Hormel Foods (NYSE: HRL) closed at $28.44 Tuesday. HRL is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on November 25. HRL overall option implied volatility of 41 is above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Sanderson Farms (NYSE: SAFM) closed at $27.49 Tuesday. SAFM filed a $1 billion shelf registration for common and preferred shares on October 9 on the anticipation of using the proceeds to fund acquisitions. SAFM November option implied volatility of 91 is above its 26-week average of 58 according Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Pilgrim's Pride (NYSE: PPC), the largest chicken company in the U.S., closed at $1.40 Tuesday. PPC announced on October 27 lenders have agreed to provide continued liquidity under credit facilities. PPC December option implied volatility is at 239 according to Track Data, suggesting large price fluctuations.
Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD), a processor of packaged meats, closed at $9.49 Tuesday. SFD November option implied volatility of 166 is above its 26-week average of 88 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Tyson (NYSE: TSN) closed $8.05 Tuesday. TSN is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on November 11. TSN November option implied volatility is at 133, December is at 124; above its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Rising commodities prices led both Smithfield Foods Inc. (NYSE: SFD), the nation's largest pork producer and processor, and poultry producer Sanderson Farms Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) to report quarterly losses on Tuesday.
Smithfield Foods said it lost $12.6 million, or 9 cents per share, in its fiscal first quarter due in part to a $20.1 million write-down in the value of commodity contracts. The Smithfield, Va.-based company had reported a profit of $54.6 million, or 41 cents per share, a year ago.
Revenues rose 20% to $3.14 billion in the quarter. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had forecast a loss of 4 cents per share on $2.87 billion in sales.
In addition to hurting from high costs for such ingredients as grain and fuel, Smithfield also faces an oversupply of meat on the market, which is keeping prices for pork lower. To help push prices up, meat producers such as Smithfield have announced intentions to cut supply.
Shares of Smithfield fell 88 cents, or 3.7%, to $22.71 in morning trading. That's up from a 52-week low of $16.61 in early July, but shares have fallen about 21% since the beginning of the year.
Results for the tech stocks in last week's preview were a mixed bag, some beats, some misses, some in line. By and large, expectations for tech companies reporting results this week remain high, though. Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are anticipating in the way of earnings, as compared to the same period of the previous year.
After hitting a one-year high of $35.79 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $23.75 in January. This morning, SFD opened at $29.10. So far today the stock has hit a low of $28.22 and a high of $29.35. As of 12:15, SFD is trading at $28.76, down 1.37 (-4.5%). The chart for SFD looks bullish and steady before today's drop, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bear-call credit spread above the $35 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in four and a half months as long as SFD is below $35 at October expiration. Smithfield would have to rise by more than 23% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
SFD hasn't been above $35 for more than a few days in the past year and has shown resistance around $32 recently. This trade could be risky if the cost of feed grains relax in the coming months, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance SFD might have around $32, where it topped out last month.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in SFD.
On Thursday, Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (NYSE: DPS), which spun off from Cadbury Schweppes (OTC: CSGWF) last month, and canned foods manufacturer Del Monte Foods Co. (NYSE: DLM) both reported double-digit profit growth for their fourth quarters, but still missed analysts' expectations. Smithfield Foods Corp. (NYSE: SFD), the U.S.'s largest hog producer and pork processor, said its first-quarter profits tumbled, hurt by rising grain costs and falling hog prices.
Plano, Texas-based Dr Pepper reported that its first-quarter earnings surged 38% from a year ago to $95 million, or 38 cents per share, as the company raised prices to offset lower volume and rising commodity costs. Adjusted for a restructuring charge, earnings were 36 cents per share. Sales for the three months ended March 31 grew 3% to $1.31 billion.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected earnings of 41 cents per share on revenue of $1.27 billion.
Dr Pepper shares rose more than a dollar, or 4%, in morning trading to $25.00, just shy of the price at which the stock began trading last month.
Here's a peek at what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting from companies scheduled to report quarterly results in the first week of June, 2008.
The following companies are expected to post earnings growth, compared to the same period in the previous year:
Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) up 136.6% (from a loss) to $1.12 per share, on $499.1 million in revenue
Reuters reports that workers at Quality Pork Processors Inc in Austin, MN have contracted a new disease -- symptoms include inflammation of the spinal cord, mild weakness, fatigue, numbness and tingling in the arms and legs. The source of these symptoms appears to be these workers' use of compressed air to blow pork brains out of the skull cavity.
Why is this happening? A doctor has been studying 18 Minnesota patients, all of whom have evidence of nerve involvement, typically affecting the legs. He said tests showed patients had damage to the nerves at the root level near the spinal cord, and at the far reaches of their motor nerves, where the nerves connect with muscle.
Why should investors care about this? It's worth looking at whether any publicly traded pork processors use the same technique that Quality Pork Processors does for blowing out pork brains. One candidate for further study is Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD), a global pork processor. So far the pork workers have not sued their employer for the disease. But if the problem becomes more severe and widespread, it could affect pork processor profits.
And that would cause nerve problems for investors as well as workers.
With the markets still in a choppy/consolidation mode (or perhaps worse), it's best to consider including a few defensive stocks in your portfolio, and with the aforementioned in mind Smithfield Foods is worth an evaluation.
Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD) is the world's largest pork processor and hog producer. The company's products include fresh pork and processed meats sold under the Packerland, John Morrell, Lykes, Patrick Cudahy, and Smithfield Premium names.
Analysts expect Smithfield's F2008 revenue to increase 15-25% after a modest increase in F2007.
Meanwhile, beef margins are expected to widen, offsetting likely narrower hog margins. An improved product mix, including an expansion of value-added products, also has gladdened analysts' hearts.
Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD) is the largest hog producer and pork processor in the world, offering fresh pork, smoked and boiled ham, bacon, sausage, hot dogs and ready-to-eat foods. Products are sold under such brand names as Smithfield, John Morrell, Cumberland Gap, Patrick Cudahy, Cook's Ham and Armour-Eckrich Meats. Smithfield is also the fifth-largest beef processor in the United States. Hormel Foods (NYSE: HRL) and Tyson Foods (NYSE: TSN) are major competitors.
The company surprised the Street late last month when it reported fiscal Q2 EPS of 24 cents and revenues of $3.46 billion. Analysts had been looking for 21 cents and $3.28 billion. Management noted that packaged meat profit margins more than doubled and earnings from international meat processing rose sharply. The SFD price popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Stocks frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.
While stocks boomed yesterday on the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut, Smithfield Foods Inc's (NYSE: SFD) stock dropped as analysts wrote that improved pork production in China could lead to excess production being sent to the U.S. market.
Due to this increase in supply, pork prices have declined more than 11% recently, according to a China news report. The recovery of pork production could be a sign that the swine flu, which set the industry back for years, is finally under control in this part of the world.
In August, Smithfield announced it would sell 60 million pounds of pork to China, but it appears the Chinese do not need it all. It looks like we have an ugly supply and demand imbalance building in the pig business.
Back on Tuesday, JP Morgan recommended investors buy shares of Virginia-based Smithfield Foods, Inc. (NYSE: SFD) into their earnings report, with expectations of a strong quarter. Early this morning, the Virginia-based hog, pork and beef producer blew away third-quarter earnings, reporting Q1 earnings per share (EPS) of 47 cents, well over the consensus of 42 cents.
To help achieve this monumental quarter, Smithfield continued its focus on higher margin and fully processed products, a strategy that had produced better margins in their pork segment a year ago. "Generally, the second and third quarters are the best for the pork segment as demand generally improves as we enter the Fall holiday period," CEO C. Larry Pope said in a statement today. Pope expects the live hog market to remain strong for the next six-to-twelve months. Excluding the problems in Romania, Pope said he was "reasonably optimistic about the remainder of fiscal 2008."
With a solid first quarter behind them, does this mean the best is yet to come for Smithfield? Despite the market facing some pressure today, Smithfield Foods is up $2.40, to $32.47.
Beef, pork and turkey producer Smithfield Foods, Inc. (NYSE: SFD) recently released 4Q 2007 earnings (June 7). Sales were up 10% to $3.1 billion, but income from continuing operations was up to just under $40 million or diluted EPS of $.35, six times the amount from 4Q 2006. Net income for the quarter was $37 million. Too bad that's not the whole story. Smithfield is in the midst of restructuring its pork raising and processing operations. Restructuring costs for that totaled $10 million for the quarter. Also, Smithfield incurred a pretax charge of $8.2 million in its beef segment, as well as losses associated with shedding it Quik-to-Fix Foods and its bioenergy business unit.
Few things are going well for Smithfield Foods. Profit margins improved in its pork segment which posted 31% volume gain in the sale of packaged pork products. Growth was especially good in the company's international markets. Gains in the hog segment were welcome given that hog production prices have gone up, while hog production was down 9% due to the effects of the hog circovirus, from which major hog producers are only now beginning to recover. Smithfield is currently reducing its domestic hog production facilities while simultaneously ramping up hog production capacity in Poland and Romania, where production costs are much lower.
The company's beef segment operated at a loss. Feeding costs (grain) were up as was the price for feeder cattle to bring to market, while severe winter weather domestically drove up production costs. The good news is that the losses in the beef segment this quarter were less than losses in the equivalent quarter a year ago.
Almost six million pounds of ground beef suspected of harboring E. coli bacteria has been recalled by United Food Group LLC. The bad beef was sold throughout the West in groceries including Albertson's, Trader Joe's and Sav-A-Lot, under brand names Moran's All Natural (too natural, if you ask me), Miller Meat Company, Stater Bros., Trader Joe's Butcher Shop, Inter-American Products Inc. and Basha's. Fourteen cases of E. coli illness have been linked to the beef since April 25.
Last year, the U.S. population consumed 28 billion pounds of beef, from almost 34 million head of bovine, worth in excess of $37 billion. While the United Food Group is an LLC, the specter of contaminated beef could impact publiclly traded beef vendors such as Hormel Foods (NYSE: HRL) and Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD) as well.
To put the magnitude of this recall in perspective, if we assume the average American adult weighs 175 pounds, it represents the weight of 34,285 people -- the entire population of Beverly Hills, CA, or Panama City, FL or Rome, NY.
The news comes at a particularly vulnerable time for the U.S. export market, as China is vigorously responding to the criticism of its food processing in the tainted pet food scandal by placing American food imports under the microscope. Over the weekend, Chinese officials rejected a shipment of American pistachios because they found ants among the nuts.
United Food Group has set up a hot line to answer questions about the recall, 1-800-325-4164.
Hormel Foods (NYSE: HRL) closed at $28.44 Tuesday. HRL is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on November 25. HRL overall option implied volatility of 41 is above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Rising commodities prices led both 
Results for the tech stocks in 
On Thursday, 
The company surprised the Street late last month when it reported fiscal Q2 EPS of 24 cents and revenues of $3.46 billion. Analysts had been looking for 21 cents and $3.28 billion. Management noted that packaged meat profit margins more than doubled and earnings from international meat processing rose sharply. The SFD price popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Stocks frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside..gif){kind=logo}
Almost six million pounds of ground beef suspected of harboring E. coli bacteria 
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