goodyear-tire-and-rubber-company/gt/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Goodyear Tire &amp; Rubber Company</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-goodyear-tire-and-rubber-company/gt/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">GT</a>) rose $1.70 (6%) to $28.95.</p>
<p>In options there were 5.4 million puts and 5.8 million calls traded for a put/call open interest ratio of 0.92. The <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5Evix">CBOE Volatility Index</a> has been high closing today at 26.57. This is the fear indicator of the market. Not only is the index up, but options on the index are high with the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5Evix">CBOE S&amp;P 500 Volatility Index</a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5Evix">$VIX</a>) moving volume on the August 25 calls (VIXHE) with over 35,000 contracts. </p>
<p>Other stocks with active options include <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/state-street-corporation/stt/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">State Street Boston</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/state-street-corporation/stt/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">STT</a>) saw heavy volume on the November 75 calls (STTKO) with over 60,000 options trading. Most of the active puts were on the indexes and the <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishares-russell-2000-index-fd/iwm/ase?tabs=quotesandnews">iShares Russell 2000 ETF</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishares-russell-2000-index-fd/iwm/ase?tabs=quotesandnews">IWM</a>) had volume on the August 78 puts (IOWTZ) with over 86,000 options trading.</p>
<p><em>Kevin Kersten is an Options Analyst with </em><a href="http://www.investorsobserver.com/aolblogkk"><em>InvestorsObserver.com</em></a><em>. </em><em>Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.</em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/13/monday-market-rap-emc-len-gt-eat-and-ctx/">Monday Market Rap: EMC, LEN, GT, EAT, &amp; CTX</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Mon, 13 Aug 2007 18:08:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/13/monday-market-rap-emc-len-gt-eat-and-ctx/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/964411/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/13/monday-market-rap-emc-len-gt-eat-and-ctx/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>Brinker</category><category>Calls</category><category>CBOE volatility index</category><category>CboeVolatilityIndex</category><category>Centex</category><category>CTX</category><category>EAT</category><category>EMC</category><category>EMC Corp (EMC)</category><category>EmcCorp(emc)</category><category>Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT)</category><category>GoodyearTireAndRubber(gt)</category><category>GT</category><category>LEN</category><category>Lennar</category><category>options</category><category>Puts</category><category>Russell 2000</category><category>Russell2000</category><category>VIX</category><category>VMware</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Kevin Kersten]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Aug 2007 18:08:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[End of the road for small cap?]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/07/26/end-of-the-road-for-small-cap/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/07/26/end-of-the-road-for-small-cap/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/07/26/end-of-the-road-for-small-cap/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/indices/" rel="tag">Indices</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/marketmatters/" rel="tag">Market Matters</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/mandftoday/" rel="tag">Money and Finance Today</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analysis/" rel="tag">Technical Analysis</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/sandp-500/" rel="tag">S and P 500</a></p><p><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="1" align="right" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/07/russellspx.jpg" alt="" />One asset class that has outperformed the broad market for nearly a decade is small cap. Since the low in April 1999, the <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/cboe-russell-2000-index-rut/%24rut.x/opr?tabs=quotesandnews">Russell 2000 Index</a> -- which has an equivalent exchange-traded fund, or ETF (AMEX: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ishares-russell-2000-index-fd/iwm/ase?tabs=quotesandnews">IWM</a>) -- has gained 80 percentage points more than the <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sand-38-p-500-index/%24inx/cmi?tabs=quotesandnews">S&amp;P 500 index</a>.</p>
<p>Over the past few months, however, this group has begun to languish. Recently, the small cap benchmark broke below key short- and long-term support levels relative to the S&amp;P 500, suggesting that, in comparative terms at least, the good times for small company shares may be over.</p>
<p>Interestingly, this turnabout comes at a time when the stock market has been frothy, but has not seen widespread participation by small investors. I wonder if the two developments are somehow related?</p>
<p><em>Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of</em> <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/141959608X/thenewlawsoft-20">Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes</a><em> and </em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/032124785X/thenewlawsoft-20">The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle: An Insider's Guide to Successful Investing in a Changing World.</a></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/07/26/end-of-the-road-for-small-cap/">End of the road for small cap?</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 26 Jul 2007 15:55:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/07/26/end-of-the-road-for-small-cap/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/950044/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/07/26/end-of-the-road-for-small-cap/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>Russell 2000</category><category>Russell2000</category><category>small cap</category><category>small cap investing</category><category>small caps</category><category>small caps decline</category><category>SmallCap</category><category>SmallCapInvesting</category><category>SmallCaps</category><category>SmallCapsDecline</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Panzner]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 26 Jul 2007 15:55:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
