Sluggish retail sales in November didn't stop retailers from adding bodies. A report by outplacement consulting company Challenger, Gray & Christmas, reavealed to BloggingStocks, shows that retail sector payrolls grew to 321,300 in November, an improvement from the previous month's 233,700. This follows 54,200 retail hires in October, bringing the total number of seasonal retail employees up to 375,500. Already, that comes close to the 384,300 hired from October through December in 2008. The analysis is based on data supplied by the Department of Labor.

High expectations for the holiday season likely contributed to the up-tick in hiring. The estimated 0.5% growth from Black Friday 2008 to Black Friday 2009 was a disappointment, and November sales were off 0.3%, surprising analysts, who expected the trend to go in the other direction. Costco (COST) and Limited Brands (LTD) came out ahead, but most retailers, including Target (TGT) and Macy's (M) struggled. Saks (SKS) is also suffering from an anemic luxury goods market.

Continue reading Retail hiring up from last year, but still well below average

Retail hiring up from last year, but still well below average originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Dec 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Upscale shoppers aren't doing enough for Saks (SKS) this holiday season. The luxury retailer, which has been struggling with sales for the past two years, is moving into less expensive products as a way to bring customers in the door, even though it's putting its brand at risk. If the wealthy continue to stay at home, Saks will have to look for revenue where it hasn't had to play in the past.

Brand experts, according to a Reuters report, don't think it's a good idea for Saks to stray from its traditional area of expertise. Pushing lower-priced items and using gift cards and coupons to bring people inside -- not to mention discounting -- could cost the company in the long term. Milton Pedraza, chief executive of the Luxury Institute, told Reuters, "All these tactics erode the halo effect of a luxury brand."

Continue reading Saks ponders discounts and cheaper lines to counter plummeting sales

Saks ponders discounts and cheaper lines to counter plummeting sales originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 07 Dec 2009 09:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

DailyFinance today: good news and bad news about the budget, even employed people are looking for jobs, 2009 looks promising for Saks and Maxx originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 26 Feb 2009 18:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If you made a bet on the specialty retailers leading up to the first $600 taxpayer rebate stimulus package, you got hammered.

Talk about a government plan backfiring big time.

That $300 billion in checks that fell out of the sky from government helicopters back in the March to May timeframe didn't find its way to the malls at all.

Instead, people paid down credit card debt, and tuition, medical and other bills, leaving little for spending on non-essentials.

The result was a litany of store closings nationwide, with several old-line, brand-name retailers going out of business.

It's game over for names like Circuit City (OTC: CCTYQ), Cache (NASDAQ: CACH), Talbots (NYSE: TLB), J. Jill, Wickes Furniture, Levitz, Bombay, Linens 'n Things, Movie Gallery, Wilson Leather, KB Toys and The Sharper Image.

Traders that leveraged into darling names, like hedge fund idol Eddie Lampert's Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD), got smoked. Shares of SHLD were trading at $105 when the checks when out. Today the stock is around $40.

Even Costco (NASDAQ: COST) -- the obvious slam dunk, aside from Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) -- got slammed, falling from $75 to $45 following the so-called stimulus package.

Continue reading 2008 Trades Gone Bad #1: Going long the specialty retailers

2008 Trades Gone Bad #1: Going long the specialty retailers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 22 Dec 2008 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

For anybody who's been following the downfall of Sharper Image, there seems to be a pretty obvious lesson: when people are worrying about the rising cost of food and are scrimping to fill their gas tanks, high-priced doodads and assorted electronic gewgaws are the first things to go. The next things, of course, are luxury goods.

Saks Fifth Avenue (NYSE: SKS)and Neiman-Marcus, two of the bigger high-end retailers, reported massive quarterly profit gains in the end of 2007, but are now acknowledging that their gains have reduced considerably in 2008. Obviously, part of this is the standard post-Christmas drop, but there has also been a significant slowdown in year-to-year growth. In 2008, Saks is anticipating a minor increase over 2007's sales, but a slight decrease in gross margin.

Part of this is due to a reduction in expenditures by "aspirational shoppers," or people who can't really afford super-luxe items, but occasionally buy them anyway. What's particularly interesting, though, is that super-rich customers are also cutting back on their purchases, a trend that some analysts attribute to a contagious feeling of economic worry. In other words, the overall belief that the economy is approaching a recession is reducing spending even among people for whom the economic slowdown isn't a pressing concern. In light of this trend, Saks' stock price has dropped from almost $21 in the beginning of the year to under $13.

In this context, it looks like the next year will be tough for manufacturers and importers of high-end luxury items. After all, if the people who can actually pay top dollar are cutting back, what will happen to the people for whom luxuries are a splurge?

In a recession, luxuries are the first to go originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 07 Mar 2008 16:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.