- Red Hat (RHT) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
- Cogdell Spencer (CSA) to buy from hold at Citigroup.
- Micron (MU) to neutral from reduce at Nomura.
- El Paso Electric (EE) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
- MICROS Systems (MCRS) and Harmony Gold (HMY) to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
- Meridian Bioscience (VIVO) to buy from hold at Canaccord.
- Verso Paper (VRS) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
- Sony (SNE) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
- Noble Corp. (NE) and Baker Hughes (BHI) to buy from neutral at UBS.
- Tyson Foods (TSN) and Smithfield Foods (SFD) to buy from hold at BB&T.
SFSF posts
FeedAnalyst Calls: BAC, BHI, KKR, MU, NE, RHT, SNE, TSN, WMT ...
Continue reading Analyst Calls: BAC, BHI, KKR, MU, NE, RHT, SNE, TSN, WMT ...
Analyst Calls: ACN, ADM, BRCM, CAT, DE, FMER, GOOG, MI, NFLX, UAL, WAG ...
- Wells Fargo upgraded Accenture (ACN) to outperform from market perform following the company's Q4 results, citing improved tone and increased visibility. The firm raised its target range for shares to $51 to $53 from $41 to $44.
- Macquarie upgraded FirstMerit (FMER) to outperform from neutral and has a $21 price target on the stock. The firm cites FirstMerit's strong fundamentals and competitive advantage for the upgrade.
- Macquarie transferred coverage on Marshall & Ilsley (MI) with a neutral from an underperform based on improved risk/reward.
- Eaton (ETN) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
- HSBC (HBC) was upgraded to conviction buy from buy at Goldman.
- Walgreen (WAG) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: ACN, ADM, BRCM, CAT, DE, FMER, GOOG, MI, NFLX, UAL, WAG ...
Analyst Calls: AAI, APSG, D, GBX, HSP, LVS, SGEN, SI, SON, TGT, TXT ...
- KeyBanc upgraded Las Vegas Sands (LVS) to hold from underweight based on Singapore performance and a potential revaluation of the yuan.
- ThinkEquity upgraded Seattle Genetics (SGEN) to buy from hold based on the positive SGN-35 HL data. The firm raised its price target to $16 from $12.
- Merriman upgraded Applied Signal (APSG) to buy from neutral with a $28 to $31 valuation range, citing greater confidence in earnings estimates and the company's recent contract wins.
- Siliconware Precision (SPIL) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Macquarie.
- Pulte Group (PHM) was upgraded to neutral from sell at Goldman.
- Greenbrier (GBX) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Morgan Keegan.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: AAI, APSG, D, GBX, HSP, LVS, SGEN, SI, SON, TGT, TXT ...
SuccessFactors Floating Higher on a Cloud
If you're looking to jump in and take advantage of the surge of interest in cloud computing, you might want to take a look at SuccessFactors, Inc. (SFSF).
The stock made a bullish break up and through resistance recently, and it looks like the stock is giving traders who missed the move the first time another chance to get into a position.
Analyst Calls: AAPL, CYH, DIS, ISRG, IVR, NYT, SNDK, TWX, VIA, VMC, WFMI ...
- Soleil upgraded Community Health (CYH) to buy from hold based on expectations for improved 2011 demand. The firm has a $40 price target on the stock.
- Wunderlich upgraded Invesco Mortgage (IVR) to buy from hold following the company's better-than-expected Q3 dividend. The firm also raised its target price for shares to $23.50 from $21.50.
- Goldman upgraded SuccessFactors (SFSF) to conviction buy from buy, citing cloud exposure.
- Vulcan Materials (VMC) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
- Comstock Resources (CRK) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Ladenburg.
- Trimble Navigation (TRMB) was upgraded to buy from hold at Canaccord.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: AAPL, CYH, DIS, ISRG, IVR, NYT, SNDK, TWX, VIA, VMC, WFMI ...
Analyst Calls: FDO, GLW, ISRG, MDT, N, NLY, QLIK, RLD, TSL, WABC ...
- Wells Fargo believes Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) da Vinci procedures remain under penetrated and that consensus estimates are too low. The firm upgraded shares to outperform from market perform and raised its valuation range to $340 to $360.
- Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded Westamerica (WABC) to buy from hold due to the company's FDIC-assisted acquisition of Sonoma Bank and what the firm sees as Westamerica's defensive nature. The firm set a $62 target on the stock.
- Oppenheimer upgraded Corning (GLW) to outperform from perform based on valuation and the belief that downward revisions have peaked. The firm has a $20 target on the stock.
- Quality Systems (QSII) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.
- OpenTable (OPEN) and Windstream (WIN) were upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: FDO, GLW, ISRG, MDT, N, NLY, QLIK, RLD, TSL, WABC ...
Analyst Calls: CHCO, CXO, EAT, EDMC, GPC, NVDA, PJC, WERN ...
- BMO Capital upgraded Concho (CXO) to outperform from market perform and has a $73 price target on the stock. The firm cites valuation and sustainable growth for the upgrade.
- Sterne Agee upgraded City Holding (CHCO) to buy from neutral based on valuation. The firm has a $34 target on the stock.
- UBS upgraded Werner Enterprises (WERN) to neutral from sell based on valuation. The firm raised its price target to $21.50 from $21.
- Nvidia (NVDA) was upgraded to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
- Colfax (CFX) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.
- Camden Property (CPT) was upgraded to top pick from outperform at RBC Capital.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: CHCO, CXO, EAT, EDMC, GPC, NVDA, PJC, WERN ...
Analyst Calls: HSP, EBAY, BX, CSCO
Analyst upgrades:
- Bernstein upgraded Hospira (HSP) to Outperform from market Perform based on valuation, expectations that the company will be able to fix manufacturing issues quickly, and views Propolfol and biosimilars as underappreciated. The firm has a $63 price target on the stock.
- Citigroup upgraded eBay (EBAY) to Buy from Hold citing valuation and improvements to Marketplace. The firm keeps a $28 price target for shares.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded Coca-Cola Femsa (KOF) to Hold from Sell citing lessening acquisition risk and raised its target for shares to $66 from $61.
- Blackstone (BX) and Simon Property (SPG) were upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman.
- BreitBurn Energy (BBEP) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo.
- SL Green Realty (SLG) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CCL, CSX, EBAY, GLW, NFLX, YHOO ...
- Wells Fargo transferred coverage of Cooper Industries (NYSE: CBE) with an Outperform rating, upgraded from the previous analysts' Market Perform rating. The firm believes commercial construction will be of less of a headwind for the company than the Street thinks, and has a $38-$41 valuation range on the stock.
- Kaufman Bros. upgraded SuccessFactors (NASDAQ: SFSF) to Buy from Hold after channel checks indicated demand trends picked up in July. The firm raised its target on shares to $15 from $12.
- UBS upgraded eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) to Buy from Neutral and believes Marketplace transaction growth is "turning the corner." Additionally, the firm believes the secondary market represents a long-term opportunity for the company. The firm raised its target to $28 from $24.
- Novartis (NYSE: NVS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies.
- Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
- Cardinal Health (NYSE: CAH) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
- Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform AMC Monday at Bernstein.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CCL, CSX, EBAY, GLW, NFLX, YHOO ...
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: MU, DRIV, HELE, URBN, AKS...
Analyst upgrades:- Oppenheimer upgraded OceanFreight (NASDAQ:OCNF) to Perform from Underperform on valuation and a lack of negative catalysts following the recent weakness.
- UBS raised Micron (NYSE:MU) to Buy from Neutral citing supply cuts which should improve prices. The target remains $5.
- Jesup & Lamont upgraded Atlas Air (NASDAQ:AAWW) to Buy from Hold is positive on the company's 20 year blocked space agreement with DHL and expects the stock to continue higher.
- AK Steel (NYSE:AKS) was added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List and upgraded to Buy from Neutral.
- Goldman also upgraded Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) to Buy from Neutral.
- Digital River (NASDAQ:DRIV) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Stanford.
- Stephens downgraded shares of Titan Machinery (NASDAQ:TITN) after their survey of farmers indicated declining sales of agricultural equipment. The firm lowered their target to $19 but believes Titan Machinery's long-term growth story remains intact.
- Jefferies downgraded Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) and Blyth (NYSE:BTH) to Underperform from Hold as they believe the further deterioration in the U.S. consumer macro environment could pressure near-term results. The firm lowered its target on Helen of Troy to $13 from $16.50 and on Blyth to $5.50 from $8.
- UBS cut Indevus (NASDAQ:IDEV) to Neutral from Buy and lowered its target to $5.50 from $5 following the acquisition offer by Endo Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ENDP).
- AECOM Tech (NYSE:ACM) was lowered to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley.
- Amerisafe (NYSE:AMSF) was downgraded at Oppenheimer to Perform from Outperform.
- Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Piper Jaffray.
- KeyBanc initiated Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) with a Buy rating and $22 target. The firm believes the Urban Outfitters and Antropologie divisions are under penetrated and have visible growth.
- Kaufman Bros. started SuccessFactors (NASDAQ:SFSF) with a Hold rating and $7 target and believes the current demand backdrop could be worse than reflected in current consensus estimates.
- CarMax (NASDAQ:KMX) was initiated at Baird with a Neutral rating and $10 target. The firm is impressed with CarMax's business model but does not see a way around the near-term economic headwinds.
- Manulife Financial (NYSE:MFC) and Sunlife Financial (NYSE:SLF) were assumed with Equal Weight ratings at Morgan Stanley.
- Oppenheimer started Pacific Sunwear (NASDAQ:PSUN) with a Perform rating.
- Kite Realty Trust (NYSE:KRG) was initiated with a Buy rating at Janney Montgomery.
Analyst initiations: SFSF, TLEO, SNY and PENN
MOST NOTEWORTHY: SuccessFactors, Taleo and Penn National were today's noteworthy initiations:- Oppenheimer initiated SuccessFactors Inc (NASDAQ: SFSF) with an Outperform rating and $15 target. The firm believes the company's double-digit revenue growth will continue as its differentiated HCM solutions gain broad-based adoption. Deutsche Bank believes the company has a strong opportunity to build a highly profitable business as it broadens its footprint, and started shares with a Buy rating and $15 target.
- Deutsche Bank also reinstated coverage of Taleo Corporation (NASDAQ: TLEO) with a Buy rating and $35 target. The firm believes the Vurv acquisition will create significant accretion in 2009 and that investors should take advantage of the recent share weakness.
- Oppenheimer assumed coverage of Penn National Gaming Inc (NASDAQ: PENN) with an Outperform rating and believes the termination of Penn's acquisition by Fortress Investment and Centerbridge will be catalysts for the stock, as they think it provides the company with financial flexibility. In addition, the firm believes Penn's management team has historically made prudent capital decisions.
- Petrobras Brasileiro SA (NYSE: PBR) was initiated with a Buy rating and $92 target at Goldman.
- Cowen resumed coverage of LeMaitre Vascular Inc (NASDAQ: LMAT) with an Outperform rating.
- Sanofi-Aventis SA (NYSE: SNY) was started at ING with a Hold rating.
What the tech?
Minyanville's Sean Udall dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. Here he discusses some players in the tech sector. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.
SuccessFactors (NASDAQ: SFSF): The stock prices secondary at $11.80 and is holding pretty tough. I'm watching this one pretty closely and was hoping for some post-secondary weakness to possibly add a starter here. A pretty good balance sheet just got better, but I guess the question is, "What is it going to do with that cash?"
Digital TV Holding (NYSE: STV): This company may have made a bottom recently and the deal announced today is exactly what the company talked about in its last quarterly call. I've commented on the possibility of it securing more revenue streams (partnering for recurring advertising revenue) in the past. It looks to be developing the conduits to deliver on that.
comScore (NASDAQ: SCOR): Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) news is hurting the stock badly. I sold my mine some time back after that series of paid click reports ahead of Google's last quarter that proved to be quite inaccurate. All that aside, I don't think comScore's core business is going to disappear within a compressed time frame and may be worth a long side trade if it moves near or under $20. I'll leave it be and see what develops, as the knife could cut further.
Emergence Capital's Gordon Ritter: Finding the next breakout company
Gordon Ritter, the founder and general partner of Emergence Capital Partners, is one of the top venture capitalists in the on-demand space. Besides being the original VC in Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM), his firm has also funded companies like SuccessFactors (Nasdaq: SFSF), HireRight (Nasdaq: HIRE) and Lithium Technologies.
Well, last week I had a chance to meet with Gordon and we talked about what grabs his interest when an entrepreneur makes a pitch.
Of course, he wants a company that has a big market opportunity (say $1 billion) as well as a qualified team (or, at least, there is a team identified).
True, these are typical things. What else is important?
"What we find that's critical is that a company has shown an ability to build a relationship with customers," said Gordon. "It doesn't have to be a lot of customers. Instead, we want to see evidence that the company is engaging customers."
Unit economics is also key. "What are the customer acquisition costs?" said Gordon. "Is there a low-cost access to leads? We also want to see a short sales cycle."
Something else: Gordon wants a team with strong domain expertise. "On-demand is getting verticalized," he said. "In a way, it's about selling knowledge.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements
. He also operates MergerBook.com.
Analyst initiations: SMBL, HOO and ASH
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Smart Balance, Cascal NV and Ashland were today's noteworthy initiations:- Citigroup initiated Smart Balance (NASDAQ: SMBL) with a Hold rating and $9 target, as they believe success of the company's new products is not a foregone conclusion and prefers to wait for increased visibility before becoming more positive on the name.
- JP Morgan believes Cascal NV (NYSE: HOO) will leverage its global scale and expertise in water infrastructure markets to drive 25% annual EPS growth through 2010. The firm has an Overweight rating on the stock.
- Ashland (NYSE: ASH) was started with a Positive rating as Susquehanna, as they are positive on ASH's earnings power. The firm views shares as a compelling risk/reward opportunity.
- Broadpoint assumed SuccessFactors (NASDAQ: SFSF) with a Strong Buy rating and $12 target.
- Morgan Stanley initiated Fastenal (NASDAQ: FAST) with an Equal Weight rating and $40 target.
- RBC Capital started Ultra Petroleum (NYSE: UPL) with a Sector Perform rating and $80 target.
Analyst initiations: Advanced Analogic, Navios Maritime, Lockheed Martin
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Advanced Analogic, Navios Maritime and Lockheed Martin were today's noteworthy initiations:- JMP Securities started shares of Advanced Analogic (NASDAQ: AATI) with a Market Outperform rating and $13 target, as they are positive on AATI's increasing margins driven by proprietary portable power management designs and cost-effective manufacturing technology.
- Cantor assumed coverage of Navios Maritime (NYSE: NMM) with a Buy rating and $21 target and believes the company's focus on long-term charter contracts and substantially fixed operating costs helps provide clear earnings visibility to support its dividend policy.
- American Technology views Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) as a compelling long-term investment opportunity given the overall predictability of the sector and an attractive valuation. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $129 target.
- Morgan Stanley initiated SuccessFactors (NASDAQ: SFSF) with an Overweight rating.
- Cowen initiated Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ) with a Neutral rating and Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL) with an Outperform rating.
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