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Closing Bell: The Directionless Day (AAPL, ANF, BA, FXI, ISPH, MRK, NSM, TXN)

Stocks had another mixed day, despite some key winners and losers. China's surprise rate hike came amid word of a rate by the European Central Bank, expected on Thursday of this week. Brent Crude hit what appears to be a two-year high and even Ben Bernanke's remarks on inflation didn't add much to the mix. That being said, it was not known until the final minute if the markets were going to be in the red or the black for the trading day.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones: 12,393.90 -6.13 (-0.05%)

S&P500: 1,332,63 -0.24 (-0.02%)

Nasdaq: 2,791,19 +2.00 (0.07%)

Top Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: The Directionless Day (AAPL, ANF, BA, FXI, ISPH, MRK, NSM, TXN)

Closing Bell: Cautious Euphoria Continues (AMZN, APOL, CRY, GFRE, HD, TM)

Consumer Confidence saw a huge drop for March, but that failed to hurt the markets as it was largely expected. Housing prices continued south according to national housing survey data from Case Shiller. International stock markets saw a mixed bag on Tuesday, but U.S. investors continued to sit there, buying stocks. Maybe the real catalyst is the fact that very few companies have formally lowered guidance despite the turmoil.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones: 12,279.01 + 81.13 (0.67%)

S&P500: 1,319.44 +9.25 (0.71%)

Nasdaq: 2,756.89 +26.21 (0.96%)

Continue reading Closing Bell: Cautious Euphoria Continues (AMZN, APOL, CRY, GFRE, HD, TM)

U.S. Treasuries Hold Firm Against the Backdrop of the Japanese Crisis

Watch the tape. Ignore the chatter. Those two are old truisms. The U.S. treasury market held firm Monday, with the 10-year June futures contract closing at 120-06, up 16 ticks.

There was some chatter from naysayers that China or Japan, the biggest foreign holders of U.S. debt, might decide to sell. That piece of news can be discarded. Why would they sell and take huge losses?

Stocks markets, however, across the globe were down, prompting a scramble for safety. Which safety? Why, the U.S. treasury market.

Continue reading U.S. Treasuries Hold Firm Against the Backdrop of the Japanese Crisis

Comfort Zone Investing: The Perfect Stock

a sunriseThe perfect stock suggests that it would fit in any portfolio at any time. That perfect stock doesn't exist. Some investors want capital gains from growth only. Others want income. Still others want some of both. So can there be a perfect stock?

There is for each group of investors. For the ones looking for capital gains, the stock would have these attributes:

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: The Perfect Stock

Comfort Zone Investing: Can You Feel the Pendulum Swinging?

a golfer swinging - economic pendulum - comfort zone investingEconomies go in cycles. They push to their breaking points, then move in the opposite direction. We saw it clearly in the '90s when there was no end to up (except there was and we abruptly hit it in 2000). In 2008, it felt like there was no end to down. But we now know there is. Things are picking up, and there are numbers to prove it.

Don't be the last to figure out we're in an economic recovery. Sitting on the sidelines, waiting for one more chance to buy a stock at the bargain price you saw in March of 2009 isn't going to happen. Times have changed. The U.S. economy is on the mend.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Can You Feel the Pendulum Swinging?

Opportunity on the Euronext: Delta Lloyd

Investors searching for opportunities will be hard pressed to find stocks that are still undervalued. It seems like this rally has pushed every sector to very high levels. Perhaps, it may be time to look in more off-the-cuff places for investment ideas.

One possibility trades on the Amsterdam-based exchange, the Euronext. The Dutch insurer, Delta Lloyd Group, which has operations in the Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium, is a profitable company with a favorable balance sheet that trades at a significant discount to its book value. In the first half of 2010, it generated €767 million of income after taxes and non-controlling interests, a 263% increase. At the same time, it has €3,903 billion in tangible assets net of all liabilities, but a market cap of just € 2,810 billion as of January 11. In other words, investing in Delta Lloyd is like buying assets, with all liabilities paid off, at a 30% discount.

Continue reading Opportunity on the Euronext: Delta Lloyd

Two Stocks That Could Profit from Buybacks

Our recommendations at The Buyback Letter currently focus on a collection of five stocks that we believe, as a group, will outperform the market this month. So far, we have done well. Our Buyback Premium Portfolio is beating the S&P 500 by more than 68% since its inception (August 2, 2000). The portfolio is up 47.53% since inception versus a decline of 20.64% in the S&P 500 over the same time frame. For the month of September 2010, The Buyback Premium Portfolio gained 12.38% vs. a gain of 8.76% in the S&P 500.

So what's our New Premium Portfolio Recommendation? On October 1, we issued a sell recommendation on two stocks Coach (COH) and Health Net (HNT) at market. Now, we recommended using the proceeds and available cash to buy equal dollar amounts of the following two stocks at market:Family Dollar (FDO) and American Financial Group (AFG).

Continue reading Two Stocks That Could Profit from Buybacks

The Dumbest Stock Warren Buffett Ever Bought

Warren Buffett is widely regarded as the most successful investor of our times. On Monday Becky Quick of CNBC asked him today to reveal the dumbest investment he ever made. Turns out, Buffett says that his own company, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), was the dumbest stock he has ever bought.

Why? Buffett explained on CNBC that early in 1962, he came across the textile company, which was constantly closing mills and reinvesting the proceeds in its stock. So Buffett figured he would also buy the stock, tender it to Berkshire's management and make a small profit.

Continue reading The Dumbest Stock Warren Buffett Ever Bought

Here's One Way to Generate 100% Gains -- and It's Not in Stocks

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovering near 11,000, you may be persuaded that times are getting better and that there is money to be made by investing in stocks. James Altucher, managing director of Formula Capital, believes that stocks are going up. But even so, he says there are better ways to make money.

His suggestion: In the video below, he argues that if you have $20,000 to $100,000 to invest, put your money into something that will make a big change in your life, instead of in stocks. If you are a photographer, for example, buy a top of the line camera. The payoff in producing better photographs should help your photography business far more than putting $3,000 in stocks.

Continue reading Here's One Way to Generate 100% Gains -- and It's Not in Stocks

Comfort Zone Investing: Why the Next Rally Could Be a Monster

Wall Street bullWhile the stock market has moved up nicely in the last three months, it's hardly moved stocks above reasonable valuations. IBM (IBM) sells at 12.77 times earnings. Intel (INTC) goes for 11.67 times. Microsoft (MSFT) has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.74. Google (GOOG) sports one of 22.8, but even that isn't too noteworthy when many of these stocks at one time or another traded at 50 to 100 times their earnings. Of course, those were days when there was only up, and everyone was on Ecstasy. Thankfully, every stock, and everyone, is back on earth.

Those relatively benign valuations come from the reality of a slow global economy. In the U.S. it's more like a smashed-into-a-brick-wall economy. No matter the degree of the economic slowdown, all investors are cautious, not willing to bid up stocks when they believe things will only get worse, that profits will only decrease.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Why the Next Rally Could Be a Monster

Face-Off on Stocks: Tiffany, Coach and Polo Ralph Lauren

You would think that in tough times, pricey retailers would have a tough time. But it turns out the highest end retailers have been doing just fine lately. Companies such as Tiffany (TIF), Coach (COH) and Polo Ralph Lauren (RL) have actually been beating the broader market for some time.

Shares in all three of these consumer discretionary companies have gained about 70% since the recession ended in June 2009. Over the same period, the S&P 500 ($INX) is up 20%.

Continue reading Face-Off on Stocks: Tiffany, Coach and Polo Ralph Lauren

Is Brocade the Next 3Par?

Brocade logoThe tail-end summer heat has been heavily attributable to the mergers and acquisitions blaze. Companies are putting their cash to work on public companies fetching discounted equity prices in a market environment favoring safety (e.g., gold and bonds).

Recently, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) edged out Dell (DELL) for the 3Par deal award. With an eye toward the future, HP displayed their powerful desire to own a piece of the data storage and cloud computing pie. Since Dell ended empty-handed, it's only a matter of time before the next stock is a tech heavyweight's prime target.

Continue reading Is Brocade the Next 3Par?

Will the 'Hindenburg Omen' Bring a Crash Soon to the Markets?

While many consider technical analysis to be voodoo -- especially academics -- the fact is that fundamental analysis is far from perfect either. Hey, how many economists and stock analysts predicted the financial implosion in 2008? Not many.

But there were several technical indicators that gave investors warnings. And perhaps the most interesting is the Hindenburg Omen. True, it has given off false alarms but it still has forecasted the major crashes over the past two decades

Continue reading Will the 'Hindenburg Omen' Bring a Crash Soon to the Markets?

Bonds Up, Stocks Down on Renewed Economic Fears

A new fear gripped the market Friday. Originally, gross domestic product -- the broadest measure of economic activity -- was reported to have grown 2.4% in the second quarter. Now, many are expecting the Department of Commerce will revise this figure down next week. According to a Bloomberg survey, revised GDP will have lost one point to a more anemic 1.4% growth.

The expectation of the lower GDP caused an accelerated rush to buy Treasuries. On the futures market, the 30 year bond was up 15 ticks to 134-26. The Dow Jones Industrial average continued its decline, falling yet another 90 points in early morning trade.

Continue reading Bonds Up, Stocks Down on Renewed Economic Fears

Gary Shilling: Where to Invest in a Deflationary Economy

Some economists say inflation is inevitable. Others say we are headed for a deflationary economy. Chances are, we could be headed for deflation first, and inflation later.

Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., is a well-known market bear and says that we are entering a period of deflation that could last a decade. Part of his reasoning: the consumer price index which measures inflation, has been falling. That, plus the government's massive debt and consumer debt are further reasons for why the Fed's efforts to save the economy may not have succeeded.

Continue reading Gary Shilling: Where to Invest in a Deflationary Economy

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 02:43 AM

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