Much has been written about Sprint Nextel Corp.'s (NYSE: S) follies in recent quarters. The third-largest wireless carrier in the U.S. has lost millions of customers to larger and more successful competitors like Verizon Wireless and AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T). But, with the launch of an extremely successful iPhone competitor (among other things), the company is showing signs of stemming its huge customer defections from past quarters.
The word of support initially came from Verizon Wireless President Denny Strigl , who told investors that Sprint's performance had picked up in the last months -- although Verizon still didn't consider Sprint to be a threat to Verizon Wireless' current results. Still, any improvement for Sprint is a good thing. Sprint CEO Dan Hesse, a wireless industry veteran with a largely successful track record, is the right person to be leading Sprint as well. So, are all the cards lined up for Sprint to become a resurgent force in the U.S. wireless industry?
It's stock has rebounded in a decent way, closing up from mid-March's $6/share to $8.91 recently (it closed yesterday at $8.94/share). Although Sprint lost over a million customers in the first quarter of 2008, the numbers should not be that bad in the second quarter. Sprint also won't be sold any time soon. Verizon Wireless, which just bought Alltel from its private owners, is the only company that could have made a merger work in buying Sprint Nextel. It would be disastrous to have another company come in and try to emulate what Sprint attempted with Nextel back in 2005, which has turned out to be a complete disaster and has led to tens of billions in write-offs (do you hear me now, Deutsche Telekom?).
Sprint has the chops to turn itself around in 2009 with some solid management and good decisions, but it still won't be easy. Spinning off the Nextel network (oops, I mean selling the spectrum off) and migrating all those customers to Sprint's network -- along with heavy retention incentives -- may be Hesse's biggest bet yet. That is, if he has the cahones to do it.
While those names could sound tempting for investors who may think they are cheap, BusinessWeek's Karyn McCormack reminds us that not everything that is cheap is a good bargain, and there are some risks that need to be taken into account.
One common problem for most of these stocks is that they trade under $10 for a reason. That reason is usually hardly any earnings growth, if any at all. And with a weak economy, these companies would have an even harder time to stimulate growth. Add to the mix the fact that institutional investors don't like to touch stocks under $10 and the potential for recovery is not good.
Doug pointed out recently that the new Samsung Instinct most likely could not save Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) from its current financial and customer woes. He's right -- one phone does not resurrect a company. However, the Instinct -- which looks and functions very similar to an Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone -- is still selling like hotcakes. My guess? It's all due to Apple, not Sprint.
The Instinct, which apparently has become Sprint's best-selling 3G phone product ever in a very short time, is an impressive device. Feature-for-feature, it's right there with the upcoming 3G iPhone about to be released in a few weeks. Independent research that counted the movement of Instinct phones at 100 Sprint stores around the country report that it's selling out fast. Sprint contends that the smartphone is the fastest-selling phone in Sprint's history up to this point.
But, to those customers of Sprint (new and old) who just can't see themselves joining AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) just to get an iPhone, the Instinct is apparently turning out to be a perfect equivalent. If Apple had never released the original iPhone, the Instinct may have never been born. Apple, as usual, has made other hardware companies realize that hardware needs to be elegant, and software needs to be way elegant. The clumsy designs and complex cellphone interfaces may soon be extinct, thanks to Apple. And, Sprint's sales of the Samsung Instinct will at least owe partial credit to the iPhone maker.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the slide has to end somewhere -- eventually, we'll see a bid.
Is someone having a margin call? That's what I keep thinking as I watch the sickening slide in Motorola's (NYSE: MOT) (Cramer's Take) stock. How can Motorola go down so much? This is a company with a lot of money and some businesses that are doing excellently. It has great existing contracts with telcos.
But someone sells it and sells it hard every day. It almost feels that Carl Icahn has a margin call, post-Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) (Cramer's Take), or he has to sell MOT to fund Yahoo!, and that doesn't seem right.
Otherwise, how can we explain the endless selling? Sure, as Piper said yesterday, they are losing share in America, but does anyone think this company is going away? Does anyone think this company is some sort of regional bank with its destiny completely out of its hands, that reliance on housing coming back will determine its viability? This is only a $16 billion company now with sales that are almost twice that?
The week was full of news about handsets. Sprint (NYSE: S) said it would launch an "iPhone killer," a $129 phone from Samsung. Many brokerage firms upped estimates for Apple (NYSE: AAPL) iPhone sales as it appears that the demand for the new 3G version will be tremendous. Nokia (NYSE: NOK) launched its E71 and E66 high-end handsets. Lehman upped its targets for earnings estimates at RIM (NASDAQ: RIMM), the maker of the BlackBerry.
And Motorola (NYSE: MOT) shares hit a five-year low at $7.61. The company did not launch any new products. No one on Wall Street upped forecasts on the company. All that was clear is that the firm is taking a worse beating as each month passes.
Motorola plans to spin-off its handset business and keep its home networking and enterprise operations. The entire company has a market cap of under $18 billion now.
Based on Motorola's last 10-Q, the two units the company is keeping have an annual revenue run-rate of over $16 billion. They should make about $1.7 billion in operating profit in 2008. By many measures, together they would be worth $18 billion on their own.
It is a spectacular sign of how bad things are at Motorola's handset business, that, as an enterprise, it may have no financial value at all. Its market share is dropping too fast and its is losing too much money.
MOT may not even be able to give the operation away for nothing.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Dragged down by the challenging market conditions, many stocks have fallen under $10 lately. CNBC's Cindy Perman suggests that some of these stocks could be become good investments for traders. However, not everything that is cheap could be such a good bargain, Perman reminds us. You must always do your homework on potential investment before buying.
For example, Ford Motor (NYSE: F) fell down to around $6 compared with $38 nine years ago -- is it a good investment? Well, while the automaker revealed its plans to shift production from trucks to cars and give a boost to its turnaround plan, it also warned it won't be profitable until 2010 at the earliest.
Perman quotes several investment specialists on the matter. John Schloegel, vice president of investment strategies at Capital Cities Asset Management says, "An investment in Ford today feels like being in the wrong place at the wrong time." And Greg Womack, president of Womack Investment Advisers, advices to stay away from the sector, which doesn't look promising now, for the next three to five years to find out the "winner."
Some wonder whether Sprint (NYSE: S) can do anything to turn around its fortunes. It almost always ranks last in customer service among cellular carriers. It is still losing subscribers and its stock is down to $8.22. A year ago, it traded at almost $23.
Sprint continues to lose money. The firm has decided to get more deeply into the smartphone business with a product that it hopes can challenge the Apple (NADSAQ: AAPL) iPhone, which is marketed by AT&T (NYSE: T). Fat chance.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, the No.3 cellular service provider "will be taking on the iPhone with a lower price for its own touch-screen smart phone, the Samsung Instinct."
While the new handset may be a good one, it is hard to find a product that sells itself more than the iPhone. The Apple phone is part of a cult of buyers who love products from Jobs & Co.
And even if the Samsung phone was better than the Apple product, Sprint's customer service may well undermine its sales. A hot product only does well for a short time if the company that markets it has an awful reputation for taking care of its subscribers.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Kevin Martin, the chairman of the FCC, has made it his business to try to cut the costs that customers are charged when they cancel their service before the end of a contract. According toThe New York Times, "Mr. Martin's plan would require that fees be related to the actual cost of the phones. A fee for a $50 phone would be higher than for a $5 phone." It would also take into account how many months a customer had left on a contract.
The cellular companies, including Sprint (NYSE: S), spend a lot of money on their poor customer service. They ought to have a chance to get some of that back when a customer walks. It probably also costs the firms money to reconnect all of those dropped calls.
The cellular companies do have initial costs to set-up service and billing when a new customer comes on board. The Martin plan does not appear to take that into account.
Just because the service is no good does not mean that the cellular provider is not out a lot of money to provide it.
Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) is holding preliminary talks with rival Grupo Modelo SAB (Corona maker), according to The Wall Street Journal, in an attempt to thwart the $46 billion unsolicited offer it received Belgian brewer InBev SA.
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) said it plans to exit its U.S. retail gasoline business over the next few years, shedding the 820 service stations it still owns and operates and another 1,400 company-owned outlets operated by dealers of its branded fuels. Separately it also said it could spend more than $100 million for offshore oil exploration in the Philippines.
Tracinda Corp. on Friday said it will purchase 20 million shares of Ford's (NYSE: F) common stock in a tender offer at a purchase price of $8.50 per share, for a total purchase price of $170 million. That would increase billionaire Kirk Kerkorian, who controls Tracinda Corp., stake in Ford to 5.5%. Shares are up 2% in premarket trading.
Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) shares may experience further volatility as there are reports Chief Executive Richard Fuld is looking for outside capital, possibly from a sovereign wealth fund or a U.S. investor. Meanwhile, speculation continues that after ousting CFO and COO Thursday, Fuld's days are numbered too. The Wall Street Journal says that Lehman "hopes to restore investor confidence by turning to a seasoned trading executive" such as new president McDade.
When Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) releases its own Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone competitor this month, all eyes will be on deck to see if this new phone can save the Titanic that is Sprint from sinking. The wireless carrier has been in terrible shape for over a year now, losing millions of customers and just struggling to maintain its customers. Although an Apple iPhone -- by its nature -- invites copycats from all over the globe, this new handset from Sprint looks like the most serious effort yet.
The wrinkle is this: Sprint will require a calling and data plan of at least $69.99 per month to activate and use the new Samsung Instinct phone. There are so many data features that Sprint decided to tack on quite a hefty minimum monthly bill. Hey, AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) is doing this with the iPhone, right? This may be the start of a new trend: minimum monthly plans (high minimums) for all these new whiz-bang phones soon to be released. Will customers bite, or will they choose phones with similar capabilities but without the large minimum monthly charge? We'll soon see.
Sprint believes the target customer for the new Samsung Instinct phone may have concerns about being "nickel and dimed" to death on all the charges needed to make the phone work with all its functionality intact. So, the carrier decided to have a flat-rate price and get rid of those concerns. Fair enough -- but don't automatically force the customer to a $70 plan. In Sprint's defense, that larger minimum hasn't swayed iPhone customers from buying gobs of that device with AT&T. But again, this is no iPhone -- it just looks like one. It appears to be packed with many more features than the iPhone, but just as thousands of competitors before it have shown, Apple is Apple -- nobody else is. Can it save Sprint? Hardly.
Syniverse Holdings (NYSE: SVR) provides a variety of technology services to wireless telecommunications companies. Those services enable phone number portability; fraud management; the invoicing and settlement of wireless roaming calls; and the routing and translation of services between carriers. The company also offers data clearing and financial clearing services. Customers include AT&T (NYSE: T), Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) and Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ).
The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 37 cents and revenues of $115.6 million. Analysts had been looking for 26 cents and $102.4 million. In discussing the quarter, the CEO noted particular strength in messaging and mobile data. Management also guided FY08 revenues to $455-$465 million ($435.83M consensus). JP Morgan subsequently upgraded the shares to "overweight". Wedbush Morgan reiterated its "strong buy," Lehman Brothers its "overweight" and Brean Murray its "buy." Price targets ranged between $24 and $26.
Shares of wireless carrier Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) are plunging after the company reported a large first quarter loss this morning. The company posted stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings, but this was not enough to reassure investors who pushed the stock down more than 3%.
Sprint Nextel posted a quarterly loss of $505 million, or 18 cents per share, compared with a loss of $211 million, or 7 cents, in the same period a year ago. Its quarterly numbers were dragged down by losses of more than 1 million subscribers and severance charges. However, excluding one-time charges, the company would have earned 4 cents. Analysts had expected earnings on that basis of only 2 cents per share, according to Thomson Financial. Revenue tumbled 7.5% to $9.3 billion, well below expectations of $9.4 billion.
Stock futures were higher early Monday morning as the dollar strengthened and oil prices retreated. Investors may be coming into the market looking for bargains as a result of the recent selloff, meanwhile digesting news of a profit warning from FedEx, upbeat outlook from HSBC and Cableivision may be close to buying Newsday.
On Friday, stocks tanked after oil kept setting new highs, passing the $126 per barrel level. Losses from American International Group -- a Dow component -- also contributed to the bearish sentiment as many had hoped financials were on their way to a recovery. The Dow industrials lost 120 points, or 0.94%, the Nasdaq Composite declined 5 points, or 0.23%, and the S&P 500 declined 9 points, or 0.67%.
Without much economic news, investors will focus on the dollar and oil prices. After breaking the $126 per barrel level Friday and settling at $125.96, oil prices retreated Monday in Asia as the dollar strengthened against the euro and yen. Of course, the retreat is relative and oil has been trading around $125.34 recently. And for the first time since December 2005, futures traders are turning bullish on the dollar, according to Bloomberg. According to two measures of currency trading, it seems traders expect further dollar appreciation, and not only that, that the rally will hold.