SameStoreSales posts
FeedPosted Dec 3rd 2009 1:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Costco Wholesale (COST), Options, Technical Analysis

Costco Wholesale (
COST -
option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company announced its
same-store sales rose 6.0 percent in November, missing analysts' forecasts of an 8.1 percent increase. While the fact that sales are up 6% is encouraging, November 2008 was when consumers were really cutting back, so a bigger increase would indicate that the company is back on solid footing. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on COST.
This morning, COST opened at $59.40. So far today the stock has hit a high of $59.57 and a low of $59.00. As of 11:15, COST is trading at $59.23, down $1.64 (-2.7%). The chart for COST looks neutral and
S&P gives COST a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Costco (COST) reports weak November sales
Posted Aug 6th 2009 12:40PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Forecasts, Good news, Options, Technical Analysis, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)
American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:
AEO -
option chain) shares are rising today after
the company updated its Q2 EPS forecast to 16 cents, including a 2-cent tax benefit. AEO had previously forecast EPS of 12 to 15 cents, while analysts are expecting EPS of 14 cents. AEO also announced
July same store sales that declined more than expected, but that news was offset for traders by the revised forecast. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AEO.
AEO opened this morning at $14.50. So far today the stock has hit a low of $14.40 and a high of $14.95. As of 11:30, AEO is trading at $14.70 up 74 cents (5.3%). The chart for AEO looks neutral and
S&P gives AEO a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading American Eagle (AEO) revises Q2 guidance higher
Posted May 19th 2009 2:40PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Products and Services, Competitive Strategy, Home Depot (HD), Employees, Market Matters, Lowe's Cos (LOW), Housing, Recession, Financial Crisis
Home Depot (NYSE:
HD) reported its
first quarter numbers today, topping Wall Street estimates, but cautioning that the company's business remains under pressure from the
current housing crisis.
Ahead of today's earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see Home Depot, the nations largest home improvement retailer, show earnings of 29 cents per share for its first quarter, but the company surprised to the upside with 35 cents per share. Sounds like good news, but Wall Street has been selling the stock off so far in today's action.
Continue reading Home Depot (HD) tops estimates but remains under pressure
Posted Apr 9th 2009 3:40PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT), Costco Wholesale (COST)
Wal-Mart (NYSE:
WMT), whose competitors include
Target (NYSE:
TGT) and
Costco (NASDAQ:
COST), reported
same-store sales for the month of March. According to the
press release, things are going pretty well at the retailer, given current economic conditions. Domestic comps over the nine-week frame rose 3.1% on an overall basis. Breaking that down to performance stats for Wal-Mart and Sam's Club on an individual basis, we see that the former increased its comps by 2.6% and that the latter improved its same-store sales by 6.1%. Over the five-week frame, comps weren't as good. They came in at 1.4%. Wal-Mart itself barely saw a move in the metric, rising 0.6%. Fear not, shareholders, for you have to consider the timing of the Easter holiday. It came early last year.
Now, international net sales didn't fare so well because of currency translations. If you decide to include that effect, then sales dipped well over 14% last month. Excluding currencies gives you a much more positive 7.8% increase. Can't really do much about currency issues right now. As we all know, all companies with international exposure have to face them. Nevertheless, I like Wal-Mart's comps. And I particularly like the performance at Sam's Club. A lot of consumers seem to be using the warehouse club to save money during the tough times. Wal-Mart's management is apparently reaching that shopper.
Continue reading Wal-Mart's comps don't meet Wall Street's expectations -- buying or selling opportunity?
Posted Jan 5th 2009 1:12PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Good news, Walgreen Co (WAG), Options, Technical Analysis
Walgreen Co. (NYSE:
WAG -
option chain) shares have moved higher today after
the company reported December sales that rose upwards of 10%, including a 4.9% gain in same store sales. In times like these, WAG stayed strong with sales of basic necessities, while seasonal items slumped, but the net result was positive. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WAG.
WAG opened this morning at $25.43. So far today the stock has hit a low of $25.43 and a high of $26.78. As of 12:15, WAG is trading at $26.80, up $1.25 (4.9%). The chart for WAG looks neutral and
S&P gives WAG a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April
bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just three and a half months as long as WAG is above $20 at April expiration. Walgreen would have to fall by more than 25% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade
here.
WAG hasn't been below $21 at all in the past year and has shown support around $22.50 recently.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in WAG.
Posted Dec 8th 2008 12:39PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, McDonald's (MCD), Options, Technical Analysis
McDonald's (NYSE:
MCD -
option chain) shares opened higher today, but have dropped into the red after the company announced
November same-store sales growth of 7.7%, with US sales growing 4.5%. However, total sales only grew 1.9% when currency factors were included. Without currency fluctuations, total sales would have been up just under 10%. I for one like this company a tremendous amount in a weak economy, and even though the strong dollar is messing with the numbers, I think MCD is on solid ground. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MCD.
MCD opened this morning at $63.35. So far today the stock has hit a low of $60.86 and a high of $63.99. As of 12:15, MCD is trading at $61.37, down $1.35 (-2.1%). The chart for MCD looks bullish and
S&P gives MCD a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January
bull-put credit spread below the $50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just six weeks as long as MCD is above $50 at January expiration. McDonald's would have to fall by more than 18% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade
here.
MCD hasn't been below $50 at all except for one day in the past year and has shown support around $55 recently.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent owns and controls bullish hedged positions in MCD.Posted Nov 11th 2008 6:32AM by Sarah Gilbert (RSS feed)
Filed under: Starbucks (SBUX), McDonald's (MCD)

The world has not been swayed by the coy laugh of organic vegetables, the winsome eyes of local produce, the sparkling personality of grass-fed beef. When money's tight, the world goes to McDonald's for a dollar burger, and maybe a splurge on Southern-style chicken, an opportunity to win big -- or small, that next package of French fries has to come from somewhere -- with the chain's traditional 'Monopoly' game.
Same-store sales were up 8.2% worldwide, with a respectable 5.3% increase in U.S. outlets.
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:
MCD) is still struggling to gain Wall Street approval for many of its recent moves, such as expanding hours and diving head-first into competition with Starbucks, rolling out espresso bars and fancy blended coffee drinks into its U.S. stores. Given some rough numbers from
Starbucks (NASDAQ:
SBUX) out yesterday, it seems reasonable to wonder whether customers are avoiding the pricey pastries and coffee drinks at Starbucks and heading for the Dollar Menu at McDonald's.
Continue reading McDonald's same-store sales reflect world's love for cheap food
Posted Nov 6th 2008 1:39PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Bad News, Industry, Target Corp. (TGT), Options, Technical Analysis
Target (NYSE:
TGT -
option chain) shares are falling today after
the company reported a 4.8 percent decline in October same-store sales this morning, worse than the 2.8 percent predicted by analysts. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on TGT.
This morning, TGT opened at $37.11. So far today the stock has hit a low of $36.74 and a high of $39.11. As of 12:25, TGT is trading at $36.77, down 98 cents (2.6%). The chart for TGT looks neutral and
S&P gives TGT a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a November
bear-call credit spread above the $45 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in two weeks as long as TGT is below $45 at November expiration. Target would have to rise by more than 22% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade
here.
TGT has been above $45 as recently as early October but has fallen sharply since and shown resistance around $42 over the past month.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in TGT.Next Page >