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Posts with tag SSS

Self-storage sector not glamorous, just profitable

Despite large and growing declines in both the commercial and residential real estate markets, one part of the real estate sector is having a good year. Self-storage companies, which are often structured as REITs, are posting some good numbers. Face it, American's have way too much stuff and not enough space to store it at home. Americans move, go away to college, get divorced, join the military and/or lose their homes in foreclosure with alarming regularity. All of these life events require short-term storage. According to a survey in Investment News, self-storage REITs have generated total returns of 20% or more YTD. This compares very favorably with the 5% or more drop in the S&P 500 stock index YTD.

A snapshot of the sector shows four of the largest self-storage companies on the upswing. Sovran Storage Incorporated (NYSE: SSS) at $40.88 is up 1.95% YTD. Most other self-storage REITs have more impressive returns. Extra Space Storage (NYSE: EXR) at $15.11, up 6.90% YTD. Public Storage Incorporated (NYSE: PSA) at $83.55 is one of the most expensive self-storage stocks. It is up 7.59% YTD. The bargain in the self-storage sector is U Store It Trust (NYSE: YSI). At $11.54 the stock is up a whopping 28.82% YTD. Investors should call around to self-storage companies in their areas. Chances are they will not find many vacant units.

Wal-Mart caps capital spending, lowers outlook

Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) logoWal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) is reducing the amount of capital expenditures for 2007 in light of reduced expansion of the company's Supercenters in the domestic market as it attempts to eke out more sales from existing stores.

Well, as I've stated for over a year here at BloggingStocks, this is a strategy that the retailer was forced to take. It's already saturated many U.S. markets, and opening stores for the sake of opening them just won't cut it for growth any longer. The problem is that I still don't see the changes that will make sales growth happen in existing stores. Doug McIntyre even wrote about the retailer closing some stores about a year ago. What's in store for the retailer is anyone's guess at this point.

As a result, the world's largest retailer will cut its capex amount down in the range of $14.7 billion to $15.4 billion, down from a figure of $17 billion earlier in the year. Wal-Mart's chief administrative officer, John Menzer, stated that the retailer still has a goal to "beat" the $15.5 billion figure, however. With Wal-Mart's recent unwavering plan to continue opening stores in the face of declining same-store sales at existing locations, this admission was a bit overdue, to put it mildly.

The retailer also reiterated capex plans for fiscal years 2009 and 2010, saying it would spend $13.5 billion to $15.2 billion each year. Along with that, the retailer expects square footage growth (new stores, in other words) to come in at 6% for the current fiscal year, with a 5% to 6% figure for the 2009 and 2010 fiscal years as well.

Retail sales coming up short

Best Buy Co Inc (NYSE: BBY), Circuit City Stores Inc (NYSE: CC) and Wendy's International Inc (NYSE: WEN) have all warned of or reported light results during the past few days, a sign that the consumer is slowing down.
  • Best Buy reported a drop in gross margins, as promotions for higher-end flat panel TVs kick in. Same store sale comps came in at a positive 3% and the company is guiding to 2% to 2.5% growth.
  • Circuit City warned last quarter that business was deteriorating, with its stock getting hit hard.
  • Wendy's reported a 3% drop in same store sales and a big miss on its EBITDA line.
Do not expect much of an uptick in consumer spending until the Fed starts dropping rates. Consumer dependency on home equity loans to finance large purchases is over, making year-over-year comparisons hard for the retail industry.

Chico's growth returning, gross margins still in question

Chico's FAS (NYSE: CHS), the great growth stock that has run into hard times this past year, appears to be successfully addressing its lack of growth. Same-store-sales growth has returned after a prolonged period of big declines for this women's retailer.

Last night, Chico's reported same store sales increased 5.2% and total company-wide sales increased 22%. However, one of the flaws of retail monthly sales data is that it does not tell investors what gross margins were. Did management slash prices to get sales growth or did the company successfully change its product mix?

Look for analyst reports today to see if Chico's successfully changed its product mix and did not slash prices to get sales going. If improved product mix was the reason for the sales jump, it may be time to jump back into this stock.

When Chico's has its product mix right, its loyal, high-end customer base will use its deep pockets to buy a lot of stuff, which amounts to huge free cash flow generation for shareholders. With the stock trading for around $25, down from $48 in early 2006, this stock could revisit its former highs if sustainable growth has returned.

Chico's same store sales growth bottoming

Chico's FAS (NYSE: CHS), the once high flying retailer, hit a serious bump in the road in early 2006. The outstanding same store sales growth that drove the stock to record heights rolled over and so did the stock. After peaking in early 2006 at $49, the stock is now down to $20, a 60% drop.

Last night, Chico's reported results and it appears the worst in same store sales (SSS) could be coming to an end. The much watched industry metric could turn positive by the Spring.

SSS for the Chico's stores came in flat, which is a big improvement from 2006 figures. However, management said February SSS were down 3%. Therefore, Chico's is still going through a bumpy period.

With the stock down 60% from its high, it is time to start getting into this stock. Chico's is debt fee, is a cash flow machine and could be a private equity candidate if SSS improves in the Spring and the investment community doesn't drive the stock higher.

Retailer with a loyal clientele come back in droves when the company gets the product mix right.

Market highlights for next week: Same Store Sales numbers due out

Monday March 5
  • Landstar Systems Inc (NASDAQ: LSTR) to hold Q1 mid-quarter update conference call at 2pm.
  • Federal Reserve St Louis Bank President William Poole to speak at 11am, Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to speak at 2pm.
Tuesday March 6
  • International Game Technology (NYSE: IGT), a "global company specializing in the design, development, manufacturing, distribution and sales of computerized gaming machines and systems products," to hold its annual shareholder meeting at 1pm.
Wednesday March 7
  • Saks Inc (NYSE: SKS) to hold Q4 earnings conference call at 10am.
  • PDUFA date for Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT) Humira, a Tumor Necrosis Factor blocker, which is used to reduce the signs and symptoms of arthritis.
  • PDUFA date for Merck and Co Incs (NYSE: MRK) Janumet, a treatment for Type 2 Diabetes.
Thursday March 8
  • Monthly Same Store Sales to be reported by Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT), Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT), Aeropostale Inc (NYSE: ARO), Kohl's Corporation (NYSE: KSS), Pacific Sunwear of California Inc (NASDAQ: PSUN), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE: ANF), Gap Inc (NYSE: GPS) Nordstrom Inc (NYSE: JWN) and J.C. Penney Co Inc (NYSE: JCP).
Friday March 9
  • PDUFA date for Eli Lilly and Company's (NYSE: LLY) Cymbalta, a treatment for depression.

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Last updated: November 22, 2008: 01:24 PM

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